range_compression_breakout_with_volume_confirmation

not live
19
closed trades
26%
win rate
-19.55
total pnl ($)
1.081
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 04:12:23 (32.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: pz
n: 0  ·  wr: 0.0%  ·  total_bps: +0.0  ·  mean_bps: +0.00  ·  sharpe: +0.00  ·  max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 19 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-11 10:41BTCBuy80749→81058.9+1.46timeout
05-11 10:37BTCSell80672→81032.1-2.67timeout
05-10 22:18BTCSell81000.9→81304.1-2.32timeout
05-10 16:53BTCSell80906→81305.1-2.91timeout
05-10 15:27BTCBuy80962→80942-0.58timeout
05-10 10:30BTCBuy80846→80787-0.82timeout
05-10 04:32BTCBuy80696→80794+0.15timeout
05-10 02:25BTCBuy80713→80670-0.72timeout
05-09 23:49BTCSell80737→80655+0.05timeout
05-09 12:44BTCBuy80295→80303-0.40timeout
05-09 07:43BTCBuy80454→80166-2.24timeout
05-08 14:51BTCSell79996→80149-1.40timeout
05-03 12:32BTCSell78397.1→78698.9-2.37timeout
05-03 10:11BTCBuy78417.9→78436.1-0.33timeout
05-03 08:17BTCSell78111.1→78435.9-2.54timeout
05-03 07:10BTCBuy78193.9→78371.1+0.69timeout
05-03 06:31BTCBuy78189.9→78090.1-1.08timeout
05-02 03:35BTCBuy78373.9→78448.1+0.03timeout
05-01 11:46BTCSell77191.1→77361.9-1.55timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
19
closed
26%
win rate
-19.55
total pnl ($)
-20.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC1926%-20.6-19.55

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82The market was in a mild uptrend with low volatility and slightly negative funding, indicating a neutral-to-bullish but cautious environment. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, likely from a lack of sufficient price movement to…
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight upward drift over the hour and day. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allowed time.
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight gains over the past 24 hours and week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allowed time window.
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching an entry or exit, resulting in a small negative PnL from fees or slippage.
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82The market was in a low-volatility consolidation phase with BTC flat across multiple timeframes and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding p…
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight gains over the past 24 hours and week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, likely as the market lacked sufficient directional movement to trigger an exit within…
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82The market was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with BTC flat over the hour and week, while funding and OI showed no directional conviction. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching any target or stop, as the lack of momentum and tigh…
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with declining open interest, offering no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching an entry trigger, resulting in a small negative PnL from the timeout c…
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing minimal directional bias across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period.
05-10 10:30BTCBuy-0.82BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing minimal directional bias across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching the target or stop, as the market lacked the momentum needed to trigger an exit before th…