563
closed trades
43%
win rate
-286.94
total pnl ($)
0.323
weight
7d window — n=121 wr=40% pnl=-144.77
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 11:15:04 (36.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
auf
n: 112
· wr: 33.9%
· total_bps: -1027.8
· mean_bps: -9.18
· sharpe: -0.25
· max_dd_bps: -1274.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 23:17 | ETH | Buy | 1564.46→1571.04 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-27 23:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.04606→1.04984 | +1.64 | timeout |
| 06-27 23:16 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0742115→0.0744404 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:55 | BNB | Buy | 557.639→558.35 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:51 | SOL | Buy | 71.5047→70.732 | -7.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 21:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.685601→0.687188 | +0.86 | timeout |
| 06-27 20:32 | BTC | Buy | 60113→60239 | +0.72 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:04 | LTC | Buy | 43.1688→42.8053 | -5.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:51 | OP | Buy | 0.103026→0.103104 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:13 | ARB | Buy | 0.0743586→0.0747413 | +2.55 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:27 | ATOM | Buy | 1.58019→1.57881 | -1.05 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:36 | SUI | Buy | 0.703366→0.694779 | -7.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 09:32 | LTC | Buy | 42.4736→42.8193 | +4.35 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:57 | INJ | Buy | 4.94154→5.03904 | +11.31 | take_profit |
| 06-27 00:30 | AVAX | Buy | 6.58475→6.53956 | -4.66 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:10 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0756199→0.0756301 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.702266→0.698975 | -3.36 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5953→1.6025 | +2.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:35 | ETH | Buy | 1581.26→1585.24 | +0.96 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:45 | OP | Buy | 0.105436→0.106273 | +4.22 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:19 | XRP | Buy | 1.02236→1.01084 | -7.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 59249→58619.7 | -6.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:31 | SUI | Buy | 0.676539→0.677111 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:56 | BNB | Buy | 570.153→567.718 | -3.11 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.44901→4.3999 | -7.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:45 | SOL | Buy | 67.6601→68.0758 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 04:36 | ADA | Buy | 0.140405→0.142254 | +7.37 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:02 | OP | Buy | 0.102206→0.101014 | -7.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:01 | ETH | Buy | 1536.65→1520.09 | -7.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:50 | BTC | Buy | 59781→59810 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:20 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85446→1.87333 | +5.56 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:39 | INJ | Buy | 4.21485→4.16717 | -7.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.02236→1.01064 | -7.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:57 | ETH | Buy | 1557.56→1540.68 | -7.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0727152→0.07191 | -7.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | BNB | Buy | 563.171→556.922 | -7.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 08:50 | INJ | Buy | 4.26377→4.21654 | -7.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 08:28 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96219→1.96141 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:32 | SUI | Buy | 0.693233→0.692737 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:56 | BTC | Buy | 61314.1→61585.9 | +2.12 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.08047→1.08373 | +1.28 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:56 | ETH | Buy | 1632.16→1645.04 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:59 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64231→1.65139 | +2.79 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:49 | APT | Buy | 0.625556→0.623444 | -2.56 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.23756→4.24204 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 06-24 19:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.141225→0.140225 | -4.79 | timeout |
| 06-24 18:22 | NEAR | Buy | 1.87287→1.90952 | +11.20 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:57 | XRP | Buy | 1.05576→1.04994 | -3.84 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.4271→39.954 | -7.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:21 | APT | Buy | 0.59935→0.592655 | -7.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:43 | LINK | Buy | 7.47277→7.38945 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31118→6.24122 | -7.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:14 | BNB | Buy | 569.682→566.998 | -3.37 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:51 | ETH | Buy | 1653.77→1649.04 | -2.26 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 61780.1→61124.4 | -6.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:08 | OP | Buy | 0.0988047→0.100775 | +11.42 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:47 | SUI | Buy | 0.687302→0.67949 | -7.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:43 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779635→0.0770941 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:27 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63841→1.61918 | -7.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:19 | INJ | Buy | 4.30598→4.35661 | +6.54 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:13 | APT | Buy | 0.645661→0.646038 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:37 | BTC | Buy | 63055.2→62830.9 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:37 | BNB | Buy | 580.955→579.985 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:37 | LINK | Buy | 7.66592→7.64959 | -1.81 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.152768→0.151027 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 03:43 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72133→1.70162 | -7.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 03:39 | ETH | Buy | 1663.07→1667.63 | +1.11 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:52 | APT | Buy | 0.646562→0.651837 | +4.37 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49472→6.48808 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.54544→4.59035 | +5.40 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:10 | BTC | Buy | 62316.1→62309.9 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.7333→68.8857 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:47 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.8966 | -7.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 15:41 | ETH | Buy | 1663.07→1655.23 | -3.36 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:42 | APT | Buy | 0.629657→0.633242 | +2.87 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.10348→1.10082 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:35 | BNB | Buy | 571.233→573.237 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75734→1.76306 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-23 10:34 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23656→6.16797 | -7.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 07:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.080123→0.0801909 | -0.03 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:31 | ETH | Buy | 1684.87→1690.63 | +1.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:25 | BTC | Buy | 62603.1→62991.9 | +3.18 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:24 | SOL | Buy | 69.7425→70.4224 | +5.32 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:14 | SUI | Buy | 0.704966→0.696957 | -7.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:49 | INJ | Buy | 4.66197→4.63604 | -3.86 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:12 | NEAR | Buy | 2.05261→2.05339 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:32 | SOL | Buy | 71.8418→71.9552 | +0.42 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.12318→1.12862 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:32 | BTC | Buy | 63939.2→63986.8 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:32 | ETH | Buy | 1719.77→1725.33 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:56 | OP | Buy | 0.101755→0.101215 | -3.74 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:56 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78775→1.79145 | +0.71 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.16173→0.162659 | +2.90 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:35 | LTC | Buy | 45.1673→45.4046 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:35 | BNB | Buy | 596.749→598.1 | +0.81 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:48 | BTC | Buy | 64129.2→64099.8 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13418→1.13372 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835149→0.0836591 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:48 | ETH | Buy | 1746.07→1746.23 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80375→1.80425 | -0.37 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
563
closed
43%
win rate
-286.94
total pnl ($)
-8.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
16
closed
62%
win rate
+18.69
total pnl ($)
+21.8 bps
avg bps net
Live WR is 144% of paper WR (62% vs 43%)
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 57 | 40% | -13.2 | -45.06 |
| BTC | 52 | 40% | -13.1 | -40.97 |
| SOL | 41 | 44% | -24.8 | -60.82 |
| INJ | 39 | 51% | +17.4 | +40.84 |
| XRP | 39 | 31% | -23.3 | -54.47 |
| ATOM | 38 | 42% | -17.0 | -38.56 |
| DOGE | 36 | 50% | -2.3 | -5.03 |
| NEAR | 33 | 39% | -0.5 | -0.95 |
| BNB | 30 | 50% | -3.2 | -5.81 |
| AVAX | 29 | 48% | -3.9 | -6.70 |
| SUI | 28 | 36% | -13.1 | -22.08 |
| ADA | 28 | 50% | +4.3 | +7.21 |
| LINK | 27 | 44% | -8.2 | -13.23 |
| LTC | 26 | 58% | +18.5 | +28.94 |
| OP | 21 | 43% | -8.7 | -10.98 |
| APT | 21 | 33% | -29.5 | -37.07 |
| ARB | 18 | 39% | -20.5 | -22.19 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:22 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:22 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:01 | BNB | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:25 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||