601
closed trades
40%
win rate
-474.44
total pnl ($)
0.675
weight
7d window — n=92 wr=38% pnl=-92.42
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:14:14 (24.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 575
· wr: 42.8%
· total_bps: -6858.6
· mean_bps: -11.93
· sharpe: -0.16
· max_dd_bps: -7268.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 09:59 | ADA | Buy | 0.144026→0.144654 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-28 09:15 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0733023→0.0740805 | +3.91 | timeout |
| 06-28 08:16 | LINK | Buy | 7.26722→7.29588 | +1.20 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:17 | SOL | Buy | 70.9646→70.5284 | -2.81 | timeout |
| 06-28 02:33 | AVAX | Buy | 6.43131→6.36981 | -4.18 | timeout |
| 06-28 01:17 | SOL | Buy | 70.3666→70.5894 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 06-27 23:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.145456→0.144994 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.145156→0.144824 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:15 | SOL | Buy | 71.4897→70.5031 | -5.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.146897→0.144791 | -6.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.147127→0.145041 | -5.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076163→0.0752192 | -5.33 | timeout |
| 06-27 18:27 | LTC | Buy | 43.1658→42.5541 | -6.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:45 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56864→6.61455 | +2.45 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:34 | SOL | Buy | 71.7508→72.8421 | +5.73 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.147147→0.147933 | +1.79 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.147177→0.147263 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:39 | LTC | Buy | 42.6207→42.6193 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:57 | LTC | Buy | 42.5946→42.4564 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.147577→0.147043 | -1.79 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:44 | AVAX | Buy | 6.57044→6.55686 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:35 | LTC | Buy | 42.2966→42.1895 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:36 | ADA | Buy | 0.147547→0.147373 | -0.84 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:43 | AVAX | Buy | 6.3849→6.52937 | +8.69 | take_profit |
| 06-26 22:10 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0756199→0.0752592 | -2.28 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:27 | LTC | Buy | 41.8725→42.1015 | +1.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:45 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49742→6.40619 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0737944→0.0727464 | -6.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.146467→0.144402 | -6.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:45 | LINK | Buy | 7.14729→7.26758 | +6.36 | timeout |
| 06-26 05:28 | LTC | Buy | 40.4841→41.3577 | +8.27 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0731263→0.0721029 | -5.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.142206→0.140175 | -6.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 00:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.143556→0.143344 | -0.95 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.141055→0.143344 | +6.12 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.15204→6.06245 | -6.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:20 | LINK | Buy | 7.1832→7.23309 | +2.40 | timeout |
| 06-25 15:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.15134→6.06235 | -6.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.32833→7.22488 | -6.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076031→0.0749338 | -6.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.148407→0.1463 | -6.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.149297→0.148763 | -1.79 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0767302→0.0771757 | +1.96 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.147427→0.150602 | +8.28 | take_profit |
| 06-25 02:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4183→6.43479 | +0.68 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:50 | LTC | Buy | 39.994→40.8608 | +8.31 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:06 | SOL | Buy | 65.8739→67.3109 | +8.38 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:06 | SOL | Buy | 65.7389→67.1779 | +8.40 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | SOL | Buy | 65.1978→66.626 | +8.42 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.581→65.6623 | -5.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0749497→0.0738846 | -6.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | SOL | Buy | 68.7503→67.7959 | -5.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0770112→0.075903 | -6.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.147737→0.145621 | -6.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4001→6.30986 | -6.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.1495→42.0635 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:59 | LTC | Buy | 41.7444→42.0825 | +2.88 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.150118→0.151352 | +2.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:11 | SOL | Buy | 68.8863→69.0806 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:10 | LTC | Buy | 41.9215→42.0115 | +0.51 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:43 | LINK | Buy | 7.65341→7.54564 | -5.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 18:20 | LTC | Buy | 42.2156→42.0705 | -1.72 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.151738→0.150442 | -3.79 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.5839→7.6058 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:54 | LINK | Buy | 7.57479→7.5837 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:45 | SOL | Buy | 69.2434→69.2786 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23906→6.23504 | -0.61 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:32 | LTC | Buy | 43.2818→43.6201 | +2.76 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | LTC | Buy | 43.902→43.2675 | -6.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:15 | LTC | Buy | 44.2381→43.6193 | -5.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0819545→0.0813816 | -3.15 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.84676→7.87463 | +1.06 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:32 | LTC | Buy | 44.3971→44.6348 | +1.78 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:51 | LTC | Buy | 44.6312→44.5209 | -1.33 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:58 | SOL | Buy | 73.055→72.7371 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:32 | LINK | Buy | 8.03371→7.92106 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | AVAX | Buy | 6.37029→6.28119 | -5.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843581→0.083913 | -2.47 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836059→0.0844079 | +3.48 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24696→6.36171 | +6.99 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.15977→0.16124 | +3.30 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.83676→8.006 | +8.28 | take_profit |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15863→0.156273 | -6.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 23:36 | LINK | Buy | 7.87167→7.76118 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.382→72.3579 | -5.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | LTC | Buy | 45.2833→44.6425 | -6.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833708→0.0831772 | -1.28 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:21 | LTC | Buy | 45.3713→45.1547 | -2.28 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.9882→7.94521 | -2.52 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.16153→0.16119 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831448→0.0834251 | +0.98 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830137→0.0833931 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:34 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25796→6.26753 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:33 | LTC | Buy | 44.6432→44.8278 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31758→6.22823 | -6.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 07:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.161→0.16137 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:20 | SOL | Buy | 73.647→73.193 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.162411→0.1601 | -6.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:43 | LTC | Buy | 44.3271→44.4839 | +1.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:13 | SOL | Buy | 71.6938→73.25 | +8.31 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
601
closed
40%
win rate
-474.44
total pnl ($)
-19.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 130 | 35% | -28.6 | -147.88 |
| LTC | 109 | 44% | -10.3 | -44.96 |
| DOGE | 104 | 39% | -28.9 | -120.44 |
| SOL | 95 | 44% | -8.8 | -32.92 |
| AVAX | 92 | 40% | -20.4 | -75.02 |
| LINK | 71 | 39% | -18.7 | -53.23 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 7)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 07:03 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 06:16 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 05:18 | LINK | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 02:21 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 23:36 | AVAX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:25 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||