560
closed trades
44%
win rate
-215.84
total pnl ($)
0.251
weight
7d window — n=110 wr=41% pnl=-151.92
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 11:15:04 (36.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
auf
n: 133
· wr: 33.1%
· total_bps: -1447.5
· mean_bps: -10.88
· sharpe: -0.27
· max_dd_bps: -1694.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 23:31 | BNB | Buy | 558.119→556.851 | -1.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0749577→0.0744774 | -4.39 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:13 | BTC | Buy | 60368→60108 | -3.12 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:13 | LINK | Buy | 7.33553→7.30007 | -3.45 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.45121→6.37901 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 21:37 | NEAR | Buy | 1.90388→1.88279 | -7.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 20:51 | SUI | Buy | 0.687062→0.686718 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.146847→0.145201 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:07 | SOL | Buy | 72.0258→71.8902 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.05816→1.05854 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:05 | ETH | Buy | 1595.16→1603.14 | +2.47 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:50 | OP | Buy | 0.103086→0.103104 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:58 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5958→1.5993 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0744086→0.0750212 | +4.40 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:01 | INJ | Buy | 5.02396→4.96627 | -7.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:56 | SOL | Buy | 72.3008→71.9132 | -3.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.147867→0.147763 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:50 | AVAX | Buy | 6.52823→6.57626 | +3.87 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:10 | INJ | Buy | 4.83251→4.86048 | +2.93 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:59 | LTC | Buy | 40.4671→41.2847 | +11.58 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:15 | BTC | Buy | 59442→59104 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:11 | XRP | Buy | 1.02636→1.01504 | -7.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | SOL | Buy | 69.0414→68.2886 | -7.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | ETH | Buy | 1548.55→1531.28 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:01 | SUI | Buy | 0.673438→0.6787 | +4.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:11 | BNB | Buy | 567.272→567.178 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 06-26 04:52 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81965→1.80585 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:47 | BTC | Buy | 58542.9→59717 | +11.49 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:11 | INJ | Buy | 4.21715→4.30382 | +11.79 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | LINK | Buy | 7.16119→7.08069 | -7.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.142206→0.140565 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14093→6.07054 | -7.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:19 | BTC | Buy | 59674→59196 | -5.35 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:13 | SOL | Buy | 66.463→65.7293 | -7.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:13 | ETH | Buy | 1574.16→1557.27 | -6.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.04146→1.02993 | -7.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 18:20 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85126→1.87343 | +6.64 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:15 | ETH | Buy | 1636.06→1630.24 | -2.67 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076088→0.075866 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.07027→1.06993 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:14 | BTC | Buy | 61200.1→61167.9 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:14 | SOL | Buy | 68.1482→68.0718 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:28 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96499→1.96151 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-24 19:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.141705→0.140105 | -7.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:52 | BTC | Buy | 59352→59500 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 06-24 18:25 | NEAR | Buy | 1.87357→1.91042 | +11.26 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:21 | ARB | Buy | 0.0739385→0.0730951 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | OP | Buy | 0.0964541→0.0950187 | -9.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:47 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64491→1.62588 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | SOL | Buy | 68.4663→67.725 | -7.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30928→6.23852 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:31 | BNB | Buy | 569.962→571.117 | +0.69 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:31 | ETH | Buy | 1649.46→1652.93 | +0.72 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.30148→4.34381 | +5.38 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:01 | BTC | Buy | 62451.1→62821.9 | +3.02 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147207→0.147823 | +1.97 | timeout |
| 06-24 03:05 | OP | Buy | 0.101355→0.101085 | -2.11 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796229→0.0791632 | -4.00 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:35 | BNB | Buy | 580.025→580.775 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:35 | ETH | Buy | 1669.67→1676.23 | +1.82 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.51383→6.44187 | -7.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 22:04 | BTC | Buy | 62539.1→62623.9 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 06-23 22:04 | ARB | Buy | 0.0791898→0.0790502 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:51 | INJ | Buy | 4.58925→4.59025 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:54 | NEAR | Buy | 1.97759→1.9828 | +1.04 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:50 | LTC | Buy | 42.2756→41.7946 | -7.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 14:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.150428→0.150912 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.10368→1.09973 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:41 | APT | Buy | 0.628157→0.634041 | +5.08 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795739→0.0790732 | -4.31 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:29 | BNB | Buy | 574.694→571.507 | -3.85 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75734→1.76276 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:02 | LINK | Buy | 7.55989→7.53652 | -2.38 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:32 | SOL | Buy | 69.9645→70.2365 | +1.81 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:31 | ETH | Buy | 1684.97→1690.03 | +1.27 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.154129→0.155371 | +4.31 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:20 | BNB | Buy | 585.846→579.225 | -7.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29797→6.28973 | -1.33 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:06 | NEAR | Buy | 2.03861→2.05179 | +3.33 | timeout |
| 06-23 02:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0815124→0.0821745 | +4.33 | timeout |
| 06-23 02:08 | LINK | Buy | 7.90177→7.88413 | -1.88 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:49 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78485→1.79085 | +1.49 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.1587→0.15864 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:04 | ETH | Buy | 1754.18→1735.36 | -6.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | NEAR | Buy | 2.14574→2.12211 | -7.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | SUI | Buy | 0.728842→0.720729 | -7.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | ARB | Buy | 0.0856914→0.0847364 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:26 | SOL | Buy | 73.8621→74.3298 | +3.25 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:26 | BTC | Buy | 64275.2→64912.8 | +5.40 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:43 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836189→0.0835091 | -1.33 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:52 | ETH | Buy | 1748.97→1747.23 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:51 | OP | Buy | 0.102866→0.103004 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:05 | NEAR | Buy | 2.18105→2.15698 | -7.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 07:36 | ARB | Buy | 0.084021→0.0848788 | +5.59 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.13098→1.13202 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:13 | ETH | Buy | 1709.47→1713.23 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:13 | SOL | Buy | 72.6729→72.9861 | +2.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825706→0.0827313 | +0.63 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:49 | BTC | Buy | 64175.2→63706.8 | -4.92 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:35 | NEAR | Buy | 2.15144→2.15676 | +0.95 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
560
closed
44%
win rate
-215.84
total pnl ($)
-6.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 54 | 44% | +1.1 | +3.66 |
| ETH | 52 | 40% | -12.7 | -39.76 |
| XRP | 44 | 34% | -14.4 | -37.98 |
| SOL | 41 | 46% | -11.0 | -26.97 |
| DOGE | 37 | 46% | -4.9 | -10.91 |
| ATOM | 36 | 36% | -27.5 | -59.28 |
| NEAR | 34 | 38% | -28.2 | -57.54 |
| ADA | 34 | 47% | -5.5 | -11.06 |
| INJ | 32 | 53% | +32.1 | +61.67 |
| LINK | 29 | 34% | -10.0 | -17.34 |
| AVAX | 29 | 55% | +11.4 | +19.80 |
| LTC | 27 | 41% | -1.2 | -1.93 |
| BNB | 25 | 48% | -13.9 | -20.81 |
| SUI | 24 | 54% | +7.0 | +9.97 |
| ARB | 23 | 52% | -14.6 | -20.05 |
| OP | 21 | 38% | -20.7 | -26.01 |
| APT | 18 | 61% | +17.3 | +18.71 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 6)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:36 | BNB | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:17 | NEAR | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:17 | AVAX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:17 | LINK | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:17 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:17 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||