3
closed trades
0%
win rate
-13.81
total pnl ($)
1.213
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 06:22:04 (37.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
nn__restored_1288bbdd
n: 5
· wr: 40.0%
· total_bps: -334.7
· mean_bps: -66.93
· sharpe: -0.69
· max_dd_bps: -387.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 3 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 17:01 | BTC | Buy | 81288.1→79777 | -9.81 | timeout |
| 04-29 15:03 | BTC | Buy | 76445→76442 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 04-27 15:02 | BTC | Buy | 78179→77698 | -3.53 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
3
closed
0%
win rate
-13.81
total pnl ($)
-91.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 3 | 0% | -91.6 | -13.81 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 17:01 | BTC | Buy | -9.81 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.73% over 24 hours and negative momentum across major assets. The thesis failed because the trade did not trigger an entry before the timeout close_reason, resulting in a small loss from unfilled order … |
| 04-29 15:03 | BTC | Buy | -0.47 | BTC was consolidating with a slight downward drift over the 7-day period (-3.18%), though the 1-hour candle showed minimal movement (-0.13%) at the time of timeout exit at $76,563. The thesis failed because despite the 7d stablecoin delta acceleration signa… |
| 04-27 15:02 | BTC | Buy | -3.53 | On close, Bitcoin had flatlined over 24 hours (down 0.79%) despite a +3.31% weekly gain, with funding rates turning slightly negative at -0.001997%, signaling weakening conviction among leveraged longs. The stablecoin acceleration signal (7d delta +$2.11B w… |