306
closed trades
37%
win rate
-313.01
total pnl ($)
1.061
weight
7d window — n=50 wr=34% pnl=-27.03
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 22:00:01 (23.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 307
· wr: 44.0%
· total_bps: -4446.7
· mean_bps: -14.48
· sharpe: -0.17
· max_dd_bps: -4659.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 15:35 | SOL | Buy | 71.8298→72.8181 | +5.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:48 | LTC | Buy | 42.6337→42.6403 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0757689→0.0756781 | -0.83 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.148287→0.14621 | -5.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 21:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.148327→0.146923 | -4.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32568→6.46518 | +8.45 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:59 | LTC | Buy | 40.3631→41.2317 | +8.24 | take_profit |
| 06-26 11:45 | LTC | Buy | 41.4384→40.8563 | -5.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:43 | SOL | Buy | 69.6514→69.5976 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0728862→0.0744714 | +8.34 | take_profit |
| 06-26 00:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.143246→0.143344 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.141235→0.143424 | +5.84 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:22 | LTC | Buy | 40.9362→40.9598 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-25 14:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.142236→0.145344 | +8.38 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:40 | SOL | Buy | 68.2002→67.2573 | -5.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.149087→0.148763 | -1.23 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56814→6.51117 | -3.84 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.144636→0.147763 | +8.30 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | SOL | Buy | 65.1988→66.618 | +8.36 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0751028→0.0740444 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0774474→0.0763577 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | LTC | Buy | 41.9145→41.319 | -6.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150428→0.148319 | -5.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 08:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0793008→0.0790522 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796139→0.0784401 | -6.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 01:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.151698→0.153012 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-23 22:16 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36999→6.50817 | +8.31 | take_profit |
| 06-23 20:55 | LTC | Buy | 41.9575→41.8065 | -1.79 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:19 | LTC | Buy | 42.1845→42.0575 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:54 | LINK | Buy | 7.57549→7.5843 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:59 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20015→6.24214 | +2.36 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.17394→6.08673 | -6.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0816934→0.0805476 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0816084→0.0816556 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.15914→0.15834 | -2.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:25 | LINK | Buy | 7.95819→7.90322 | -3.13 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:32 | LINK | Buy | 8.03121→7.91736 | -6.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:05 | SOL | Buy | 73.8041→74.4428 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29177→6.20324 | -5.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 04:24 | LINK | Buy | 7.94088→7.88173 | -3.35 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:21 | SOL | Buy | 72.8529→72.8131 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:21 | LTC | Buy | 45.3663→45.1547 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833818→0.0832802 | -0.84 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.16135→0.16161 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31758→6.22823 | -6.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.16097→0.16139 | +0.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:48 | LTC | Buy | 44.5591→44.4749 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:43 | LTC | Buy | 44.3271→44.4839 | +1.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.16091→0.163269 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:16 | LTC | Buy | 44.3651→44.133 | -2.45 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.87547→7.94161 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.163151→0.162759 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833408→0.084158 | +3.57 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:26 | AVAX | Buy | 6.06682→6.19845 | +8.32 | take_profit |
| 06-20 04:20 | AVAX | Buy | 5.95709→5.94501 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830618→0.0834051 | +1.30 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:09 | AVAX | Buy | 5.83486→5.74139 | -6.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 18:44 | LTC | Buy | 44.3911→44.038 | -3.54 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:38 | LTC | Buy | 43.3938→43.7381 | +2.81 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.15968→0.15933 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.16197→0.15968 | -6.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31318→6.22063 | -6.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.35549→6.29563 | -4.12 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0824106→0.0834621 | +4.74 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:37 | LINK | Buy | 7.9896→7.87709 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:52 | LTC | Buy | 44.5101→43.98 | -5.13 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.66937→6.57327 | -6.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.166992→0.167198 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0861415→0.0849173 | -6.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | LINK | Buy | 8.18535→8.07084 | -5.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:12 | LTC | Buy | 45.2333→45.4266 | +1.34 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854914→0.0863984 | +3.88 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:14 | AVAX | Buy | 6.8206→6.81969 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0876339→0.0864052 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 22:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.8291→73.8689 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-16 19:42 | LTC | Buy | 45.0973→45.3677 | +2.03 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:18 | LINK | Buy | 8.29927→8.17896 | -6.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:13 | SOL | Buy | 74.7322→73.6971 | -5.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883871→0.087966 | -2.26 | timeout |
| 06-16 09:36 | ADA | Buy | 0.177874→0.179595 | +3.50 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7471→74.1239 | +1.69 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:27 | AVAX | Buy | 6.85541→6.75703 | -6.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:26 | LINK | Buy | 8.4017→8.28278 | -6.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:33 | SOL | Buy | 75.6633→74.6195 | -5.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.188597→0.185861 | -6.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 08:20 | LTC | Buy | 45.2983→45.1657 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:52 | LTC | Buy | 45.2153→45.1407 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:10 | DOGE | Buy | 0.088021→0.0886118 | +2.31 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 67.5541→69.0876 | +8.73 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:16 | LTC | Buy | 44.134→44.168 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:44 | SOL | Buy | 66.991→67.5339 | +2.90 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:39 | SOL | Buy | 67.8222→66.8835 | -5.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873478→0.0865674 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:10 | AVAX | Buy | 6.64226→6.65893 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:21 | AVAX | Buy | 6.71508→6.64824 | -4.33 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.71658→6.67033 | -3.11 | timeout |
| 06-13 23:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.96749→7.96231 | -0.61 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:27 | LINK | Buy | 8.0032→7.95851 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:15 | SOL | Buy | 68.4793→68.1908 | -2.03 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:54 | LTC | Buy | 43.937→44.04 | +0.59 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
306
closed
37%
win rate
-313.01
total pnl ($)
-25.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 71 | 41% | -19.4 | -54.92 |
| LTC | 64 | 34% | -30.7 | -78.70 |
| DOGE | 50 | 36% | -23.6 | -47.21 |
| SOL | 43 | 44% | +2.2 | +3.89 |
| AVAX | 42 | 26% | -49.6 | -83.26 |
| LINK | 36 | 39% | -36.6 | -52.81 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:46 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||