265
closed trades
43%
win rate
-135.64
total pnl ($)
1.415
weight
7d window — n=67 wr=42% pnl=+25.39
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-23 04:27:56 (36.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
avs
n: 134
· wr: 46.3%
· total_bps: -2841.0
· mean_bps: -21.20
· sharpe: -0.16
· max_dd_bps: -3404.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:17 | LINK | Buy | 7.26161→7.2155 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.04696→1.04134 | -3.07 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0742986→0.0732187 | -7.71 | timeout |
| 06-28 03:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.42441→6.3838 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147047→0.144152 | -10.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:55 | LTC | Buy | 42.6747→42.6993 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-27 18:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.147177→0.146503 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:29 | SOL | Sell | 71.4943→72.3969 | -6.78 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56024→6.53197 | -2.65 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.63364→6.55664 | +5.36 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.148157→0.148163 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:44 | BTC | Buy | 58993.9→59613 | +4.77 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.01995→1.05214 | +15.34 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0730713→0.0754791 | +16.01 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:00 | SOL | Buy | 70.6016→72.8391 | +15.39 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:25 | ETH | Buy | 1531.25→1580.14 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:19 | LTC | Buy | 40.9492→40.1569 | -10.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:45 | LTC | Buy | 40.8792→40.9038 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0728862→0.0751812 | +15.26 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:16 | ETH | Buy | 1529.85→1578.54 | +15.48 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 58642.9→60516 | +15.53 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:03 | LINK | Buy | 7.05676→7.27918 | +15.29 | take_profit |
| 06-26 01:16 | AVAX | Sell | 6.21295→6.19565 | +0.93 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:45 | ETH | Sell | 1565.34→1571.66 | -2.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:51 | LINK | Sell | 7.17631→7.25721 | -6.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:50 | BTC | Sell | 59532→59961 | -4.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:50 | BNB | Sell | 554.031→559.75 | -5.56 | timeout |
| 06-25 14:33 | SOL | Sell | 65.5032→66.7434 | -9.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:54 | XRP | Sell | 1.04014→1.00565 | +16.13 | take_profit |
| 06-25 12:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.149897→0.14698 | -10.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:45 | SOL | Buy | 69.4384→68.1267 | -9.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 08:46 | LTC | Buy | 41.1583→41.7346 | +6.52 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:45 | LINK | Buy | 7.40325→7.51262 | +6.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4181→6.62694 | +15.83 | take_profit |
| 06-25 04:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.144636→0.147413 | +9.23 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.06157→1.07123 | +4.13 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:17 | LINK | Sell | 7.23369→7.37153 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | ETH | Sell | 1578.04→1608.56 | -10.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:47 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0753292→0.0729482 | +15.34 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.686→65.4314 | -9.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:16 | SOL | Sell | 68.2928→66.1199 | +15.46 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:46 | ETH | Buy | 1648.96→1618.13 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.08317→1.0626 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | SOL | Buy | 69.4854→68.1627 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0778235→0.0763427 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.147347→0.144462 | -10.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 02:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.150328→0.152132 | +5.50 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.09927→1.09713 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0786597→0.0789383 | +1.44 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.151468→0.150862 | -2.50 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:22 | ETH | Buy | 1651.87→1662.23 | +2.68 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:18 | SOL | Buy | 68.6483→69.1006 | +2.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16734→6.04996 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.12948→1.10797 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.157929→0.154894 | -10.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ETH | Buy | 1725.17→1692.88 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:18 | SOL | Buy | 71.5897→70.2413 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:09 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25536→6.19215 | -5.49 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 73.058→71.6704 | -9.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.16034→0.15957 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24796→6.44659 | +15.44 | take_profit |
| 06-22 09:24 | ETH | Buy | 1741.47→1746.13 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:23 | SOL | Buy | 74.2611→73.7279 | -4.09 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:23 | XRP | Buy | 1.14079→1.13432 | -3.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:23 | BTC | Buy | 64173.2→64115.8 | -0.92 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.157879→0.16118 | +9.98 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.16139→0.15937 | -6.69 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | AVAX | Sell | 6.33842→6.13823 | +15.33 | take_profit |
| 06-21 11:18 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24326→6.27343 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.162151→0.16106 | -3.82 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.16057→0.162919 | +6.83 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:18 | BTC | Buy | 64159.2→64280.8 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.15159→1.15291 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:18 | SOL | Buy | 72.3739→73.589 | +7.89 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:18 | ETH | Buy | 1734.57→1741.73 | +1.57 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:17 | AVAX | Buy | 6.06682→6.10457 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.16 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.6327→71.1373 | -3.94 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:00 | AVAX | Sell | 5.84324→5.95446 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 20:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.12858→1.13202 | +1.07 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | SOL | Buy | 68.5803→69.0886 | +3.28 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | BTC | Buy | 62627.1→63170.8 | +3.88 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | ETH | Buy | 1688.87→1706.13 | +4.66 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.16007→0.1617 | +4.59 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:29 | ETH | Sell | 1703.13→1700.67 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.163581→0.16045 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:09 | LTC | Sell | 43.1892→43.932 | -9.02 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:57 | AVAX | Buy | 6.22496→6.31332 | +6.70 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:42 | SOL | Sell | 69.2406→69.6484 | -3.36 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:17 | ADA | Sell | 0.162789→0.162681 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:44 | AVAX | Sell | 6.47038→6.26517 | +15.40 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:37 | BNB | Buy | 589.487→578.066 | -10.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.167082→0.163877 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:14 | SOL | Buy | 71.1607→70.9404 | -1.96 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:09 | BNB | Sell | 593.012→589.027 | +2.80 | timeout |
| 06-18 09:07 | BTC | Buy | 64623.2→64338.8 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:03 | ETH | Buy | 1757.38→1724.46 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 04:58 | BNB | Buy | 600.65→591.242 | -8.27 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.1875→1.1799 | -3.60 | timeout |
| 06-18 02:52 | LTC | Sell | 45.6956→44.9472 | +7.76 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
265
closed
43%
win rate
-135.64
total pnl ($)
-10.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 46 | 37% | -26.4 | -60.25 |
| SOL | 36 | 36% | -34.3 | -61.00 |
| AVAX | 33 | 42% | -19.8 | -32.70 |
| XRP | 27 | 48% | +21.2 | +28.95 |
| LTC | 26 | 46% | -7.0 | -8.85 |
| LINK | 24 | 42% | -15.1 | -17.77 |
| ETH | 24 | 58% | +28.0 | +33.60 |
| DOGE | 20 | 50% | +25.7 | +25.70 |
| BTC | 16 | 44% | -12.2 | -9.87 |
| BNB | 13 | 31% | -51.6 | -33.44 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 05:18 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | LINK | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||