22
closed trades
50%
win rate
-7.28
total pnl ($)
1.227
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 19:19:25 (40.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
aax__restored_5572abb8
n: 15
· wr: 73.3%
· total_bps: +352.3
· mean_bps: +23.48
· sharpe: +0.32
· max_dd_bps: -156.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 22 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 02:07 | ETH | Sell | 2074.49→2113.57 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 20:37 | ETH | Sell | 2060.69→2099.16 | -12.68 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 15:11 | ETH | Sell | 2030.9→2068.74 | -12.68 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 09:39 | ETH | Sell | 2065.39→2027.3 | +11.41 | timeout |
| 05-23 04:39 | ETH | Sell | 2071.89→2066.91 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 05-22 23:39 | ETH | Sell | 2109.89→2072.11 | +11.08 | timeout |
| 05-22 16:17 | ETH | Sell | 2120.69→2119.21 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 05-22 11:17 | ETH | Sell | 2128.39→2120.91 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 05-22 06:18 | ETH | Sell | 2129.99→2128.81 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 05-21 22:21 | ETH | Sell | 2143.39→2133.11 | +2.55 | timeout |
| 05-21 15:15 | ETH | Sell | 2127.69→2131.91 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 05-21 10:14 | ETH | Sell | 2141.49→2128.41 | +3.40 | timeout |
| 05-21 04:07 | ETH | Sell | 2125.09→2148.31 | -7.65 | timeout |
| 05-20 23:06 | ETH | Sell | 2137.69→2125.81 | +3.04 | timeout |
| 05-20 17:25 | ETH | Sell | 2130.69→2143.31 | -4.42 | timeout |
| 05-20 12:26 | ETH | Sell | 2134.09→2131.11 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 05-19 22:04 | ETH | Sell | 2121.89→2110.21 | +3.03 | timeout |
| 05-18 17:02 | ETH | Sell | 2140.69→2098.91 | +12.09 | timeout |
| 05-16 12:14 | ETH | Sell | 2189.98→2190.2 | -0.64 | timeout |
| 05-12 03:43 | ETH | Sell | 2339.37→2339.83 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 04-30 08:13 | ETH | Sell | 2245.4→2260.03 | -4.80 | timeout |
| 04-30 02:44 | ETH | Sell | 2248.8→2241.1 | +1.64 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
22
closed
50%
win rate
-7.28
total pnl ($)
-5.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 22 | 50% | -5.4 | -7.28 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 08:13 | ETH | SELL | +3.63 | Bitcoin dominance was rising with both BTC and ETH down moderately over 24h (-1.30% and -2.96% respectively), while ETH funding rates remained positive at 0.001472%, indicating continued long positioning despite the weakness. The trade's thesis worked margi… |
| 04-30 02:44 | ETH | SELL | -2.81 | ETH was declining moderately (-1.52% on the 1h, -2.07% on the 24h) while BTC held firmer (-0.97% on the 1h), signaling a weakening of the relative alt weakness that the regime signal required. The trade's short thesis failed because BTC dominance did not su… |