216
closed trades
36%
win rate
-244.93
total pnl ($)
0.557
weight
7d window — n=50 wr=30% pnl=-113.49
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 15:22:46 (35.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aup
n: 117
· wr: 36.8%
· total_bps: -2818.8
· mean_bps: -24.09
· sharpe: -0.13
· max_dd_bps: -4020.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.1645→63.7248 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 60328→58843.6 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82025→1.77407 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63791→1.5967 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:02 | TRX | Buy | 0.325661→0.322289 | -5.63 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:13 | XRP | Buy | 1.04346→1.01704 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:08 | DOT | Buy | 0.843751→0.822593 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596549→0.581364 | -13.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.3011→67.9952 | -13.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:02 | OP | Sell | 0.103224→0.105889 | -13.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7586→63.3045 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | NEAR | Sell | 1.90452→1.82056 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:53 | UNI | Sell | 2.92157→2.7937 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.07615→0.0742073 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | SUI | Buy | 0.699765→0.682228 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:11 | INJ | Buy | 4.26497→4.15768 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60268→61753.9 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:02 | SOL | Sell | 66.903→68.5635 | -12.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1594.94→1634.38 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.673822→0.690758 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.31542→4.12713 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | LINK | Sell | 7.64409→7.30993 | +21.40 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | SOL | Sell | 69.8205→66.7 | +21.92 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:41 | XRP | Sell | 1.11002→1.06157 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Sell | 0.07978→0.0763031 | +21.21 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:15 | ADA | Sell | 0.152882→0.146207 | +21.17 | take_profit |
| 06-23 20:15 | FIL | Sell | 0.768288→0.78769 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Sell | 1724.13→1646.96 | +21.86 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.85596→7.65975 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.15844→0.154444 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:14 | SUI | Sell | 0.729238→0.697244 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:08 | NEAR | Buy | 2.06272→2.01069 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:51 | XMR | Sell | 319.55→327.736 | -13.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 73.183→71.3306 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 21:39 | KAS | Buy | 0.0301395→0.029346 | -13.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:06 | UNI | Buy | 3.00775→3.02594 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.698765→0.729288 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-22 04:07 | BTC | Buy | 64006.2→63935.8 | -1.08 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 71.6998→74.8388 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:26 | UNI | Sell | 3.00195→3.07751 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:48 | NEAR | Sell | 2.23474→2.13723 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-21 10:24 | FIL | Sell | 0.783404→0.803412 | -13.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 10:17 | LTC | Sell | 44.113→45.2409 | -13.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 08:02 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0802039→0.0803871 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:05 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0132867→0.0134034 | -4.84 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:05 | ARB | Buy | 0.0843611→0.0822383 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:09 | BTC | Sell | 62587.9→63401.2 | -6.97 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:08 | SOL | Sell | 68.7567→69.9725 | -9.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:08 | ETH | Sell | 1688.13→1708.37 | -6.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:04 | BNB | Sell | 588.743→579.925 | +6.71 | timeout |
| 06-19 00:25 | ADA | Sell | 0.16024→0.164253 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1773.62→1695.87 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:37 | DOT | Sell | 0.99995→0.955499 | +21.78 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.73931→6.44561 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Buy | 6.61155→6.44516 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 08:54 | BLUR | Buy | 0.016121→0.0156972 | -13.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:02 | SUI | Sell | 0.775786→0.741905 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:12 | ACE | Buy | 0.083821→0.0816387 | -13.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:39 | ICP | Buy | 2.4122→2.35024 | -13.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:43 | ETC | Sell | 7.38655→7.59319 | -14.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:27 | BCH | Sell | 211.777→217.163 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:07 | BNB | Sell | 614.586→606.111 | +6.67 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:48 | FIL | Sell | 0.802469→0.823187 | -13.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087942→0.0857357 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:07 | BTC | Buy | 66536.3→65402.7 | -8.91 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:49 | SUI | Sell | 0.794281→0.81417 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82509→6.99684 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:14 | ONDO | Sell | 0.370267→0.379565 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:29 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0130233→0.0126805 | -13.