241
closed trades
42%
win rate
-72.99
total pnl ($)
0.678
weight
7d window — n=50 wr=36% pnl=-82.59
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 15:22:46 (39.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aup
n: 68
· wr: 44.1%
· total_bps: -999.8
· mean_bps: -14.70
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -2066.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 15:17 | XMR | Buy | 313.558→305.711 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-30 13:32 | UNI | Sell | 2.88738→2.76169 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-30 11:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0734584→0.0716173 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-30 04:03 | ACE | Sell | 0.0736816→0.0755566 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-30 04:03 | FIL | Buy | 0.725021→0.724989 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 06-29 20:12 | BTC | Sell | 59548→60454 | -7.91 | timeout |
| 06-29 19:43 | XRP | Sell | 1.04884→1.07511 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 17:13 | ETH | Sell | 1568.34→1607.16 | -12.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 08:13 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0736376→0.0726982 | +6.07 | timeout |
| 06-29 00:07 | OP | Buy | 0.100625→0.0994451 | -6.24 | timeout |
| 06-29 00:07 | AVAX | Sell | 6.42069→6.4077 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 06-28 20:08 | SUI | Sell | 0.685649→0.67966 | +4.00 | timeout |
| 06-28 16:03 | ONDO | Sell | 0.3185→0.308857 | +14.69 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:16 | RENDER | Sell | 1.6008→1.53108 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-27 22:16 | SUI | Sell | 0.709143→0.67818 | +21.22 | take_profit |
| 06-27 21:21 | NEAR | Sell | 1.86363→1.91033 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.9759→71.1667 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:04 | LINK | Buy | 7.36754→7.45174 | +5.48 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:16 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0147773→0.0151554 | -13.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 11:28 | DOT | Buy | 0.859305→0.837791 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 21:03 | AAVE | Buy | 95.3418→92.9482 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322761→0.31966 | -5.25 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.2004→63.7588 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | BNB | Buy | 568.182→553.764 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82046→1.77327 | -13.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63851→1.5967 | -13.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | SOL | Buy | 70.4576→68.7113 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:12 | UNI | Sell | 2.85769→2.9297 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:01 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731963→0.0712915 | -13.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.31258→4.20444 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.596649→0.581364 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.2991→67.9451 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7476→63.2974 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:17 | XMR | Sell | 313.482→299.705 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277851→0.0265556 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:51 | ICP | Sell | 2.22954→2.13203 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:47 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0753858→0.0734839 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60302→61789 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:09 | SOL | Sell | 67.3779→69.0539 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1594.74→1634.28 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.31542→4.12713 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0153152→0.0145826 | +23.47 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | BCH | Sell | 193.792→185.286 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:48 | OP | Sell | 0.101984→0.0974844 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:42 | AAVE | Buy | 76.206→74.2843 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:03 | ARB | Buy | 0.0789097→0.0785704 | -2.66 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:02 | SOL | Sell | 69.2866→69.6815 | -3.31 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:04 | BTC | Sell | 62800.9→62661.1 | +0.69 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:08 | BNB | Sell | 591.192→576.794 | +11.87 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:16 | FIL | Buy | 0.756619→0.790912 | +22.21 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Sell | 1724.43→1647.36 | +21.82 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:15 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0828863→0.0792398 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:10 | LTC | Sell | 45.0037→43.7989 | +12.94 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.15852→0.15972 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:03 | LINK | Buy | 7.86417→7.89693 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:11 | AAVE | Buy | 74.3986→75.1252 | +4.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.9801→72.7281 | -8.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:06 | UNI | Buy | 3.00775→3.01115 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:05 | LINK | Sell | 7.96151→7.86797 | +5.52 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1710.33→1752.65 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:07 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0804819→0.0782446 | +13.45 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:06 | INJ | Buy | 4.99175→4.95906 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:07 | BTC | Buy | 64005.2→64157.8 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:48 | ACE | Buy | 0.0908227→0.0948763 | +21.87 | take_profit |
