57
closed trades
33%
win rate
-31.46
total pnl ($)
1.275
weight
7d window — n=7 wr=57% pnl=+8.22
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=StablecoinSupplyContractionShort in strategies_batch_k.py
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 06:04:04 (18.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
k__restored_d3b5f27a
n: 157
· wr: 42.0%
· total_bps: -891.5
· mean_bps: -5.68
· sharpe: -0.14
· max_dd_bps: -1341.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 57 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 14:58 | BTC | Sell | 63204.8→63178.2 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:07 | BTC | Sell | 63038.8→62920.1 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Sell | 63701.8→62746.1 | +7.04 | take_profit |
| 06-18 03:21 | BTC | Sell | 64610.8→64461.2 | +0.71 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:55 | BTC | Sell | 65744.7→65704.3 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:35 | BTC | Sell | 66684.7→66649.3 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:21 | BTC | Sell | 66502.7→66370.3 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 06-15 09:51 | BTC | Sell | 65716.7→65553.3 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:18 | BTC | Sell | 64006.8→64623.5 | -5.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 09:43 | BTC | Sell | 64448.8→64523.2 | -1.03 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:24 | BTC | Sell | 64216.8→64220.2 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:17 | BTC | Sell | 63788.8→63798.2 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:47 | BTC | Sell | 63484.8→63458.2 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 06-12 09:07 | BTC | Sell | 63227.8→63519.2 | -2.75 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:02 | BTC | Sell | 63556.8→63404.2 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:58 | BTC | Sell | 62694.9→62901.1 | -2.09 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:56 | BTC | Sell | 61983.9→61700.1 | +1.84 | timeout |
| 06-10 08:50 | BTC | Sell | 61674.9→61211.1 | +3.30 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:08 | BTC | Sell | 62709.9→62687.1 | -0.27 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:05 | BTC | Sell | 63594.8→63508.2 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:01 | BTC | Sell | 63164.8→63471.2 | -2.87 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:10 | BTC | Sell | 61764.9→61846.1 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-07 10:05 | BTC | Sell | 62814.9→62411.1 | +2.76 | timeout |
| 06-06 21:57 | BTC | Sell | 60665→60750 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-06 09:50 | BTC | Sell | 61382.9→60942 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 06-05 21:15 | BTC | Sell | 61439.9→62030.1 | -5.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 09:13 | BTC | Sell | 62300.9→62899.6 | -5.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 21:51 | BTC | Sell | 63528.8→63355.2 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 06-04 10:08 | BTC | Sell | 63280.8→62949.1 | +2.17 | timeout |
| 06-03 21:42 | BTC | Sell | 65284.7→65301.3 | -0.58 | timeout |
| 06-03 09:19 | BTC | Sell | 67079.6→66847.3 | +1.29 | timeout |
| 06-03 00:17 | BTC | Sell | 66645.7→67056.4 | -3.53 | timeout |
| 06-02 08:08 | BTC | Sell | 69964.5→69997.5 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-01 23:00 | BTC | Sell | 70951.5→71413.6 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 05-31 14:48 | BTC | Sell | 73840.3→73669.7 | +0.71 | timeout |
| 05-31 00:44 | BTC | Sell | 73770.3→73929.7 | -1.53 | timeout |
| 05-30 10:41 | BTC | Sell | 73522.3→73608.7 | -1.03 | timeout |
| 05-29 15:12 | BTC | Sell | 72628.4→73725.7 | +0.00 | take_profit |
| 05-29 03:21 | BTC | Sell | 73534.3→73405.7 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 05-27 15:51 | BTC | Sell | 75023.2→75397.8 | -2.95 | timeout |
| 05-27 03:50 | BTC | Sell | 75712.2→75633.8 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 05-26 14:39 | BTC | Sell | 77682.1→77024.3 | +0.00 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 03:21 | BTC | Sell | 76701.2→76566.8 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 05-25 15:19 | BTC | Sell | 77523.1→77692.9 | -1.54 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:19 | BTC | Sell | 77226.1→77066.9 | +0.58 | timeout |
| 05-24 15:19 | BTC | Sell | 76324.2→76458.8 | -1.33 | timeout |
| 05-24 03:20 | BTC | Sell | 76877.2→76866.8 | -0.38 | timeout |
| 05-23 15:18 | BTC | Sell | 75182.2→75569.8 | -3.03 | timeout |
| 05-23 03:19 | BTC | Sell | 75444.2→75573.8 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 05-21 20:44 | BTC | Sell | 77586.1→77651.9 | -0.87 | timeout |
| 05-21 08:44 | BTC | Sell | 77674.1→77906.9 | -1.94 | timeout |
| 05-20 20:44 | BTC | Sell | 77619.1→77730.9 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 05-20 08:43 | BTC | Sell | 77345.1→77494.9 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 05-19 20:42 | BTC | Sell | 76851.2→76912.8 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 05-19 08:43 | BTC | Sell | 77257.1→77242.9 | -0.35 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:43 | BTC | Sell | 76741.2→76994.8 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 05-18 08:43 | BTC | Sell | 76915.2→76929.8 | -0.54 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
57
closed
33%
win rate
-31.46
total pnl ($)
-11.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 57 | 33% | -11.5 | -31.46 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||