17
closed trades
53%
win rate
-4.77
total pnl ($)
1.160
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 07:12:52 (43.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
abf
n: 9
· wr: 55.6%
· total_bps: -9.2
· mean_bps: -1.02
· sharpe: -0.01
· max_dd_bps: -213.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 17 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 03:20 | BTC | Sell | 73871.3→73908.7 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 05-28 01:33 | BTC | Sell | 75194.2→74343.7 | +5.99 | timeout |
| 05-27 20:33 | BTC | Sell | 75418.2→75201.8 | +1.15 | timeout |
| 05-27 13:03 | BTC | Sell | 75942.2→75677.8 | +1.47 | timeout |
| 05-27 06:35 | BTC | Sell | 75811.2→75709.8 | +0.22 | timeout |
| 05-26 05:21 | BTC | Sell | 77079.1→76839.8 | +1.27 | timeout |
| 05-25 00:32 | BTC | Sell | 76609.2→77140.9 | -4.49 | timeout |
| 05-24 19:33 | BTC | Sell | 76453.2→76616.8 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 05-24 09:36 | BTC | Sell | 76703.2→76915.8 | -2.08 | timeout |
| 05-24 04:36 | BTC | Sell | 76634.2→76728.8 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 05-23 20:59 | BTC | Sell | 75869.2→77277.5 | -11.19 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 20:08 | BTC | Sell | 76845.2→75959.8 | +6.12 | timeout |
| 05-21 15:25 | BTC | Sell | 77544.1→77222.9 | +1.88 | timeout |
| 05-21 10:14 | BTC | Sell | 77860.1→77616.9 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 05-21 02:12 | BTC | Sell | 77749.1→77884.9 | -1.51 | timeout |
| 05-01 05:18 | BTC | Sell | 76490.2→77058.9 | -4.82 | timeout |
| 04-30 05:53 | BTC | Sell | 76225→75672 | +3.65 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
17
closed
53%
win rate
-4.77
total pnl ($)
-5.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 17 | 53% | -5.0 | -4.77 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 05:18 | BTC | Sell | -4.82 | At market close, BTC had rallied +2.02% over 24 hours to $77,046 with neutral 1-hour momentum (-0.09%), while funding rates turned slightly negative (-0.008086%), indicating weakening leverage conviction despite the broader uptrend. The trade's short thesis… |
| 04-30 05:53 | BTC | SELL | -4.69 | # Trade Analysis Market context at close showed BTC consolidating near $75.5K with mild 24-hour weakness (-2.21%) and funding rates deeply negative (-0.0044%), signaling overlevered long positioning vulnerable to deleveraging cascades. The trade's thesis f… |