stablecoin_supply_divergence_mean_reversion

not live
20
closed trades
35%
win rate
-33.87
total pnl ($)
1.225
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-17 02:51:39 (41.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: restored_stablecoin_supply_divergence_mean_reversion
n: 4  ·  wr: 0.0%  ·  total_bps: -140.2  ·  mean_bps: -35.05  ·  sharpe: -2.14  ·  max_dd_bps: -140.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 20 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-17 01:15BTCSell65893.7→65739.3+0.73timeout
06-16 19:00BTCSell65635.7→65747.3-1.29timeout
06-16 13:00BTCSell66830.7→66406.3+2.74timeout
06-16 07:02BTCSell65726.7→66377.3-5.41timeout
06-16 01:03BTCSell66479.7→66292.3+0.96timeout
06-15 18:49BTCSell66617.7→66875.3-2.37timeout
06-15 12:49BTCSell65738.7→66480.3-6.09timeout
06-15 06:46BTCSell65545.7→65792.3-2.33timeout
06-14 21:25BTCSell64017.8→64889.7-7.26stop_loss
06-14 18:38BTCSell63906.8→63751.2+0.78timeout
06-14 12:37BTCSell64470.8→64292.2+0.93timeout
06-14 06:35BTCSell64530.8→64291.2+1.40timeout
06-14 00:30BTCSell64220.8→64443.2-2.18timeout
06-13 18:29BTCSell64112.8→64184.2-1.00timeout
06-13 12:24BTCSell63736.8→63940.2-2.03timeout
06-13 06:23BTCSell63731.8→63590.2+0.66timeout
06-13 00:18BTCSell63503.8→63539.2-0.71timeout
06-12 15:01BTCSell63339.8→64207.3-7.30stop_loss
06-12 12:09BTCSell63250.8→63647.2-3.57timeout
05-12 02:43BTCSell81715.9→81724.1-0.54timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
20
closed
35%
win rate
-33.87
total pnl ($)
-33.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC2035%-33.9-33.87

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems