72
closed trades
51%
win rate
-1.01
total pnl ($)
1.371
weight
7d window — n=12 wr=50% pnl=+24.52
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:18:18 (23.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 75
· wr: 41.3%
· total_bps: -1062.7
· mean_bps: -14.17
· sharpe: -0.20
· max_dd_bps: -1062.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 72 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 07:37 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56974→6.55926 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32998→6.46728 | +8.31 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0725681→0.0741395 | +8.30 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:40 | SOL | Buy | 68.2002→67.2573 | -5.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | LTC | Buy | 39.6589→40.5369 | +8.50 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:01 | LTC | Buy | 42.1585→42.0635 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:59 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20615→6.24214 | +1.97 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:51 | LTC | Buy | 44.6312→44.5209 | -1.33 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:49 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25226→6.36491 | +6.85 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:45 | LINK | Buy | 7.9885→7.95001 | -2.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:48 | LTC | Buy | 44.5591→44.4749 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.86617→7.94161 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:38 | LTC | Buy | 43.937→43.898 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823436→0.0825144 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 06-19 01:06 | SOL | Buy | 69.5024→69.9305 | +2.09 | timeout |
| 06-18 11:52 | LTC | Buy | 44.5101→43.98 | -5.13 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.169182→0.166805 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0869567→0.0857357 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 18:24 | LINK | Buy | 8.17324→8.28453 | +5.08 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0869607→0.0872802 | +1.12 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.95244→7.00835 | +2.85 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:53 | LTC | Buy | 45.2023→45.1327 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-14 15:07 | LTC | Buy | 44.041→43.943 | -1.23 | timeout |
| 06-14 03:03 | LTC | Buy | 44.2971→44.3229 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0871578→0.087809 | +2.62 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0887482→0.0906963 | +8.42 | take_profit |
| 06-12 05:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0861115→0.0869753 | +3.64 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:44 | LTC | Buy | 42.5226→41.9155 | -6.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:20 | LTC | Buy | 41.3653→42.0835 | +6.60 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:57 | LINK | Buy | 7.70313→7.75126 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 06-09 12:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.167842→0.168088 | +0.22 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.171373→0.168973 | -5.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 08:50 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56964→6.64344 | +4.14 | timeout |
| 06-07 17:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.16195→0.163089 | +2.44 | timeout |
| 06-07 03:28 | SOL | Buy | 62.6054→63.9704 | +8.37 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:02 | LTC | Buy | 41.0903→40.5126 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.92603→6.82908 | -5.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 04:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.15839→0.16188 | +8.45 | take_profit |
| 06-04 18:51 | LTC | Buy | 46.2986→46.5154 | +1.50 | timeout |
| 06-04 05:02 | SOL | Buy | 71.3877→70.4012 | -5.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 18:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.209762→0.206695 | -6.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:44 | LTC | Buy | 47.6899→46.9997 | -6.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 11:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.223986→0.223044 | -2.02 | timeout |
| 06-02 06:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.225946→0.222773 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 16:28 | LINK | Buy | 8.94163→8.91787 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 05-31 22:16 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0993598→0.100455 | +4.04 | timeout |
| 05-31 04:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.237079→0.23798 | +1.19 | timeout |
| 05-30 17:56 | LINK | Buy | 9.1971→9.24349 | +1.64 | timeout |
| 05-30 07:38 | AVAX | Buy | 8.83861→8.90127 | +2.46 | timeout |
| 05-29 12:12 | SOL | Buy | 82.4524→81.6557 | -4.24 | timeout |
| 05-28 18:38 | LTC | Buy | 51.3038→51.859 | +3.95 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:18 | SOL | Buy | 82.5784→81.419 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 15:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.101905→0.102874 | +3.43 | timeout |
| 05-27 03:23 | LTC | Buy | 52.003→52.025 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.102546→0.102664 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 05-26 01:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.243261→0.23984 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 05-25 14:59 | ADA | Buy | 0.244621→0.245968 | +1.83 | timeout |
| 05-25 01:30 | LTC | Buy | 52.6832→52.7958 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 05-24 13:29 | SOL | Buy | 86.404→86.2041 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 05-23 22:35 | LINK | Buy | 9.69002→9.54484 | -6.36 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 11:45 | LTC | Buy | 51.875→52.058 | +1.06 | timeout |
| 05-22 23:34 | AVAX | Buy | 9.22941→9.197 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 05-22 11:09 | SOL | Buy | 87.0421→86.925 | -0.91 | timeout |
| 05-21 22:50 | LINK | Buy | 9.78635→9.74006 | -2.27 | timeout |
| 05-21 09:46 | AVAX | Buy | 9.39185→9.40075 | +0.00 | timeout |
| 05-20 21:35 | LTC | Buy | 54.1795→54.1445 | -0.63 | timeout |
| 05-20 08:24 | SOL | Buy | 84.6337→84.7353 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 05-19 20:05 | AVAX | Buy | 9.17429→9.11492 | -2.96 | timeout |
| 05-19 07:32 | LTC | Buy | 54.3276→54.4094 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 05-18 10:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.103766→0.104054 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 05-16 06:50 | LINK | Buy | 9.9885→9.84961 | -5.90 | stop_loss |
| 05-15 18:25 | LINK | Buy | 10.0045→10.0945 | +3.23 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
72
closed
51%
win rate
-1.01
total pnl ($)
-0.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTC | 20 | 35% | -10.7 | -8.56 |
| DOGE | 11 | 91% | +61.2 | +26.94 |
| AVAX | 11 | 64% | +33.9 | +14.89 |
| ADA | 11 | 45% | -41.0 | -18.00 |
| LINK | 10 | 50% | -6.6 | -2.67 |
| SOL | 9 | 33% | -37.7 | -13.62 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||