177
closed trades
39%
win rate
-125.18
total pnl ($)
0.795
weight
7d window — n=38 wr=29% pnl=-48.30
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:12:04 (19.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 174
· wr: 43.1%
· total_bps: -1782.8
· mean_bps: -10.25
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -2125.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 15:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843741→0.083942 | -3.01 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832608→0.0832772 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821945→0.083967 | +10.33 | take_profit |
| 06-22 00:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825966→0.0824184 | -1.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833748→0.0834231 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830137→0.0833901 | +1.81 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830958→0.0829583 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834969→0.0832182 | -2.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837649→0.0834721 | -2.21 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:58 | DOGE | Buy | 0.083907→0.0837731 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.083921→0.083961 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828427→0.0833462 | +2.60 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832578→0.0830122 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823436→0.0825144 | +0.59 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825796→0.0825094 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836979→0.0825151 | -7.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830338→0.0833442 | +1.41 | timeout |
| 06-18 18:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821815→0.0825624 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0847282→0.0835083 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0849712→0.0846628 | -2.25 | timeout |
| 06-18 08:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08419→0.0849718 | +4.21 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0861455→0.0849363 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 01:15 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854304→0.0862384 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0868217→0.0856058 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:05 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0874819→0.0862553 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0862216→0.0872232 | +5.34 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860885→0.0861475 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 06-17 10:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0868177→0.0860875 | -4.66 | timeout |
| 06-17 06:58 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0874088→0.0869383 | -3.14 | timeout |
| 06-17 02:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873318→0.0877311 | +1.82 | timeout |
| 06-16 17:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0866176→0.0866683 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0884191→0.08802 | -2.70 | timeout |
| 06-16 07:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0869077→0.0877001 | +4.12 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087925→0.0866849 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.088029→0.088028 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0889392→0.0884669 | -3.09 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0902195→0.0888983 | -7.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0899635→0.0896086 | -2.39 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:16 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883781→0.0886578 | +1.11 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863426→0.0865484 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860115→0.0861275 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873598→0.0865674 | -5.00 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:16 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087851→0.0877691 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877139→0.087866 | +0.40 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0885501→0.0873085 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 12:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0871618→0.08787 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883571→0.0902974 | +10.53 | take_profit |
| 06-12 13:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0866967→0.0868193 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 06-12 09:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854234→0.0870162 | +8.86 | timeout |
| 06-12 05:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0864786→0.0870172 | +2.65 | timeout |
| 06-11 20:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0858014→0.0861285 | +1.44 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0850213→0.0846598 | -2.59 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0849222→0.0849698 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 06-11 07:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0851723→0.0846988 | -3.25 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08399→0.0848868 | +4.88 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835249→0.0829043 | -4.14 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0842291→0.0835411 | -4.52 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830358→0.0848318 | +10.36 | take_profit |
| 06-09 19:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837139→0.0848818 | +6.52 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0853163→0.0846538 | -4.33 | timeout |
| 06-09 03:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0852813→0.0849937 | -2.14 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0869257→0.0868583 | -0.84 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0868217→0.0868803 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:59 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0851173→0.0863434 | +6.73 | timeout |
| 06-08 08:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845841→0.0850797 | +2.46 | timeout |
| 06-08 02:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0857914→0.0856136 | -1.49 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837009→0.0855006 | +10.30 | take_profit |
| 06-07 12:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844611→0.0832715 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 10:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0846061→0.0842709 | -2.45 | timeout |
| 06-07 06:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833198→0.0836541 | +1.56 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0818715→0.0815976 | -2.13 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0814794→0.0803397 | -7.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 05:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0784626→0.080179 | +10.49 | take_profit |
| 06-06 02:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0827497→0.0815728 | -7.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:15 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0813463→0.0831022 | +10.34 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0827007→0.0815308 | -7.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0816054→0.0804576 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835399→0.0823682 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 07:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837199→0.0825381 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 05:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863186→0.0850881 | -7.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 01:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883751→0.0871386 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 00:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0873618→0.087987 | +3.13 | timeout |
| 06-04 16:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0890062→0.0887878 | -1.69 | timeout |
| 06-04 05:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0912418→0.0899625 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 01:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904366→0.0891651 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.09187→0.0916281 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 06-03 13:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0943066→0.0940755 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 06-03 08:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0940355→0.0938465 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-03 03:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0927592→0.0914594 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 02:29 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0915479→0.0926168 | +5.40 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0943426→0.0930112 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0978545→0.0964796 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 08:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0997119→0.0992602 | -2.73 | timeout |
| 06-02 04:43 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100475→0.100665 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 06-01 19:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0988407→0.100205 | +6.44 | timeout |
| 06-01 15:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0994449→0.0987633 | -3.88 | timeout |
| 06-01 01:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100345→0.100665 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 05-31 20:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0992548→0.0996541 | +1.55 | timeout |
| 05-31 10:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100565→0.100315 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 05-31 03:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.100615→0.101245 | +2.66 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
177
closed
39%
win rate
-125.18
total pnl ($)
-14.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOGE | 177 | 39% | -14.1 | -125.18 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 12:52 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 03:45 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 00:03 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:38 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||