stablecoin_peg_recovery_long

not live
6
closed trades
0%
win rate
-12.52
total pnl ($)
1.216
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 06:02:57 (34.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: cl__restored_cb04addb
n: 8  ·  wr: 12.5%  ·  total_bps: -475.1  ·  mean_bps: -59.38  ·  sharpe: -0.99  ·  max_dd_bps: -475.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 6 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-09 10:27BTCBuy62823.1→62739.9-1.09timeout
05-12 08:43BTCBuy81724.1→81715.9-0.52timeout
05-11 05:59BTCBuy81376.1→80826-3.87timeout
05-10 03:39BTCBuy80879→80822-0.84timeout
05-07 11:45BTCBuy81244.1→80941-2.35timeout
04-28 09:39BTCBuy77177→76652-3.85timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
6
closed
0%
win rate
-12.52
total pnl ($)
-41.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC60%-41.4-12.52

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-10 03:39BTCBuy-0.84BTC was in a mild uptrend across all timeframes with low funding, suggesting a neutral-to-bullish bias. The thesis failed because the trade timed out without hitting entry or exit, likely due to insufficient momentum to trigger the order within the allowed …
05-07 11:45BTCBuy-2.35BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly gain but a weekly decline. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allotted time.