13
closed trades
54%
win rate
+32.19
total pnl ($)
1.366
weight
7d window — n=3 wr=67% pnl=+17.97
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 07:28:02 (40.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
abh
n: 7
· wr: 42.9%
· total_bps: +75.1
· mean_bps: +10.74
· sharpe: +0.16
· max_dd_bps: -93.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 13 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 17:47 | BTC | Sell | 61043.9→59096 | +17.81 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:57 | BTC | Sell | 62610.9→61316.1 | +11.37 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:36 | BTC | Sell | 64142.8→65337.9 | -11.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 06:19 | BTC | Sell | 63474.8→63634.2 | -1.96 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:22 | BTC | Sell | 63094.8→63198.2 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:20 | BTC | Sell | 62890.9→62784.1 | +0.44 | timeout |
| 06-09 15:37 | BTC | Sell | 62602.9→61268.1 | +11.75 | timeout |
| 05-27 19:24 | BTC | Sell | 75319.2→75009.8 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 05-27 09:53 | BTC | Sell | 75635.2→75853.8 | -2.22 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 05-10 13:33 | BTC | Sell | 80738→80955 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 05-07 17:34 | BTC | Sell | 80913→79742 | +7.82 | timeout |
| 05-07 11:33 | BTC | Sell | 81072.9→80921 | +0.58 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
13
closed
54%
win rate
+32.19
total pnl ($)
+43.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 13 | 54% | +43.0 | +32.19 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 17:34 | BTC | Sell | +7.82 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.73% over 24 hours and 2.82% over 7 days, while funding rates remained neutral. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, likely due to insufficien… |
| 05-07 11:33 | BTC | Sell | +0.58 | BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight 1-hour uptick but remaining weak over 24 hours and 7 days. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching the target or stop, as the market lacked directional mom… |