222
closed trades
37%
win rate
-415.95
total pnl ($)
0.961
weight
7d window — n=42 wr=36% pnl=-24.53
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:18:18 (26.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 49
· wr: 26.5%
· total_bps: -1548.6
· mean_bps: -31.60
· sharpe: -0.39
· max_dd_bps: -1615.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 07:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.144316→0.145364 | +4.77 | timeout |
| 06-30 03:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0726151→0.0724719 | -2.14 | timeout |
| 06-29 19:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.67067→6.70432 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-29 15:05 | LTC | Buy | 42.7827→42.1773 | -11.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 13:16 | LINK | Buy | 7.34864→7.34886 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-29 05:05 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0730383→0.072016 | -11.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 00:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.48022→6.38831 | -11.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 00:22 | LTC | Buy | 42.5636→42.4644 | -2.45 | timeout |
| 06-28 19:20 | LTC | Buy | 43.0698→42.4651 | -11.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 18:17 | LTC | Buy | 42.9927→42.9733 | -0.98 | timeout |
| 06-28 16:09 | LTC | Buy | 42.9317→42.9133 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-28 13:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0735524→0.0733797 | -2.42 | timeout |
| 06-28 10:57 | AVAX | Buy | 6.33078→6.31512 | -2.56 | timeout |
| 06-28 01:17 | SOL | Buy | 70.3876→70.5914 | +1.52 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:31 | SOL | Buy | 71.9298→70.9299 | -11.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.07618→0.0752192 | -10.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755729→0.075945 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.147227→0.147813 | +2.33 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.37774→7.34846 | -3.64 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0757929→0.0756711 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.148427→0.146923 | -8.27 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32998→6.46728 | +15.58 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.146277→0.144212 | -11.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0725681→0.0741395 | +15.57 | take_profit |
| 06-26 00:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.143306→0.143224 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:23 | LINK | Buy | 7.23941→7.13764 | -11.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | LINK | Buy | 7.12698→7.28478 | +15.93 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:40 | SOL | Buy | 68.2002→67.2573 | -11.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4107→6.54876 | +15.48 | take_profit |
| 06-25 02:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4117→6.43039 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:49 | LTC | Buy | 39.963→40.8388 | +15.77 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | SOL | Buy | 65.2198→66.664 | +15.96 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0753338→0.0742783 | -11.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.147637→0.145491 | -11.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0789417→0.0789403 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:01 | LTC | Buy | 42.1585→42.0635 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.150118→0.151352 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.150548→0.150352 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:19 | LTC | Buy | 42.1845→42.0575 | -2.91 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23406→6.37071 | +15.77 | take_profit |
| 06-23 14:06 | LTC | Buy | 43.4619→43.2502 | -4.33 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:32 | LTC | Buy | 43.2818→43.6201 | +5.18 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:15 | LTC | Buy | 44.2581→43.6333 | -11.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0819545→0.0813816 | -5.91 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.84676→7.87463 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:51 | LTC | Buy | 44.6312→44.5209 | -2.50 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:57 | LINK | Buy | 8.0095→7.95661 | -5.66 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844091→0.083959 | -4.68 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:49 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25226→6.36491 | +12.84 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832288→0.0833242 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.83256→8.001 | +15.46 | take_profit |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.379→72.3469 | -11.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833838→0.0831282 | -2.96 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:45 | LINK | Buy | 7.9885→7.95001 | -4.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.16135→0.16161 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31758→6.22823 | -11.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.16099→0.16138 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:48 | LTC | Buy | 44.5591→44.4749 | -2.07 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:43 | LTC | Buy | 44.3271→44.4839 | +1.97 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:13 | SOL | Buy | 71.7108→73.296 | +15.88 | take_profit |
| 06-20 16:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.86617→7.94161 | +6.52 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084056→0.083906 | -2.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.6657→71.3573 | -3.93 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:38 | LTC | Buy | 43.937→43.898 | -1.36 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:41 | LINK | Buy | 7.87397→7.92842 | +4.51 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:44 | LTC | Buy | 44.3911→44.038 | -6.64 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:30 | AVAX | Buy | 6.02961→5.94354 | -11.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 16:35 | SOL | Buy | 68.6013→69.2796 | +6.74 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823436→0.0825144 | +0.89 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:51 | LTC | Buy | 43.4309→43.3862 | -1.43 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:52 | LINK | Buy | 7.88297→7.84724 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30107→6.20504 | -12.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:06 | SOL | Buy | 69.5024→69.9305 | +3.92 | timeout |
| 06-18 18:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828407→0.0824894 | -3.85 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:23 | LTC | Buy | 44.158→43.5293 | -11.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:52 | LTC | Buy | 44.5101→43.98 | -9.61 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.166132→0.163787 | -11.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 01:09 | LTC | Buy | 44.6382→45.0187 | +5.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.169182→0.166805 | -11.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:08 | SOL | Buy | 74.5832→73.5522 | -11.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:27 | AVAX | Buy | 6.82831→6.97666 | +15.61 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0855764→0.0864684 | +7.14 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:09 | LTC | Buy | 45.4114→45.1487 | -5.04 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0869567→0.0857357 | -11.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 04:23 | SOL | Buy | 73.241→73.7069 | +4.10 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:36 | LINK | Buy | 8.30338→8.26773 | -3.92 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.173873→0.173177 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:18 | LINK | Buy | 8.29927→8.17896 | -11.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:39 | AVAX | Buy | 6.92143→6.97756 | +5.43 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.594→74.1239 | +4.73 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:27 | AVAX | Buy | 6.85541→6.75873 | -11.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:34 | LINK | Buy | 8.30177→8.27223 | -3.34 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:26 | LINK | Buy | 8.4008→8.28139 | -11.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:18 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03556→6.9337 | -11.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.95244→7.00835 | +5.35 | timeout |
| 06-15 15:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.89092→6.94576 | +5.28 | timeout |
| 06-15 07:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.181595→0.181125 | -2.61 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:53 | LTC | Buy | 45.2023→45.1327 | -1.82 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.176654→0.174169 | -11.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 67.5541→69.0346 | +15.78 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
222
closed
37%
win rate
-415.95
total pnl ($)
-25.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 48 | 33% | -58.0 | -208.59 |
| LTC | 44 | 25% | -33.4 | -109.92 |
| DOGE | 36 | 36% | -21.6 | -58.53 |
| AVAX | 36 | 47% | -20.6 | -55.65 |
| SOL | 34 | 50% | +12.5 | +32.10 |
| LINK | 24 | 38% | -8.4 | -15.35 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||