221
closed trades
40%
win rate
-296.45
total pnl ($)
1.019
weight
7d window — n=37 wr=41% pnl=-34.46
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:21:54 (23.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 195
· wr: 44.1%
· total_bps: -3299.7
· mean_bps: -16.92
· sharpe: -0.22
· max_dd_bps: -3595.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.147577→0.147043 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:20 | LTC | Buy | 42.4016→42.1695 | -3.77 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.40575→7.35926 | -4.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:30 | AVAX | Buy | 6.58475→6.63214 | +3.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:10 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0756199→0.0752592 | -3.42 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:00 | LTC | Buy | 41.4364→41.6036 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:53 | SOL | Buy | 68.7783→70.2715 | +12.48 | take_profit |
| 06-26 08:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.146437→0.144302 | -9.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 05:28 | LTC | Buy | 40.4841→41.3707 | +12.60 | take_profit |
| 06-25 19:17 | LINK | Buy | 7.25431→7.15263 | -8.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.15134→6.06235 | -9.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076022→0.0749298 | -9.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0766372→0.0771757 | +3.67 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4204→6.43479 | +0.82 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0731023→0.0746743 | +12.37 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0751218→0.0740644 | -8.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | SOL | Buy | 68.8953→67.9388 | -8.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:03 | SOL | Buy | 69.3374→69.7785 | +3.28 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:00 | LTC | Buy | 41.7254→42.1285 | +5.26 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49472→6.48838 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:11 | SOL | Buy | 68.8453→69.0726 | +1.47 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:39 | AVAX | Buy | 6.34929→6.27713 | -7.35 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796379→0.0785071 | -9.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 11:32 | LTC | Buy | 43.2818→43.6201 | +4.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0813913→0.0802488 | -8.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.15938→0.15935 | -0.64 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.15973→0.15932 | -2.04 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843581→0.083913 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25326→6.36401 | +10.08 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832008→0.0832772 | +0.00 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.80075→7.96901 | +12.40 | take_profit |
| 06-22 00:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825766→0.0824414 | -1.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833708→0.0831772 | -1.92 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:33 | LTC | Buy | 46.0725→45.4099 | -9.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 12:10 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26777→6.27283 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.162411→0.1601 | -9.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 16:27 | LINK | Buy | 7.87517→7.94181 | +4.54 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163061→0.162989 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.6557→71.3573 | -3.06 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:38 | LTC | Buy | 43.937→43.898 | -1.09 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:09 | AVAX | Buy | 5.88187→5.78486 | -10.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 13:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823436→0.0825144 | +0.71 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.15967→0.15933 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:53 | LINK | Buy | 7.82816→7.84574 | +0.82 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822966→0.0825424 | +1.25 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084041→0.0828478 | -9.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0853153→0.0841139 | -8.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0870638→0.0858186 | -9.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.168542→0.172257 | +12.67 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854914→0.0863984 | +5.83 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0870157→0.0857656 | -9.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 03:02 | LTC | Buy | 45.7184→45.6896 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:43 | LTC | Buy | 45.6944→45.7955 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:28 | LINK | Buy | 8.16954→8.27353 | +7.09 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087833→0.086596 | -8.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.92623→6.97756 | +3.93 | timeout |
| 06-16 07:16 | SOL | Buy | 73.674→74.2009 | +3.76 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:19 | LINK | Buy | 8.3841→8.34291 | -3.51 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:27 | AVAX | Buy | 6.94564→7.00795 | +4.84 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:03 | SOL | Buy | 75.9524→74.9003 | -8.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:18 | AVAX | Buy | 6.88072→6.93217 | +3.94 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.180525→0.179525 | -3.87 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 67.5271→69.0866 | +13.33 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.83166→7.85384 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.167582→0.165216 | -9.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 14:08 | SOL | Buy | 68.0692→67.6958 | -3.81 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.91588→7.91762 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.172583→0.172387 | -1.22 | timeout |
| 06-14 03:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.7593→68.8617 | +0.39 | timeout |
| 06-14 01:13 | LTC | Buy | 44.205→44.4729 | +3.08 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.70528→6.69942 | -1.06 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.69327→6.69343 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:57 | LTC | Buy | 43.966→44.021 | +0.25 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873488→0.087844 | +2.85 | timeout |
| 06-13 03:30 | LTC | Buy | 43.0918→43.2432 | +1.55 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:01 | LINK | Buy | 7.82045→7.9887 | +12.37 | take_profit |
| 06-12 13:41 | AVAX | Buy | 6.63936→6.54619 | -8.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 10:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854764→0.0868493 | +9.08 | timeout |
| 06-12 05:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860055→0.0869443 | +5.99 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.166262→0.163917 | -9.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:20 | LTC | Buy | 41.3653→42.0835 | +9.90 | timeout |
| 06-10 22:28 | LTC | Buy | 41.6854→41.4486 | -3.94 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:29 | LTC | Buy | 42.5786→41.9705 | -9.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:33 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56094→6.57726 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:57 | LINK | Buy | 7.70503→7.75126 | +3.07 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.167402→0.168578 | +3.67 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:20 | SOL | Buy | 64.6097→63.7186 | -8.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859125→0.0847104 | -8.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:14 | LTC | Buy | 42.8767→42.2683 | -9.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:59 | LTC | Buy | 42.5046→42.8323 | +4.12 | timeout |
| 06-08 23:17 | AVAX | Buy | 6.76249→6.7851 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.167302→0.170907 | +12.38 | take_profit |
| 06-08 10:11 | LTC | Buy | 42.6066→42.8453 | +2.83 | timeout |
| 06-08 02:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0857014→0.0855626 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 06-07 19:15 | LTC | Buy | 41.6874→41.1042 | -8.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 12:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0846322→0.0834464 | -8.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 10:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.84891→6.75273 | -8.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 09:42 | SOL | Buy | 64.8857→65.1092 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-07 06:43 | LINK | Buy | 7.55019→7.70187 | +11.49 | timeout |
| 06-07 03:19 | SOL | Buy | 62.5764→63.9344 | +12.49 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
221
closed
40%
win rate
-296.45
total pnl ($)
-22.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE | 47 | 38% | -28.6 | -80.73 |
| SOL | 44 | 41% | -18.9 | -49.71 |
| LTC | 44 | 41% | -33.4 | -88.04 |
| AVAX | 35 | 43% | -19.9 | -41.75 |
| ADA | 30 | 27% | -23.7 | -42.45 |
| LINK | 21 | 52% | +5.0 | +6.23 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:58 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||