| 06-21 04:05 | XLM | Buy | 0.212323→0.214426 | +4.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:05 | RENDER | Sell | 1.74466→1.70273 | +11.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:05 | ETC | Sell | 7.6174→7.44556 | +10.83 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:05 | HBAR | Sell | 0.080146→0.080205 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:16 | ACE | Buy | 0.0849212→0.0827379 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 11:31 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0131967→0.0135301 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 20:05 | BNB | Sell | 580.045→579.715 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:08 | ETH | Sell | 1688.53→1705.77 | -5.55 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:08 | BTC | Sell | 62610.9→63139.2 | -4.69 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | OP | Buy | 0.100875→0.105294 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-19 12:37 | DOT | Buy | 0.969382→0.945021 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 08:05 | LTC | Sell | 44.4669→43.4549 | +10.55 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | LINK | Buy | 8.0069→7.80654 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:51 | SOL | Sell | 71.8902→68.7413 | +21.57 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1772.32→1694.57 | +21.16 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.74471→6.44951 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:11 | BNB | Buy | 606.732→591.496 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02654→0.981545 | +21.47 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:29 | SUI | Buy | 0.796499→0.776527 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64824.8→66422.5 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:43 | UNI | Sell | 3.26418→3.34831 | -13.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:57 | XMR | Buy | 352.348→343.502 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:04 | LINK | Sell | 8.28703→8.28047 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:09 | DOT | Sell | 0.99918→1.02437 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 218.015→223.578 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0135666 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-16 14:33 | HYPE | Buy | 75.1388→73.2111 | -13.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108227→0.105511 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 09:26 | NEAR | Sell | 2.45219→2.51408 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82129→6.99204 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:16 | XLM | Sell | 0.213287→0.218764 | -13.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 75.0713→73.2104 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.25821→1.22668 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 00:03 | LTC | Sell | 45.3857→45.6914 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.78→1795.82 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:22 | LINK | Buy | 8.54083→8.32465 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
241
closed
42%
win rate
-72.99
total pnl ($)
-6.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 15 | 33% | -85.7 | -63.60 |
| ETH | 14 | 50% | +50.2 | +35.14 |
| LINK | 12 | 58% | -46.1 | -26.98 |
| BTC | 11 | 36% | -90.4 | -49.40 |
| XRP | 10 | 30% | -51.1 | -24.88 |
| SUI | 10 | 60% | +96.3 | +48.09 |
| UNI | 9 | 44% | +4.7 | +2.12 |
| DOT | 9 | 33% | -66.6 | -29.99 |
| DOGE | 8 | 50% | -30.6 | -11.70 |
| LTC | 7 | 57% | +1.2 | +0.11 |
| ADA | 7 | 43% | +28.0 | +10.24 |
| BNB | 7 | 43% | +7.9 | +2.66 |
| OP | 7 | 43% | +52.0 | +18.14 |
| NEAR | 6 | 33% | -32.3 | -9.90 |
| INJ | 6 | 33% | -2.6 | -0.96 |
| APT | 6 | 0% | -197.7 | -59.16 |
| HYPE | 6 | 17% | -146.8 | -44.03 |
| HBAR | 6 | 33% | -77.2 | -23.15 |
| ACE | 6 | 33% | -38.3 | -11.49 |
| BCH | 6 | 33% | -32.4 | -9.71 |
| AVAX | 6 | 50% | -42.0 | -12.70 |
| AAVE | 6 | 50% | -96.9 | -29.08 |
| ONDO | 5 | 80% | +261.7 | +65.42 |
| FIL | 5 | 40% | -4.8 | -1.21 |
| ARB | 5 | 40% | +88.7 | +22.27 |
| XMR | 5 | 60% | +154.1 | +38.53 |
| KAS | 5 | 60% | +155.7 | +38.93 |
| ICP | 4 | 25% | -91.4 | -18.27 |
| SAGA | 4 | 50% | +83.9 | +16.78 |
| TRX | 4 | 50% | +9.7 | +1.94 |
| RENDER | 4 | 75% | +205.9 | +41.18 |
| ETC | 4 | 50% | +67.6 | +13.51 |
| BLUR | 4 | 75% | +212.6 | +42.51 |
| XLM | 4 | 25% | -177.5 | -35.51 |
| ATOM | 3 | 33% | -35.9 | -5.36 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 1 | 0% | -14.0 | -0.70 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||