stablecoin_outflow_fear_long_v2

87

closed trades

32%

win rate

-428.57

total pnl ($)

0.413

weight

7d window — n=12 wr=8% pnl=-135.01 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-27 06:46:20 (31.4d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x2189873_36678

n: 55 · wr: 32.7% · total_bps: -3956.3 · mean_bps: -71.93 · sharpe: -0.26 · max_dd_bps: -8265.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 14:42	BTC	Buy	59437→60590	+9.24	timeout
06-26 18:02	BTC	Buy	59330→60029	+5.21	timeout
06-25 13:51	BTC	Buy	60697→59203.4	-12.68	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60857→59359.3	-12.71	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60886→59376.3	-12.79	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60925→59420.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	BTC	Buy	60542→59052.5	-12.74	stop_loss
06-24 16:51	BTC	Buy	61211.1→59705.1	-12.73	stop_loss
06-24 14:17	BTC	Buy	62547.1→61000.4	-12.81	stop_loss
06-24 14:17	BTC	Buy	62595.1→61053.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-24 14:13	BTC	Buy	62672.1→61126.4	-12.77	stop_loss
06-24 14:02	BTC	Buy	62695.1→61153.3	-12.74	stop_loss
06-24 13:47	BTC	Buy	62826.1→61280.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-17 19:44	BTC	Buy	65698.3→64077.7	-12.79	stop_loss
06-17 11:05	BTC	Buy	66256.3→64626.4	-12.88	stop_loss
06-17 10:56	BTC	Buy	66388.3→64755.4	-12.83	stop_loss
06-17 08:45	BTC	Buy	66470.3→64833.3	-12.82	stop_loss
06-17 08:20	BTC	Buy	66818.3→65174.1	-12.78	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	BTC	Buy	67132.4→65481	-12.83	stop_loss
06-16 11:04	BTC	Buy	64465.2→66555.7	+15.63	timeout
06-15 22:44	BTC	Buy	64491.2→66240.7	+13.02	timeout
06-15 15:47	BTC	Buy	64228.2→67066.6	+21.64	take_profit
06-15 15:47	BTC	Buy	64236.2→67066.6	+21.58	take_profit
06-15 13:20	BTC	Buy	64009.2→66819.7	+21.54	take_profit
06-14 09:48	BTC	Buy	63838.2→64545.8	+4.99	timeout
06-13 21:47	BTC	Buy	63512.2→64503.8	+7.31	timeout
06-13 19:44	BTC	Buy	63680.2→64266.8	+4.15	timeout
06-13 17:40	BTC	Buy	63215.2→64073.8	+6.31	timeout
06-13 15:34	BTC	Buy	62716.1→64265.8	+11.86	timeout
06-12 08:16	BTC	Buy	61661.1→63357.8	+13.09	timeout
06-11 19:30	BTC	Buy	61145.1→63829.8	+21.33	take_profit
06-11 19:12	BTC	Buy	61797.1→63529.8	+13.31	timeout
06-11 17:11	BTC	Buy	61447.1→62514.9	+8.08	timeout
06-11 15:08	BTC	Buy	61567.1→62741.9	+8.90	timeout
06-09 15:56	BTC	Buy	62563.1→61024.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 14:36	BTC	Buy	62914.1→61365.2	-12.78	stop_loss
06-09 14:29	BTC	Buy	63048.2→61497.2	-12.77	stop_loss
06-09 14:20	BTC	Buy	63214.2→61655.1	-12.79	stop_loss
06-09 14:19	BTC	Buy	63270.2→61714	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 09:52	BTC	Buy	62577.1→62650.9	+0.19	timeout
06-09 05:44	BTC	Buy	61777.1→63346.8	+12.20	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Buy	61196.1→63883.8	+21.53	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	61031.1→63710.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60833→63504.8	+21.53	take_profit
06-07 08:48	BTC	Buy	60193→62835.9	+21.53	take_profit
06-07 05:18	BTC	Buy	59484→62117.9	+21.73	take_profit
06-06 04:27	BTC	Buy	61344.1→59834.1	-12.76	stop_loss
06-06 04:14	BTC	Buy	61565.1→60051	-12.75	stop_loss
06-06 04:13	BTC	Buy	61626.1→60110.9	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60919→59421.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:37	BTC	Buy	61426.1→59915	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 14:06	BTC	Buy	61936.1→60412.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 14:06	BTC	Buy	61993.1→60466.7	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	62379.1→60843.5	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	62408.1→60869.5	-12.78	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62505.1→60966.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	62728.1→61175.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-05 06:21	BTC	Buy	63123.2→61571.1	-12.74	stop_loss
06-05 06:16	BTC	Buy	63462.2→61899.9	-12.71	stop_loss
06-05 06:01	BTC	Buy	63688.2→62120.8	-12.69	stop_loss
06-05 03:06	BTC	Buy	63886.2→62314.7	-12.72	stop_loss
06-04 09:30	BTC	Buy	64304.2→62722.5	-12.74	stop_loss
06-04 01:16	BTC	Buy	64471.2→62885.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-04 00:29	BTC	Buy	65099.3→63498.1	-12.74	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66417.3→64783.4	-12.80	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66448.3→64810.3	-12.82	stop_loss
06-03 19:55	BTC	Buy	66815.3→65167.1	-12.83	stop_loss
06-03 16:27	BTC	Buy	67202.4→65548.9	-12.78	stop_loss
06-03 16:24	BTC	Buy	67314.4→65658.9	-12.76	stop_loss
06-03 03:44	BTC	Buy	67362.4→65704.8	-12.76	stop_loss
06-03 03:43	BTC	Buy	67387.4→65729.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-03 03:43	BTC	Buy	67542.4→65878.7	-12.77	stop_loss
06-02 15:26	BTC	Buy	69030.5→67332.9	-12.75	stop_loss
06-02 14:27	BTC	Buy	69504.5→67794.7	-12.76	stop_loss
06-02 14:22	BTC	Buy	69850.5→68131.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-02 14:08	BTC	Buy	70222.5→68495.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-02 12:06	BTC	Buy	71006.6→69256.9	-12.82	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73573.7→71299.8	-16.05	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73933.7→71299.8	-18.43	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73781.7→71299.8	-17.45	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73894.7→71299.8	-18.20	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	74123.7→71299.8	-19.71	stop_loss
05-31 13:11	BTC	Buy	73138.7→73911.3	+4.62	timeout
05-31 11:09	BTC	Buy	73622.7→73889.3	+1.08	timeout
05-31 08:40	BTC	Buy	73780.7→73854.3	-0.25	timeout
05-31 06:36	BTC	Buy	73677.7→74044.3	+1.93	timeout
05-31 02:20	BTC	Buy	73571.7→74107.3	+3.06	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

87

closed

32%

win rate

-428.57

total pnl ($)

-97.7 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	87	32%	-97.7	-428.57

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 87 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)