180
closed trades
41%
win rate
-385.47
total pnl ($)
1.215
weight
7d window — n=27 wr=48% pnl=+19.33
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:21:54 (26.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 139
· wr: 36.7%
· total_bps: -3691.5
· mean_bps: -26.56
· sharpe: -0.31
· max_dd_bps: -4060.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 19:32 | LTC | Buy | 42.7707→43.3442 | +9.32 | timeout |
| 06-29 14:23 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56714→6.44077 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 05:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.142436→0.143804 | +6.53 | timeout |
| 06-28 12:18 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30648→6.30142 | -1.33 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:16 | SOL | Buy | 71.5137→70.1534 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 21:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.147277→0.144472 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0756099→0.0751912 | -4.85 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:39 | LTC | Buy | 42.2936→42.5734 | +4.35 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4151→6.61735 | +22.96 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:33 | LTC | Buy | 40.4451→41.7196 | +22.92 | take_profit |
| 06-26 11:53 | AVAX | Buy | 6.22156→6.09902 | -15.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.139125→0.143524 | +23.06 | take_profit |
| 06-25 20:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0731373→0.0738245 | +6.33 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149297→0.14641 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.149307→0.147933 | -7.58 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4204→6.51227 | +10.08 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0731023→0.0754061 | +22.97 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0747617→0.073321 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.7903→67.4971 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0789317→0.0774269 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 02:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.150118→0.152752 | +12.43 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:45 | LTC | Buy | 41.8435→42.2544 | +6.73 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.34118→6.44039 | +11.00 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795809→0.0784044 | -11.64 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23766→6.43519 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.155139→0.152116 | -15.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15861→0.1584 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-22 21:02 | LINK | Buy | 8.03041→7.91702 | -11.28 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:04 | SOL | Buy | 73.8501→72.8921 | -10.34 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831848→0.0836661 | +3.67 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:15 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825956→0.0830542 | +3.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 74.3371→72.9396 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834599→0.0833951 | -1.23 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:33 | LTC | Buy | 44.6432→45.0057 | +5.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.162981→0.161 | -9.74 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833408→0.083957 | +4.88 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:00 | LTC | Buy | 44.056→44.173 | +1.28 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:02 | SOL | Buy | 68.7673→69.3116 | +5.29 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:49 | AVAX | Buy | 5.75334→5.93822 | +23.42 | take_profit |
| 06-19 10:34 | LTC | Buy | 43.3018→43.3921 | +0.93 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31638→6.19535 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:30 | LTC | Buy | 43.2768→43.7731 | +7.87 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:37 | LINK | Buy | 8.03101→7.87709 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 04:16 | LTC | Buy | 44.7332→44.3179 | -7.65 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | LINK | Buy | 8.12303→7.96802 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6209→71.3733 | -13.62 | timeout |
| 06-17 17:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.8007→6.91287 | +11.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:30 | SOL | Buy | 72.9119→71.5385 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 07:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171193→0.171407 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.26→73.7519 | +4.36 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.83281→6.84179 | +0.33 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.178325→0.175876 | -11.00 | timeout |
| 06-16 01:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0887092→0.087943 | -7.15 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:33 | AVAX | Buy | 6.96584→6.90377 | -7.39 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.90993→7.03844 | +13.23 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.182146→0.180535 | -7.33 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:00 | LINK | Buy | 7.96919→8.23054 | +23.90 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:41 | LINK | Buy | 7.83166→8.08438 | +23.55 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859995→0.087866 | +15.63 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:38 | SOL | Buy | 68.2492→66.9664 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 11:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.91588→7.93412 | +1.05 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.172453→0.170477 | -9.19 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.7393→68.2998 | -5.44 | timeout |
| 06-14 01:39 | AVAX | Buy | 6.70668→6.70592 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.69837→6.71342 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:58 | LTC | Buy | 43.979→43.6291 | -6.63 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872618→0.088162 | +7.03 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:53 | LTC | Buy | 43.2508→43.3052 | +0.21 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:39 | LTC | Buy | 42.9687→43.3462 | +5.86 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.82045→7.84704 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-12 10:16 | SOL | Buy | 67.1001→67.1549 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860055→0.0861964 | +0.93 | timeout |
| 06-12 05:55 | SOL | Buy | 66.84→66.701 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 06-12 00:03 | LTC | Buy | 42.7537→42.4224 | -6.45 | timeout |
| 06-11 20:36 | LTC | Buy | 42.5496→42.3824 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.164851→0.170077 | +23.05 | take_profit |
| 06-10 17:31 | LTC | Buy | 42.6086→41.7637 | -15.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:47 | AVAX | Buy | 6.58245→6.45386 | -15.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:56 | LINK | Buy | 7.70763→7.79555 | +7.95 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833828→0.0850547 | +14.37 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0853273→0.0836922 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0858915→0.0842468 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837559→0.0864214 | +23.19 | take_profit |
| 06-07 12:34 | SOL | Buy | 64.9167→63.6726 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 10:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.84701→6.71596 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 19:22 | LINK | Buy | 7.39625→7.31317 | -9.06 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:31 | SOL | Buy | 61.3402→61.6428 | +3.06 | timeout |
| 06-06 06:13 | LTC | Buy | 41.0903→42.4084 | +23.39 | take_profit |
| 06-06 03:24 | LINK | Buy | 7.44086→7.29902 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 23:16 | AVAX | Buy | 6.87112→6.74014 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:00 | LTC | Buy | 43.1928→42.3672 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.92283→6.7911 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:50 | LINK | Buy | 7.63261→7.48728 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:10 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828707→0.084073 | +10.16 | timeout |
| 06-05 12:31 | SOL | Buy | 66.624→65.3615 | -14.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 03:12 | LINK | Buy | 7.90798→7.75768 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 23:43 | SOL | Buy | 68.6093→68.6607 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-04 17:56 | AVAX | Buy | 7.65371→7.75306 | +9.08 | timeout |
| 06-04 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.193618→0.189917 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 05:05 | LINK | Buy | 8.31108→8.15288 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
180
closed
41%
win rate
-385.47
total pnl ($)
-28.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 38 | 34% | -50.3 | -143.24 |
| DOGE | 36 | 39% | -28.6 | -77.36 |
| AVAX | 31 | 45% | -16.0 | -37.21 |
| LTC | 29 | 66% | +15.7 | +34.00 |
| ADA | 28 | 21% | -50.7 | -105.88 |
| LINK | 18 | 39% | -41.2 | -55.77 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||