snapshot_governance_concentration_event

46

closed trades

50%

win rate

-16.78

total pnl ($)

1.205

weight

7d window — n=8 wr=62% pnl=-0.84 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 22:29:09 (35.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: aid__restored_49282734

n: 35 · wr: 51.4% · total_bps: +194.3 · mean_bps: +5.55 · sharpe: +0.06 · max_dd_bps: -484.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 09:03	BTC	Buy	63979.2→64147.8	+0.38	timeout
06-21 12:40	BTC	Buy	64492.2→63955.8	-2.06	timeout
06-20 16:36	BTC	Buy	63446.2→63892.8	+1.37	timeout
06-19 20:31	BTC	Buy	62508.1→63069.8	+1.81	timeout
06-19 01:00	BTC	Buy	62660.1→62998.8	+1.03	timeout
06-18 05:06	BTC	Buy	64284.2→63737.8	-2.12	timeout
06-17 09:02	BTC	Buy	65765.3→64970.8	-2.93	timeout
06-16 12:58	BTC	Buy	65837.3→66390.7	+1.68	timeout
06-15 16:45	BTC	Buy	65743.3→67175.6	+4.69	timeout
06-14 20:16	BTC	Buy	64467.2→63803.8	-2.52	timeout
06-14 00:08	BTC	Buy	64044.2→64421.8	+1.13	timeout
06-13 04:56	BTC	Buy	63458.2→63525.8	+0.04	timeout
06-12 08:20	BTC	Buy	63630.2→63434.8	-0.91	timeout
06-11 12:04	BTC	Buy	62634.1→62978.9	+1.02	timeout
06-10 15:50	BTC	Buy	61680.1→62278.9	+1.97	timeout
06-09 09:05	BTC	Buy	62615.1→62802.9	+0.47	timeout
06-08 12:55	BTC	Buy	62765.1→63565.8	+2.66	timeout
06-07 16:44	BTC	Buy	62515.1→62148.9	-1.52	timeout
06-06 20:39	BTC	Buy	60746→60645	-0.57	timeout
06-05 18:44	BTC	Buy	60876→59744.1	-4.39	stop_loss
06-05 03:06	BTC	Buy	63529.2→62344.7	-4.39	stop_loss
06-04 03:05	BTC	Buy	61781.1→63751.8	+6.97	take_profit
06-03 12:31	BTC	Buy	66334.3→67064.6	+2.28	timeout
06-02 14:01	BTC	Buy	69954.5→68638.2	-4.44	stop_loss
06-01 15:31	BTC	Buy	72788.6→71235.8	-5.02	stop_loss
05-31 13:44	BTC	Buy	74068.7→73854.3	-0.85	timeout
05-30 17:40	BTC	Buy	73533.7→73888.3	+0.87	timeout
05-29 16:45	BTC	Buy	73784.7→74028.3	+0.53	timeout
05-28 15:51	BTC	Buy	73359.7→72937.4	-1.52	timeout
05-27 19:47	BTC	Buy	75766.8→74995.3	-2.50	timeout
05-26 23:47	BTC	Buy	76427.8→75918.2	-1.71	timeout
05-26 03:44	BTC	Buy	77367.9→76601.2	-2.43	timeout
05-25 07:45	BTC	Buy	77130.9→77282.1	+0.22	timeout
05-24 11:45	BTC	Buy	76744.8→77220.1	+1.18	timeout
05-23 15:44	BTC	Buy	75246.8→75450.2	+0.40	timeout
05-22 19:30	BTC	Buy	77310.9→75865.3	-4.42	stop_loss
05-21 23:43	BTC	Buy	77199.9→77681.1	+1.19	timeout
05-21 03:43	BTC	Buy	77601.9→77988.1	+0.91	timeout
05-20 07:42	BTC	Buy	76895.8→77359.1	+1.13	timeout
05-19 11:43	BTC	Buy	76803.8→76731.2	-0.42	timeout
05-18 15:43	BTC	Buy	76922.8→76317.2	-1.99	timeout
05-16 08:33	BTC	Buy	79159→79155	-0.23	timeout
05-12 06:43	BTC	Buy	81724.1→81715.9	-0.23	timeout
05-12 04:32	BTC	Buy	81804.1→81715.9	-0.44	timeout
05-11 08:33	BTC	Buy	81751.1→80672	-3.19	timeout
05-10 12:32	BTC	Buy	80802→80909	+0.09	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

46

closed

50%

win rate

-16.78

total pnl ($)

-15.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	46	50%	-15.9	-16.78

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 21:48	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 01:22	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
05-10 12:32	BTC	Buy	+0.09	BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight hourly weakness but mild daily and weekly gains. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allowed time…

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 46 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)