13
closed trades
23%
win rate
-6.08
total pnl ($)
1.012
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=0% pnl=-10.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 04:34:19 (18.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
cz
n: 15
· wr: 40.0%
· total_bps: -173.7
· mean_bps: -11.58
· sharpe: -0.17
· max_dd_bps: -234.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 13 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 11:04 | BTC | Sell | 62551.9→62522.1 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:27 | BTC | Sell | 65030.7→66242.4 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 04:21 | BTC | Sell | 65170.7→65741.3 | -4.82 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:24 | BTC | Sell | 63232.8→62658.1 | +4.09 | timeout |
| 06-05 06:24 | BTC | Sell | 63184.8→61166.1 | +15.52 | take_profit |
| 05-20 18:01 | BTC | Sell | 77371.1→77573.9 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 05-15 20:54 | BTC | Sell | 79125→79062 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 05-07 07:09 | BTC | Sell | 80982→81453.1 | -3.35 | timeout |
| 04-28 00:26 | BTC | Sell | 76683→77227 | -4.00 | timeout |
| 04-26 16:44 | BTC | Sell | 77974→77983 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 04-25 14:10 | BTC | Sell | 77555→77638 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 04-25 01:21 | BTC | Sell | 77599→77491 | +0.25 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
13
closed
23%
win rate
-6.08
total pnl ($)
-9.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 13 | 23% | -9.4 | -6.08 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 07:09 | BTC | Sell | -3.35 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.52% over 24 hours and negative momentum across the board. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, likely due to insufficient volatility or… |
| 04-26 16:44 | BTC | Sell | -0.51 | At close, Bitcoin was trading near $77,983 with elevated positive funding at 0.13% and massive open interest of $3.8B, indicating sustained bullish leverage positioning that prevented the expected pullback. The short thesis failed because the stablecoin vel… |
| 04-25 14:10 | BTC | Sell | -0.99 | Bitcoin was consolidating near its opening levels with minimal movement across all timeframes, showing a flat 24-hour performance and modest weekly gains of 2.05%. The stablecoin velocity signal's prediction of stress-building conditions from the 13.5 basis… |
| 04-25 01:21 | BTC | Sell | +0.25 | Bitcoin was consolidating with minimal volatility, up 0.21% in the past hour while maintaining a flat 24-hour performance at -0.65%, suggesting a lack of directional conviction in the market. The trade's thesis failed because the stablecoin developer veloci… |