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:18 | SOL | Buy | 75.1203→73.2524 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.38→1795.52 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.184936→0.180305 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOT | Buy | 1.04296→1.01664 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:33 | APT | Buy | 0.713278→0.695378 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:40 | SOL | Buy | 71.3607→74.4888 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1728.17→1804.52 | +21.60 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863636→0.0901275 | +21.21 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1843→1.23579 | +21.27 | take_profit |
| 06-15 11:20 | AVAX | Sell | 6.75471→6.92419 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 04:08 | BTC | Buy | 64027.2→65733.7 | +12.83 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:06 | ETH | Buy | 1677.37→1725.23 | +13.74 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:50 | BCH | Sell | 203.349→208.516 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:40 | OP | Sell | 0.105814→0.108681 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.173443→0.169103 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 08:10 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0874771→0.0871828 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:02 | LTC | Buy | 42.9807→43.993 | +11.59 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:18 | XRP | Sell | 1.12942→1.15777 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 08:32 | OP | Sell | 0.106503→0.109222 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 08:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.14159→1.14061 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:47 | AAVE | Sell | 64.17→65.8063 | -13.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 22:25 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0126168→0.0129397 | -13.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 20:07 | BNB | Buy | 599.13→603.839 | +3.39 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:04 | BTC | Buy | 62617.1→63677.8 | +7.89 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0850012→0.0887258 | +21.28 | take_profit |
| 06-12 11:13 | BLUR | Buy | 0.0177334→0.0185094 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-11 18:00 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0122669→0.0125994 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 11:30 | ETH | Sell | 1626.04→1666.3 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 10:55 | BTC | Sell | 61674.9→63201.7 | -12.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 04:06 | ETH | Sell | 1628.94→1651.87 | -7.27 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
216
closed
36%
win rate
-244.93
total pnl ($)
-22.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 15 | 40% | -25.4 | -18.40 |
| BTC | 14 | 36% | -29.0 | -20.18 |
| XRP | 12 | 42% | +34.4 | +20.77 |
| ETH | 12 | 50% | +66.6 | +40.06 |
| SUI | 12 | 42% | +25.4 | +15.36 |
| ADA | 11 | 27% | -59.9 | -33.25 |
| DOGE | 10 | 60% | +125.1 | +62.86 |
| LTC | 9 | 11% | -190.8 | -85.88 |
| LINK | 9 | 44% | +41.6 | +18.69 |
| AVAX | 8 | 25% | -123.0 | -49.44 |
| NEAR | 7 | 71% | +231.1 | +80.82 |
| OP | 6 | 0% | -268.3 | -80.23 |
| BNB | 6 | 67% | +41.2 | +12.20 |
| UNI | 6 | 33% | -68.5 | -20.56 |
| DOT | 6 | 33% | +11.7 | +3.51 |
| ACE | 5 | 20% | -136.0 | -34.00 |
| ICP | 5 | 60% | +149.7 | +37.42 |
| SAGA | 5 | 20% | -93.0 | -23.24 |
| ATOM | 4 | 25% | -92.6 | -18.63 |
| ARB | 4 | 0% | -264.4 | -52.92 |
| BCH | 4 | 25% | -89.8 | -17.96 |
| INJ | 4 | 50% | +84.8 | +16.97 |
| ONDO | 4 | 50% | +83.5 | +16.71 |
| BLUR | 4 | 50% | +47.9 | +9.59 |
| HYPE | 4 | 25% | -88.1 | -17.62 |
| FIL | 4 | 25% | -193.7 | -38.75 |
| APT | 3 | 33% | -30.8 | -4.61 |
| ETC | 3 | 0% | -282.5 | -42.37 |
| KAS | 3 | 33% | -36.6 | -5.49 |
| TRX | 3 | 67% | +76.4 | +11.46 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| RENDER | 2 | 50% | +89.4 | +8.94 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| AAVE | 2 | 0% | -261.5 | -26.15 |
| XMR | 2 | 0% | -262.7 | -26.27 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| XLM | 1 | 100% | +429.4 | +21.47 |
| HBAR | 1 | 0% | -31.8 | -1.59 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 21)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 16:25 | AAVE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 16:25 | ETH | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 08:21 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 04:10 | ATOM | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 04:10 | NEAR | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 04:10 | BNB | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 00:14 | DOT | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 00:14 | XRP | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 16:15 | HYPE | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 16:15 | TRX | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 16:15 | OP | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 16:15 | SOL | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 12:13 | UNI | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 12:13 | NEAR | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 08:12 | INJ | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 08:12 | SUI | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 00:10 | DOGE | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 20:18 | SOL | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 16:23 | SUI | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-24 16:23 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||