282
closed trades
41%
win rate
-354.43
total pnl ($)
0.867
weight
7d window — n=47 wr=43% pnl=-58.87
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:14:14 (24.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 293
· wr: 44.4%
· total_bps: -3056.3
· mean_bps: -10.43
· sharpe: -0.11
· max_dd_bps: -3487.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.146897→0.144082 | -7.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.07618→0.0747249 | -8.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:08 | LTC | Buy | 42.7807→42.7683 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.147267→0.148423 | +2.79 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:46 | LTC | Buy | 42.3726→43.0082 | +5.64 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:42 | SOL | Buy | 72.2328→71.7522 | -3.02 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:38 | AVAX | Buy | 6.53813→6.55976 | +0.95 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:56 | LTC | Buy | 40.9682→41.7786 | +7.53 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:33 | SOL | Buy | 73.7351→72.341 | -7.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 19:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.50723→6.38291 | -8.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:34 | LTC | Buy | 40.4671→41.7796 | +12.59 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16124→6.04297 | -8.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.142726→0.143794 | +2.63 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 67.0441→69.1796 | +12.37 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.142206→0.139475 | -8.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143486→0.140565 | -8.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31018→6.18936 | -8.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.148407→0.145511 | -8.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:46 | SOL | Buy | 69.3904→68.0867 | -7.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4206→6.51227 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:00 | LTC | Buy | 39.7739→41.0367 | +12.36 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:41 | LTC | Buy | 40.4261→39.6433 | -8.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.7103→67.4122 | -7.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0789847→0.0774349 | -8.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.1405→42.1365 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:59 | LTC | Buy | 41.7444→42.0755 | +2.83 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.150118→0.152742 | +6.60 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:19 | LTC | Buy | 42.1845→41.8095 | -3.90 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:55 | LTC | Buy | 43.4619→42.5281 | -8.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 14:28 | LINK | Buy | 7.50338→7.61949 | +5.87 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.22065→6.42289 | +12.65 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:17 | SOL | Buy | 69.8005→68.4865 | -7.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | LINK | Buy | 7.85906→7.70662 | -8.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0819205→0.0803187 | -8.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0827457→0.0810842 | -8.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | LINK | Buy | 7.97479→7.82243 | -8.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.16001→0.15905 | -2.69 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24936→6.44659 | +12.26 | take_profit |
| 06-22 10:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.22135→6.24064 | +0.88 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:18 | SOL | Buy | 72.8079→73.9319 | +5.81 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:15 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825946→0.0830912 | +2.05 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:15 | LTC | Buy | 45.3593→44.4926 | -8.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:19 | LTC | Buy | 45.1323→45.1267 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830137→0.0832892 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:33 | LTC | Buy | 44.6432→45.0057 | +2.89 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.162411→0.16167 | -2.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:43 | LTC | Buy | 44.3271→44.5309 | +1.49 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:28 | LTC | Buy | 44.171→44.5049 | +2.66 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.87547→7.88743 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084056→0.0833622 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.163061→0.163469 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:58 | LTC | Buy | 43.823→43.892 | +0.25 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:34 | LINK | Buy | 7.91938→7.91582 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:12 | SOL | Buy | 68.8963→68.9717 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:09 | AVAX | Buy | 5.88787→5.77597 | -7.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 17:59 | LTC | Buy | 43.5029→44.156 | +5.64 | timeout |
| 06-19 14:58 | ADA | Buy | 0.16032→0.16152 | +2.66 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:57 | AVAX | Buy | 6.03481→6.10127 | +4.08 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:42 | LTC | Buy | 43.5829→43.4521 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29887→6.17716 | -8.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 21:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.162261→0.162939 | +1.28 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.5437→70.1454 | -8.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:04 | LINK | Buy | 7.95619→8.0091 | +2.30 | timeout |
| 06-18 02:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0858835→0.0861485 | +0.85 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6209→71.3713 | -7.27 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:43 | AVAX | Buy | 6.84011→6.70897 | -8.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.8012→6.91287 | +6.20 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:14 | SOL | Buy | 72.8669→72.4201 | -2.78 | timeout |
| 06-17 10:38 | LTC | Buy | 45.7854→45.2937 | -4.66 | timeout |
| 06-17 07:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171193→0.171407 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-17 03:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877319→0.0875521 | -1.20 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.173→73.8029 | +3.08 | timeout |
| 06-16 19:36 | LTC | Buy | 45.2643→45.4646 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:34 | SOL | Buy | 73.603→74.3888 | +3.91 | timeout |
| 06-16 09:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0870097→0.0886808 | +7.39 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:36 | ADA | Buy | 0.178205→0.175876 | -5.60 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:30 | SOL | Buy | 74.1121→72.7167 | -7.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0889162→0.087924 | -4.82 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.97104→6.88818 | -5.13 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03606→6.89932 | -8.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.90593→7.03784 | +7.26 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.4907→73.7639 | +12.36 | take_profit |
| 06-15 07:53 | LTC | Buy | 45.2023→45.1157 | -1.12 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.182176→0.180545 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:00 | LINK | Buy | 7.97389→8.23054 | +12.50 | take_profit |
| 06-14 22:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0866227→0.0882829 | +7.30 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:25 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4033→6.60555 | +12.29 | take_profit |
| 06-14 19:01 | SOL | Buy | 67.8232→67.3839 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873828→0.0857187 | -8.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 11:42 | LINK | Buy | 7.92198→7.93392 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.172583→0.170477 | -5.20 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.7593→68.2898 | -3.07 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.173003→0.171777 | -3.23 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:41 | LTC | Buy | 43.7769→44.2629 | +4.08 | timeout |
| 06-13 19:41 | SOL | Buy | 68.0102→68.2688 | +1.19 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.66727→6.69043 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873488→0.088173 | +3.40 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:31 | LTC | Buy | 43.0978→43.1752 | +0.33 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:04 | SOL | Buy | 67.3641→66.498 | -5.47 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.171503→0.168234 | -8.00 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
282
closed
41%
win rate
-354.43
total pnl ($)
-31.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 58 | 33% | -55.1 | -127.59 |
| LTC | 54 | 48% | -1.7 | -3.79 |
| SOL | 51 | 49% | -10.2 | -20.53 |
| DOGE | 50 | 40% | -55.0 | -110.05 |
| AVAX | 43 | 40% | -32.0 | -55.10 |
| LINK | 26 | 38% | -35.9 | -37.38 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:29 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||