287
closed trades
41%
win rate
-595.67
total pnl ($)
0.932
weight
7d window — n=46 wr=39% pnl=-49.05
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:18:18 (23.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 294
· wr: 42.5%
· total_bps: -3380.0
· mean_bps: -11.50
· sharpe: -0.16
· max_dd_bps: -3831.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.147177→0.147323 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.147577→0.147043 | -4.46 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:20 | LTC | Buy | 42.4016→42.1695 | -6.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.40575→7.35926 | -7.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.58875→6.49513 | -15.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 00:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.147293 | -2.37 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:00 | LTC | Buy | 41.4364→41.6036 | +3.10 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:45 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49742→6.40619 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:53 | SOL | Buy | 68.7783→70.2715 | +20.81 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:46 | SOL | Buy | 69.6905→69.5116 | -3.50 | timeout |
| 06-26 05:52 | LINK | Buy | 7.07077→7.1901 | +15.94 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.141255→0.143424 | +14.44 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:17 | LINK | Buy | 7.25431→7.15263 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.15134→6.06235 | -15.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076022→0.0749298 | -15.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.148407→0.1463 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0766372→0.0771757 | +6.11 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4204→6.43479 | +1.37 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:01 | SOL | Buy | 65.3088→66.77 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0751218→0.0740644 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | SOL | Buy | 68.8953→67.9388 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:03 | SOL | Buy | 69.3374→69.7785 | +5.46 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:07 | LINK | Buy | 7.63721→7.6144 | -3.86 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:00 | LTC | Buy | 41.7254→42.1285 | +8.77 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49472→6.48838 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:45 | LTC | Buy | 42.1025→41.8725 | -6.33 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:19 | LTC | Buy | 42.1845→42.0575 | -3.88 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23236→6.36691 | +20.69 | take_profit |
| 06-23 14:06 | LTC | Buy | 43.4619→43.2502 | -5.77 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:32 | LTC | Buy | 43.2818→43.6201 | +6.90 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0813913→0.0802488 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.15938→0.15935 | -1.06 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.15825→0.15849 | +0.74 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.15973→0.15932 | -3.40 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843581→0.083913 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25326→6.36401 | +16.81 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832008→0.0832772 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.80075→7.96901 | +20.67 | take_profit |
| 06-22 00:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825766→0.0824414 | -2.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833708→0.0831772 | -3.20 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:40 | LTC | Buy | 45.7734→45.1331 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 14:29 | SOL | Buy | 73.526→73.7839 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31758→6.22783 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.162411→0.1601 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 02:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23736→6.23744 | -0.92 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:13 | SOL | Buy | 71.7558→73.314 | +20.78 | take_profit |
| 06-20 16:27 | LINK | Buy | 7.87517→7.94181 | +7.56 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163061→0.162989 | -1.32 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.6557→71.3573 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:11 | AVAX | Buy | 5.91138→5.93542 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831698→0.0834431 | +2.42 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:09 | AVAX | Buy | 5.83516→5.7364 | -17.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 18:44 | LTC | Buy | 44.3911→44.038 | -8.85 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:37 | SOL | Buy | 68.1662→69.2696 | +15.31 | timeout |
| 06-19 11:58 | ADA | Buy | 0.16025→0.15968 | -4.37 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:57 | AVAX | Buy | 6.03481→6.06578 | +4.25 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:53 | LINK | Buy | 7.82816→7.84574 | +1.37 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:16 | LTC | Buy | 44.04→43.4144 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 19:05 | LTC | Buy | 43.3098→43.2092 | -3.24 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084041→0.0828478 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 10:43 | LTC | Buy | 44.5571→44.145 | -10.14 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0853153→0.0841139 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0870638→0.0858186 | -15.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.168542→0.172257 | +21.11 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854914→0.0863984 | +9.71 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0870157→0.0857656 | -15.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.173143→0.171987 | -7.54 | timeout |
| 06-17 03:02 | LTC | Buy | 45.7184→45.6896 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:43 | LTC | Buy | 45.6944→45.7955 | +1.29 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:28 | LINK | Buy | 8.16954→8.27353 | +11.82 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087833→0.086596 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.92623→6.97756 | +6.55 | timeout |
| 06-16 07:16 | SOL | Buy | 73.674→74.2009 | +6.27 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.32038→8.20394 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:19 | LINK | Buy | 8.3841→8.34291 | -5.85 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.96834→7.06283 | +12.64 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:14 | SOL | Buy | 74.2541→75.8706 | +20.87 | take_profit |
| 06-15 04:52 | LTC | Buy | 45.2113→45.1407 | -2.45 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:14 | LTC | Buy | 45.1773→45.2137 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 67.5271→69.0866 | +22.22 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.83166→7.85384 | +1.96 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860195→0.0861385 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:39 | SOL | Buy | 67.8232→66.8855 | -14.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873478→0.0865674 | -9.87 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:09 | AVAX | Buy | 6.64116→6.65404 | +1.07 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.172053→0.170817 | -8.01 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.171267 | -10.59 | timeout |
| 06-14 03:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.7593→68.8617 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-14 01:13 | LTC | Buy | 44.205→44.4729 | +5.13 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:47 | AVAX | Buy | 6.71228→6.70132 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.69327→6.69343 | -0.91 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.66727→6.68123 | +1.18 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873488→0.087844 | +4.75 | timeout |
| 06-13 03:30 | LTC | Buy | 43.0918→43.2432 | +2.58 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.170373→0.167984 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 13:41 | AVAX | Buy | 6.63936→6.54619 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 10:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854764→0.0868493 | +15.13 | timeout |
| 06-12 06:33 | SOL | Buy | 67.0841→66.137 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 05:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860055→0.0869443 | +9.98 | timeout |
| 06-12 00:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.170183→0.170557 | +1.26 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
287
closed
41%
win rate
-595.67
total pnl ($)
-20.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 55 | 31% | -46.9 | -257.21 |
| LTC | 55 | 36% | -24.5 | -134.27 |
| DOGE | 53 | 42% | -28.5 | -151.37 |
| SOL | 47 | 53% | +11.6 | +54.86 |
| AVAX | 43 | 37% | -26.3 | -113.25 |
| LINK | 34 | 53% | +1.7 | +5.57 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||