stablecoin_outflow_contrarian_long

81

closed trades

46%

win rate

-199.82

total pnl ($)

0.903

weight

7d window — n=15 wr=40% pnl=-55.71 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-23 22:31 (35.4d ago) · src: backtest-gate-results.jsonl

verdict: ERROR · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_axb

n: 0 · wr: 0.0% · total_bps: +0.0 · mean_bps: +0.00 · sharpe: +0.00 · max_dd_bps: +0.0

gate: min_trades=5 min_wr=0.45 min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=231.926

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 02:59	BTC	Buy	60587→60132	-4.21	timeout
06-27 21:07	BTC	Buy	60459→60325	-1.53	timeout
06-27 15:09	BTC	Buy	60169→60666	+3.68	timeout
06-27 09:11	BTC	Buy	59696→60353	+5.05	timeout
06-27 03:16	BTC	Buy	59855→60185	+2.30	timeout
06-26 14:52	BTC	Buy	58586.9→59723	+9.22	timeout
06-26 13:19	BTC	Buy	60141→58645.7	-12.89	stop_loss
06-26 08:39	BTC	Buy	59507→60224	+5.61	timeout
06-26 02:40	BTC	Buy	59612→58806.1	-7.19	timeout
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60876→59371.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-25 13:42	BTC	Buy	61749.1→60229.9	-12.74	stop_loss
06-25 08:30	BTC	Buy	60705→61729.9	+7.99	timeout
06-24 16:51	BTC	Buy	61153.1→59649.2	-12.73	stop_loss
06-24 14:02	BTC	Buy	62681.1→61138.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-24 14:02	BTC	Buy	62692.1→61149.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-17 10:55	BTC	Buy	65704.3→64798.8	-7.38	timeout
06-17 04:46	BTC	Buy	65756.3→65895.7	+0.59	timeout
06-16 22:38	BTC	Buy	66619.3→65685.7	-7.50	timeout
06-16 16:36	BTC	Buy	65815.3→65737.7	-1.09	timeout
06-16 10:40	BTC	Buy	66277.3→66565.7	+1.71	timeout
06-16 04:30	BTC	Buy	67191.4→65911.7	-9.95	timeout
06-15 22:29	BTC	Buy	65702.3→66136.7	+2.83	timeout
06-15 16:29	BTC	Buy	65695.3→67129.6	+10.44	timeout
06-15 10:22	BTC	Buy	65203.3→65685.7	+3.25	timeout
06-14 14:40	BTC	Buy	64505.2→63949.8	-4.76	timeout
06-14 08:34	BTC	Buy	64224.2→64446.8	+1.27	timeout
06-14 02:33	BTC	Buy	64144.2→64520.8	+2.49	timeout
06-13 20:30	BTC	Buy	63778.2→64218.8	+3.00	timeout
06-13 14:29	BTC	Buy	63693.2→64112.8	+2.82	timeout
06-13 08:25	BTC	Buy	63508.2→63733.8	+1.27	timeout
06-13 02:24	BTC	Buy	63413.2→63723.8	+1.99	timeout
06-12 20:23	BTC	Buy	63511.2→63505.8	-0.50	timeout
06-12 14:21	BTC	Buy	63609.2→63470.8	-1.57	timeout
06-12 08:15	BTC	Buy	63510.2→63268.8	-2.37	timeout
06-12 02:12	BTC	Buy	62767.1→63644.8	+6.49	timeout
06-11 20:05	BTC	Buy	62731.1→63606.8	+6.47	timeout
06-11 14:05	BTC	Buy	62228.1→62956.9	+5.35	timeout
06-11 07:56	BTC	Buy	61990.1→62690.9	+5.14	timeout
06-11 01:57	BTC	Buy	62211.1→62185.9	-0.66	timeout
06-10 19:50	BTC	Buy	61681.1→61889.9	+1.21	timeout
06-10 03:44	BTC	Buy	61318.1→62016.9	+5.28	timeout
06-09 15:55	BTC	Buy	62619.1→61076.4	-12.77	stop_loss
06-09 14:47	BTC	Buy	62727.1→61180.3	-12.79	stop_loss
06-09 09:39	BTC	Buy	63715.2→62598.9	-9.20	timeout
06-09 03:37	BTC	Buy	63848.2→62690.9	-9.51	timeout
06-08 21:32	BTC	Buy	63316.2→63638.8	+2.08	timeout
06-08 15:29	BTC	Buy	63127.2→63974.8	+6.24	timeout
06-08 09:30	BTC	Buy	61812.1→63363.8	+12.09	timeout
06-08 03:31	BTC	Buy	62012.1→63175.8	+8.92	timeout
06-07 21:24	BTC	Buy	62608.1→61767.9	-7.15	timeout
06-07 15:16	BTC	Buy	61509.1→61858.9	+2.39	timeout
06-07 09:10	BTC	Buy	60755→62788.9	+16.31	timeout
06-07 03:04	BTC	Buy	60578→61396.9	+6.28	timeout
06-06 21:04	BTC	Buy	61138.1→60705	-3.96	timeout
06-06 15:03	BTC	Buy	60870→60632	-2.41	timeout
06-06 04:13	BTC	Buy	61631.1→60114.9	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60760→59265.4	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62436.1→60899.5	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	62782.1→61213.3	-12.94	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63530.2→61965.9	-12.73	stop_loss
06-05 02:30	BTC	Buy	64142.2→62564.6	-12.74	stop_loss
06-04 21:12	BTC	Buy	63345.2→63731.8	+2.60	timeout
06-04 09:22	BTC	Buy	64610.2→63021.3	-12.74	stop_loss
06-04 00:26	BTC	Buy	65311.3→63704.9	-12.75	stop_loss
06-03 19:55	BTC	Buy	66915.3→65270.1	-12.76	stop_loss
06-03 16:31	BTC	Buy	66339.3→65639.7	-5.76	timeout
06-03 11:37	BTC	Buy	66450.3→67094.6	+4.33	timeout
06-03 03:49	BTC	Buy	67311.4→65654.9	-12.76	stop_loss
06-02 14:10	BTC	Buy	69990.5→68351.6	-12.17	stop_loss
06-02 13:01	BTC	Buy	70600.5→68938.9	-12.26	stop_loss
06-02 10:08	BTC	Buy	70834.5→69550.5	-9.59	timeout
06-02 02:39	BTC	Buy	71486.4→70723.5	-5.86	timeout
06-01 01:48	BTC	Buy	73839.3→73482.7	-2.91	timeout
05-31 17:44	BTC	Buy	74063.3→73685.7	-3.03	timeout
05-31 11:44	BTC	Buy	73770.3→73913.7	+0.45	timeout
05-31 09:09	BTC	Buy	73946.3→73868.7	-1.05	timeout
05-30 21:41	BTC	Buy	73522.3→73963.7	+2.49	timeout
05-30 13:17	BTC	Buy	73543.3→73728.7	+0.79	timeout
05-30 02:44	BTC	Buy	72606.4→73700.7	+7.07	timeout
05-29 19:45	BTC	Buy	73355.3→73671.7	+1.67	timeout
05-29 14:20	BTC	Buy	73560.3→72817.6	-5.53	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

81

closed

46%

win rate

-199.82

total pnl ($)

-49.0 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	81	46%	-49.0	-199.82

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 03:14	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker
06-27 21:02	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 81 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)