7
closed trades
14%
win rate
-12.76
total pnl ($)
1.222
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 16:19:21 (23.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_cg
n: 47
· wr: 38.3%
· total_bps: -1256.4
· mean_bps: -26.73
· sharpe: -0.22
· max_dd_bps: -1440.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 10:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 05-11 01:20 | BTC | Sell | 80905→81615.1 | -4.77 | timeout |
| 05-09 01:17 | BTC | Sell | 79762→80286 | -3.78 | timeout |
| 05-07 01:18 | BTC | Sell | 82088.9→81080.1 | +5.67 | timeout |
| 04-27 05:29 | BTC | Buy | 77981→77882 | -1.08 | timeout |
| 04-25 05:29 | BTC | Buy | 77678→77477 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 04-23 05:29 | BTC | Buy | 78856→77869 | -6.61 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
14%
win rate
-12.76
total pnl ($)
-36.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 7 | 14% | -36.6 | -12.76 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 01:17 | BTC | Sell | -3.78 | The market was in a mild downtrend over 24h and 7d, with BTC at $79,795 and low funding. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching target, as the price remained range-bound and did not decline sufficiently. |
| 05-07 01:18 | BTC | Sell | +5.67 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly uptick but remaining down over the past day and week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize with… |
| 04-27 05:29 | BTC | Buy | -1.08 | Bitcoin was declining sharply in the hour leading into the close, down 1.73% in the final hour as the broader market sold off, erasing the week's modest gains. The stablecoin divergence thesis failed because the divergence signal (USDT +1.55% vs USDC -1.01%… |
| 04-25 05:29 | BTC | Buy | -1.74 | Bitcoin was essentially flat to slightly down on the 1-hour timeframe at $77,516, with minimal directional conviction after a week of modest 0.65% gains. The stablecoin divergence thesis failed because the divergence signal's premise—that USDT's +2.06% 7d o… |
| 04-23 05:29 | BTC | Buy | -6.61 | At close, Bitcoin was trading flat around $77,804 with minimal intraday movement (0.21% in 1h) while maintaining modest weekly gains of 3.68%, and funding rates remained slightly positive at 0.0086%. The thesis failed because the anticipated Asian retail in… |