regime_state_transition_volatility_spike_fade

not live
5
closed trades
40%
win rate
-11.81
total pnl ($)
1.187
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=0% pnl=-9.72  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 12:58:37 (40.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: acj
n: 1  ·  wr: 100.0%  ·  total_bps: +55.1  ·  mean_bps: +55.11  ·  sharpe: +0.00  ·  max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 5 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-25 13:39BTCBuy61780.1→60631.6-9.72stop_loss
06-21 00:08BTCBuy63993.2→64226.8+1.37timeout
06-16 16:06BTCBuy66319.3→65820.7-4.24timeout
06-14 00:09BTCBuy64084.2→64407.8+2.07timeout
06-13 00:05BTCBuy63642.2→63537.8-1.29timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
5
closed
40%
win rate
-11.81
total pnl ($)
-47.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC540%-47.1-11.81

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems