121
closed trades
37%
win rate
-104.17
total pnl ($)
1.286
weight
7d window — n=4 wr=25% pnl=+6.03
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 06:52 | BTC | Sell | 60313→60334 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:22 | BTC | Sell | 62679.9→62772.1 | -0.94 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:21 | BTC | Sell | 64164.8→62753.1 | +8.44 | take_profit |
| 06-22 08:54 | BTC | Sell | 64022.8→64125.2 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:53 | BTC | Buy | 64232.2→64269.8 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:23 | BTC | Buy | 63371.2→63699.8 | +1.71 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:54 | BTC | Buy | 62947.1→62840.9 | -1.03 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:20 | BTC | Sell | 62429.9→63283.8 | -5.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 06:24 | BTC | Sell | 64655.8→63918.2 | +4.20 | timeout |
| 06-17 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 65911.3→65850.7 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:20 | BTC | Sell | 66015.7→66195.3 | -1.46 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:31 | BTC | Sell | 65627.7→65933.3 | -2.22 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:22 | BTC | Buy | 64568.2→64368.8 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:49 | BTC | Sell | 63552.8→63668.2 | -1.09 | timeout |
| 06-11 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 62099.1→62925.9 | +4.95 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:46 | BTC | Buy | 63153.2→62619.9 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:37 | BTC | Buy | 63267.2→62405.7 | -5.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 06:36 | BTC | Sell | 61438.9→62291.2 | -5.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:11 | BTC | Buy | 61110.1→60278.8 | -5.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 08:48 | BTC | Sell | 64337.8→63491.2 | +4.90 | timeout |
| 05-30 07:21 | BTC | Sell | 73723.3→73502.7 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 05-29 06:25 | BTC | Sell | 73432.3→73394.7 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:52 | BTC | Buy | 74282.7→73271.7 | -5.80 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 06:20 | BTC | Buy | 75700.8→75681.2 | -0.45 | timeout |
| 05-23 06:18 | BTC | Buy | 75506.8→75449.2 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 05-22 06:18 | BTC | Buy | 77667.9→77437.1 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 05-21 13:17 | BTC | Sell | 77900.1→77222.9 | +3.13 | timeout |
| 05-19 13:38 | BTC | Buy | 76746.8→76953.2 | +0.71 | timeout |
| 05-19 11:37 | BTC | Buy | 77140.9→76830.2 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 05-16 11:00 | BTC | Buy | 78563.9→78560 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 05-16 09:01 | BTC | Buy | 78965.9→78962 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:01 | BTC | Sell | 80585→80187 | +1.61 | timeout |
| 05-12 02:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 05-12 01:01 | BTC | Buy | 81789.1→81715.9 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 05-11 23:01 | BTC | Buy | 81844.1→81715.9 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 05-11 21:01 | BTC | Buy | 81459.1→81779.9 | +1.21 | timeout |
| 05-09 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 80300→80852 | +2.39 | timeout |
| 05-09 17:05 | BTC | Buy | 80340→80653 | +1.19 | timeout |
| 05-09 15:04 | BTC | Buy | 80260→80292 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 05-09 13:02 | BTC | Buy | 80375→80364 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 05-09 11:02 | BTC | Buy | 80214→80252 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 05-09 09:01 | BTC | Buy | 80352→80367 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 05-09 01:06 | BTC | Sell | 80152→80219 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 05-08 23:06 | BTC | Sell | 79951→80200 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 05-08 21:05 | BTC | Sell | 79838→80160 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 05-08 19:05 | BTC | Sell | 79984→79959 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 05-08 17:04 | BTC | Sell | 80044→79827 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 05-08 15:03 | BTC | Sell | 80192→80072 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 05-08 13:03 | BTC | Sell | 79820→80052 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 05-08 11:02 | BTC | Sell | 79424→80200 | -4.27 | timeout |
| 05-08 09:01 | BTC | Sell | 79624→79857 | -1.53 | timeout |
| 05-07 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 80106→80047 | -0.67 | timeout |
| 05-07 15:04 | BTC | Buy | 80923→80098 | -4.45 | timeout |
| 05-07 14:38 | BTC | Buy | 81097.1→79998 | -5.79 | stop_loss |
| 05-07 13:03 | BTC | Buy | 81110.1→81088.9 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 05-07 11:03 | BTC | Buy | 81378.1→80915 | -2.64 | timeout |
| 05-07 09:02 | BTC | Buy | 80961→81101.9 | +0.34 | timeout |
| 05-07 01:22 | BTC | Sell | 81367.9→81005.1 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 05-06 23:22 | BTC | Sell | 81272.9→81306.1 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 05-06 21:21 | BTC | Sell | 81473.9→81376.1 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 05-06 19:19 | BTC | Sell | 81648.9→81256.1 | +1.56 | timeout |
| 05-06 17:21 | BTC | Sell | 81999.9→81506.1 | +2.04 | timeout |
| 05-06 06:38 | BTC | Sell | 79977→81485.8 | -7.85 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 23:06 | BTC | Sell | 79941→79911 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 05-04 21:05 | BTC | Sell | 80141→79988 | +0.39 | timeout |
