222
closed trades
40%
win rate
-159.92
total pnl ($)
1.211
weight
7d window — n=34 wr=44% pnl=-6.15
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 18:12:04 (24.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
perp_spot_basis_regime_gated_siblings
n: 0
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: +0.0
· mean_bps: +0.00
· sharpe: +0.00
· max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 01:17 | SOL | Buy | 70.3876→70.5914 | +0.81 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:31 | SOL | Buy | 71.9298→70.9299 | -5.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 17:29 | LINK | Buy | 7.41075→7.38835 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:34 | SOL | Buy | 71.7748→72.8471 | +5.62 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.37774→7.34846 | -1.94 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:48 | SOL | Buy | 72.3639→72.2072 | -1.22 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:03 | SOL | Buy | 72.9279→71.9222 | -5.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 17:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32998→6.46728 | +8.31 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:48 | LINK | Buy | 7.32313→7.21958 | -6.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:56 | LINK | Buy | 7.05046→7.2022 | +8.25 | take_profit |
| 06-25 19:23 | LINK | Buy | 7.23941→7.13764 | -5.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | LINK | Buy | 7.12698→7.28478 | +8.50 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:40 | SOL | Buy | 68.2002→67.2573 | -5.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4107→6.54876 | +8.26 | take_profit |
| 06-25 02:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4117→6.43039 | +0.82 | timeout |
| 06-24 18:25 | AVAX | Buy | 6.0191→6.14846 | +8.24 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | SOL | Buy | 67.4411→66.4798 | -6.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:43 | LINK | Buy | 7.49587→7.39085 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:17 | SOL | Buy | 69.4074→69.7525 | +1.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:51 | LINK | Buy | 7.5835→7.62979 | +2.10 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:50 | LINK | Buy | 7.6106→7.616 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:45 | SOL | Buy | 69.1984→69.2466 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:32 | SOL | Buy | 68.6333→69.1906 | +2.92 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.80015→7.69023 | -6.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 03:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.84676→7.87463 | +1.06 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:57 | LINK | Buy | 8.0095→7.95661 | -3.02 | timeout |
| 06-22 14:55 | SOL | Buy | 74.2701→73.2304 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 11:49 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25226→6.36491 | +6.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:18 | SOL | Buy | 73.7011→73.9139 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.83256→8.001 | +8.24 | take_profit |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.379→72.3469 | -5.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:07 | LINK | Buy | 7.91408→7.86943 | -2.63 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:45 | LINK | Buy | 7.9885→7.95001 | -2.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31758→6.22823 | -6.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 02:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23736→6.24024 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:13 | SOL | Buy | 71.7108→73.296 | +8.47 | take_profit |
| 06-20 16:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.86617→7.94161 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.6657→71.3573 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:25 | AVAX | Buy | 5.92648→5.92012 | -0.77 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:34 | LINK | Buy | 7.91938→7.85174 | -3.78 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:09 | AVAX | Buy | 5.83336→5.74139 | -6.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 16:35 | SOL | Buy | 68.6013→69.2796 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:51 | LINK | Buy | 7.84646→7.80845 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:52 | LINK | Buy | 7.88297→7.84724 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30107→6.20504 | -6.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:06 | SOL | Buy | 69.5024→69.9305 | +2.09 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | LINK | Buy | 7.92048→7.80884 | -6.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:47 | LINK | Buy | 8.07752→7.96402 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.68257→6.58806 | -6.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 01:09 | SOL | Buy | 71.3037→72.5001 | +6.37 | timeout |
| 06-17 17:08 | SOL | Buy | 74.5832→73.5522 | -5.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:27 | AVAX | Buy | 6.82831→6.97666 | +8.32 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.8638→72.4201 | +2.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:03 | SOL | Buy | 72.8559→71.8503 | -5.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 04:23 | SOL | Buy | 73.241→73.7069 | +2.19 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:36 | LINK | Buy | 8.30338→8.26773 | -2.09 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:18 | LINK | Buy | 8.29927→8.17896 | -6.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:39 | AVAX | Buy | 6.92143→6.97756 | +2.90 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.594→74.1239 | +2.52 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:27 | AVAX | Buy | 6.85541→6.75873 | -6.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:34 | LINK | Buy | 8.30177→8.27223 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:26 | LINK | Buy | 8.4008→8.28139 | -6.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:18 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03556→6.9337 | -6.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.95244→7.00835 | +2.85 | timeout |
| 06-15 15:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.89092→6.94576 | +2.82 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 67.5541→69.0346 | +8.42 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.83166→7.85384 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:27 | LINK | Buy | 7.83286→7.79305 | -2.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:39 | SOL | Buy | 67.8362→66.8835 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.66867→6.61505 | -3.57 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:21 | AVAX | Buy | 6.71508→6.64824 | -4.33 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:38 | AVAX | Buy | 6.70858→6.73891 | +1.44 | timeout |
| 06-13 19:41 | AVAX | Buy | 6.69877→6.71902 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:41 | SOL | Buy | 68.2152→68.0438 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.66727→6.68123 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 06-13 12:00 | SOL | Buy | 67.3371→67.8628 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 06-13 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 66.888→66.875 | -0.43 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:06 | SOL | Buy | 66.846→68.3058 | +8.36 | take_profit |
| 06-12 06:29 | SOL | Buy | 66.823→66.458 | -2.54 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:32 | AVAX | Buy | 6.47662→6.61585 | +8.24 | take_profit |
| 06-11 15:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.54644→6.52937 | -1.40 | timeout |
| 06-11 12:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56764→6.54166 | -1.96 | timeout |
| 06-11 01:42 | SOL | Buy | 63.6275→65.0102 | +8.33 | take_profit |
| 06-11 01:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.33058→6.46748 | +8.29 | take_profit |
| 06-10 21:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.47102→6.37951 | -6.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:47 | AVAX | Buy | 6.55594→6.46075 | -6.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:33 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56864→6.57756 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:57 | LINK | Buy | 7.70313→7.75126 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:18 | SOL | Buy | 63.9176→65.3172 | +8.40 | take_profit |
| 06-09 14:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.86707→7.75658 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.68367→6.58836 | -6.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:39 | SOL | Buy | 66.1259→66.651 | +2.83 | timeout |
| 06-08 08:50 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56964→6.64344 | +4.14 | timeout |
| 06-08 02:20 | SOL | Buy | 65.9479→66.2171 | +1.29 | timeout |
| 06-07 19:46 | SOL | Buy | 64.4857→63.5926 | -5.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 15:13 | SOL | Buy | 63.9796→64.7893 | +4.75 | timeout |
| 06-07 10:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.83761→6.74114 | -5.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 09:42 | SOL | Buy | 64.9117→65.1102 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 06-07 03:28 | SOL | Buy | 62.6054→63.9704 | +8.37 | take_profit |
| 06-06 15:05 | SOL | Buy | 62.5834→61.7069 | -5.93 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
222
closed
40%
win rate
-159.92
total pnl ($)
-18.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 81 | 44% | -6.2 | -19.86 |
| AVAX | 74 | 39% | -23.8 | -70.63 |
| LINK | 67 | 36% | -25.8 | -69.42 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:22 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||