78
closed trades
35%
win rate
-69.89
total pnl ($)
1.165
weight
7d window — n=13 wr=31% pnl=-13.12
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 10:15:04 (42.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
recovered_013
n: 15
· wr: 20.0%
· total_bps: -352.8
· mean_bps: -23.52
· sharpe: -0.59
· max_dd_bps: -362.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 78 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 07:56 | BTC | Buy | 59772→60054 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-28 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 59732→59507 | -2.33 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:59 | BTC | Buy | 60185→59981 | -2.14 | timeout |
| 06-27 18:49 | BTC | Buy | 60771→60489 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:20 | BTC | Buy | 60380→60335 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:26 | BTC | Buy | 59992→59913 | -1.12 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:56 | BTC | Buy | 58575.9→59868 | +10.58 | take_profit |
| 06-25 15:15 | BTC | Buy | 59776→58962.6 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:25 | BTC | Buy | 60812→61617.9 | +6.18 | timeout |
| 06-24 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 61267.1→60432.7 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 05:34 | BTC | Buy | 62717.1→62890.9 | +0.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:15 | BTC | Buy | 62694.1→62432.9 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 06-23 05:25 | BTC | Buy | 64157.2→63382.8 | -6.49 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:10 | BTC | Buy | 64217.2→64199.8 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:00 | BTC | Buy | 64111.2→64170.8 | +0.02 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:55 | BTC | Buy | 64298.2→64147.8 | -1.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:55 | BTC | Buy | 63979.2→63897.8 | -1.08 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:22 | BTC | Buy | 63471.2→63728.8 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:55 | BTC | Buy | 63230.2→63162.8 | -0.98 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:52 | BTC | Buy | 62987.1→62746.9 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:55 | BTC | Buy | 64105.2→64076.8 | -0.67 | timeout |
| 06-18 01:33 | BTC | Buy | 64352.2→64675.8 | +2.06 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:21 | BTC | Buy | 64939.2→65008.7 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:00 | BTC | Buy | 65743.3→65691.7 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:55 | BTC | Buy | 66545.3→66392.7 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-16 00:51 | BTC | Buy | 66407.3→66302.7 | -1.23 | timeout |
| 06-15 09:53 | BTC | Buy | 65849.3→65535.7 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:22 | BTC | Buy | 63933.2→63877.8 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:22 | BTC | Buy | 64484.2→64322.8 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:59 | BTC | Buy | 64210.2→63977.8 | -2.26 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:39 | BTC | Buy | 63483.2→63660.8 | +0.95 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:22 | BTC | Buy | 64184.2→63676.8 | -4.41 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:52 | BTC | Buy | 63677.2→63471.8 | -2.07 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:59 | BTC | Buy | 62692.1→63140.8 | +3.11 | timeout |
| 06-10 22:15 | BTC | Buy | 61939.1→61094.4 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:21 | BTC | Buy | 61676.1→60836.5 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:44 | BTC | Buy | 62952.1→62615.9 | -3.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:50 | BTC | Buy | 63082.2→63517.8 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | BTC | Buy | 61742.1→63095.8 | +10.51 | take_profit |
| 06-07 09:49 | BTC | Buy | 62096.1→62423.9 | +2.19 | timeout |
| 06-06 19:54 | BTC | Buy | 60801→60595 | -2.14 | timeout |
| 06-06 06:02 | BTC | Buy | 59761→61070.9 | +10.51 | take_profit |
| 06-05 13:51 | BTC | Buy | 61927.1→61080.4 | -7.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 02:21 | BTC | Buy | 63637.2→62770.5 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 12:48 | BTC | Buy | 62354.1→63719.8 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-03 23:48 | BTC | Buy | 65063.3→64177.7 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 15:47 | BTC | Buy | 66999.3→66088.6 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:33 | BTC | Buy | 66902.3→65992.7 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 10:09 | BTC | Buy | 69957.5→69628.5 | -2.82 | timeout |
| 06-02 02:04 | BTC | Buy | 71457.6→70486.2 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 05-31 16:37 | BTC | Buy | 73917.7→73450.3 | -3.62 | timeout |
| 05-31 02:45 | BTC | Buy | 73780.7→73931.3 | +0.56 | timeout |
| 05-30 14:18 | BTC | Buy | 73581.7→73923.3 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 05-30 06:30 | BTC | Buy | 73615.7→73590.3 | -0.63 | timeout |
| 05-29 11:45 | BTC | Buy | 73775.7→73469.3 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 05-28 21:03 | BTC | Buy | 73601.7→73577.3 | -0.63 | timeout |
| 05-28 08:22 | BTC | Buy | 72930.6→73263.3 | +1.84 | timeout |
| 05-27 20:21 | BTC | Buy | 75023.8→75292.2 | +1.33 | timeout |
| 05-27 08:21 | BTC | Buy | 75583.8→75871.2 | +1.48 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:21 | BTC | Buy | 76217.8→75997.2 | -1.91 | timeout |
| 05-26 08:21 | BTC | Buy | 76855.8→76738.2 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 05-25 19:21 | BTC | Buy | 77490.9→77427.1 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 05-25 07:20 | BTC | Buy | 77041.9→77182.1 | +0.45 | timeout |
| 05-24 19:19 | BTC | Buy | 76629.8→76670.2 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 05-24 05:19 | BTC | Buy | 76883.8→76659.2 | -1.92 | timeout |
| 05-23 17:19 | BTC | Buy | 75188.8→75409.2 | +1.00 | timeout |
| 05-23 05:18 | BTC | Buy | 75450.8→75504.2 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 05-22 03:19 | BTC | Buy | 77454.9→77645.1 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 05-21 15:17 | BTC | Buy | 77163.9→77183.1 | -0.34 | timeout |
| 05-21 03:16 | BTC | Buy | 77689.9→77903.1 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 05-20 15:17 | BTC | Buy | 77453.9→77695.1 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 05-20 03:17 | BTC | Buy | 76514.8→76660.2 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 05-19 14:05 | BTC | Buy | 76998.8→76919.2 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 05-18 22:43 | BTC | Buy | 76727.8→77017.1 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 05-18 10:43 | BTC | Buy | 76918.8→76770.2 | -1.43 | timeout |
| 05-15 19:59 | BTC | Buy | 79266→79106 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 05-12 01:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 05-04 08:00 | BTC | Buy | 80346→79642 | -4.85 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
78
closed
35%
win rate
-69.89
total pnl ($)
-17.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 78 | 35% | -17.8 | -69.89 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||