| 05-04 19:04 | BTC | Sell | 80187→80008 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 05-04 14:48 | BTC | Sell | 78930.1→80001 | -5.79 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 14:45 | BTC | Sell | 78571.1→79636.8 | -5.79 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 10:07 | BTC | Buy | 79684→78604.7 | -5.78 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 10:06 | BTC | Buy | 79844→78762.7 | -5.77 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 09:01 | BTC | Buy | 80346→79625 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 05-04 01:05 | BTC | Buy | 78853.9→78414.1 | -2.59 | timeout |
| 05-03 23:05 | BTC | Buy | 78691.9→79217 | +2.29 | timeout |
| 05-03 21:04 | BTC | Buy | 78557.9→78846.1 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 05-03 19:04 | BTC | Buy | 78736.9→78684.1 | -0.64 | timeout |
| 05-03 17:03 | BTC | Buy | 78706.9→78550.1 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 05-03 15:03 | BTC | Buy | 78368.9→78729.1 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 05-03 13:02 | BTC | Buy | 78346.9→78699.1 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 05-03 11:02 | BTC | Buy | 78286.9→78361.1 | +0.02 | timeout |
| 05-03 09:01 | BTC | Buy | 78128.9→78339.1 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 05-02 23:07 | BTC | Buy | 78423.9→78675.1 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 05-02 21:07 | BTC | Buy | 78386.9→78471.1 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 05-02 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 78418.9→78416.1 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 05-02 17:06 | BTC | Buy | 78291.9→78379.1 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 05-02 15:06 | BTC | Buy | 78162.9→78411.1 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 05-02 13:06 | BTC | Buy | 78263.9→78284.1 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 05-02 11:04 | BTC | Buy | 78274.9→78147.1 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 05-02 09:04 | BTC | Buy | 78131.9→78256.1 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 05-02 07:04 | BTC | Buy | 78319.9→78267.1 | -0.62 | timeout |
| 05-01 23:07 | BTC | Sell | 78490.1→78116.9 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 05-01 21:06 | BTC | Sell | 78105.1→77867.9 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 05-01 19:06 | BTC | Sell | 78234.1→78497.9 | -1.71 | timeout |
| 05-01 17:05 | BTC | Sell | 78159.1→78112.9 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 05-01 13:11 | BTC | Sell | 77263.1→78311 | -5.79 | stop_loss |
| 05-01 13:05 | BTC | Sell | 77244.1→78166.9 | -5.14 | timeout |
| 05-01 11:04 | BTC | Sell | 76924.2→77270.9 | -2.16 | timeout |
| 05-01 09:04 | BTC | Sell | 77004.1→77251.9 | -1.64 | timeout |
| 05-01 07:04 | BTC | Sell | 76519.2→76931.8 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 04-30 09:17 | BTC | Buy | 75534→76080.2 | +2.53 | timeout |
| 04-30 07:16 | BTC | Buy | 75724→75802.2 | +0.06 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
121
closed
37%
win rate
-104.17
total pnl ($)
-21.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 121 | 37% | -21.5 | -104.17 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 19:05 | BTC | Buy | +2.39 | BTC was trading in a tight range near $79,327 with low volatility and neutral funding, showing no directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching the target or stop, as the market lacked the momentum needed to trig… |
| 05-09 17:05 | BTC | Buy | +1.19 | BTC was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, likely due to insufficient directional conviction or a lack of a clear catalyst to trigger entry. |
| 05-09 15:04 | BTC | Buy | -0.20 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with stable open interest, offering no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching an entry trigger, resulting in a small negative PnL from the timeout clos… |
| 05-09 13:02 | BTC | Buy | -0.42 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 1.66% over 24 hours and negative momentum across the week. The thesis failed because the trade was not executed (entry=None) and was closed by timeout, likely due to a lack of favorable entry conditions in th… |
| 05-09 11:02 | BTC | Buy | -0.17 | The market was in a persistent downtrend across timeframes, with BTC falling 2% in 24 hours and negative momentum in both BTC and ETH. The thesis failed because the trade was not executed (entry=None) and timed out, likely due to the bearish regime preventi… |
| 05-09 09:01 | BTC | Buy | -0.28 | The market was trending sideways with low volatility and neutral funding, offering no clear directional edge. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, resulting in a small loss from the timeout close reason. |
| 05-09 01:06 | BTC | Sell | -0.71 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with low funding and declining open interest. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the anticipated continuation of the bearish trend could materialize. |
| 05-08 23:06 | BTC | Sell | -1.60 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the expected bearish continuation materialized, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 05-08 21:05 | BTC | Sell | -1.97 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the anticipated downside materialized, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 05-08 19:05 | BTC | Sell | -0.23 | The market was in a short-term consolidation within a broader downtrend, with BTC showing a slight hourly gain but significant weekly losses. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within … |