246
closed trades
30%
win rate
-712.04
total pnl ($)
0.582
weight
7d window — n=58 wr=36% pnl=-106.36
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-23 04:27:56 (35.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
avs
n: 92
· wr: 39.1%
· total_bps: -3179.6
· mean_bps: -34.56
· sharpe: -0.25
· max_dd_bps: -3647.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 11:02 | BTC | Buy | 60341→60399 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:02 | ETH | Buy | 1583.06→1583.44 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:02 | SOL | Buy | 72.1738→71.9982 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.52933→6.52837 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.65044→6.55664 | +6.65 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:35 | BTC | Buy | 59038→59865 | +6.53 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.02116→1.05344 | +15.34 | take_profit |
| 06-26 19:25 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0745574→0.0759769 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 19:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0734494→0.0757681 | +15.30 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:00 | ADA | Sell | 0.146573→0.149362 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 15:26 | ETH | Buy | 1536.35→1585.24 | +15.46 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:12 | SOL | Buy | 68.8983→71.1073 | +15.58 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:32 | BTC | Buy | 59220→60054 | +6.59 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:21 | SOL | Sell | 67.4809→68.7607 | -9.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.02866→1.00894 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | ETH | Buy | 1555.16→1526.08 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:11 | AVAX | Sell | 6.21795→6.10943 | +8.25 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:18 | BTC | Buy | 58999.9→59912 | +7.27 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:09 | ADA | Sell | 0.142154→0.144919 | -10.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:55 | SOL | Buy | 65.8269→64.586 | -9.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:53 | ETH | Buy | 1582.56→1552.97 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0743516→0.0729253 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.04586→1.02543 | -10.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | SOL | Sell | 68.1118→65.9479 | +15.44 | take_profit |
| 06-25 07:02 | LINK | Buy | 7.39595→7.51742 | +7.77 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4206→6.62824 | +15.74 | take_profit |
| 06-24 21:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.142436→0.146943 | +15.39 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:13 | LINK | Sell | 7.23139→7.36992 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | ETH | Sell | 1577.84→1607.46 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:42 | SOL | Buy | 69.0844→67.7849 | -9.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | AVAX | Sell | 6.4027→6.26487 | +10.34 | timeout |
| 06-24 15:37 | ETH | Buy | 1661.77→1630.62 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62291.1→61127.4 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.147387→0.144572 | -9.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:26 | AVAX | Sell | 6.48758→6.4151 | +5.17 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:02 | LINK | Buy | 7.55509→7.5844 | +1.48 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:28 | XRP | Sell | 1.09723→1.09767 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:28 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0786423→0.0789307 | -2.38 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:18 | ETH | Buy | 1654.97→1664.23 | +2.32 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:14 | LINK | Sell | 7.49962→7.64263 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 09:11 | AVAX | Sell | 6.03969→6.15461 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.155139→0.151926 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | SOL | Buy | 69.7645→68.4505 | -9.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.12298→1.11022 | -6.09 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:20 | ETH | Buy | 1723.97→1691.68 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.158029→0.155004 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | BTC | Buy | 64042.2→62843.4 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822906→0.0806455 | -10.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 21:34 | SOL | Sell | 74.2939→72.6439 | +10.59 | timeout |
| 06-22 21:33 | LINK | Sell | 8.08478→7.89607 | +11.23 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14809→1.12992 | -8.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36279→6.24062 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.16018→0.15893 | -4.21 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26607→6.14589 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 16:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.27777→6.26953 | -1.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163051→0.15995 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.94479→7.96701 | +0.90 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:00 | AVAX | Sell | 6.11827→6.17154 | -4.75 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:48 | SOL | Buy | 71.6818→71.1683 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:26 | AVAX | Buy | 6.03301→6.22784 | +15.70 | take_profit |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0664→69.9975 | +6.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:00 | AVAX | Sell | 5.84444→5.95727 | -10.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 19:09 | AVAX | Buy | 5.88787→5.77597 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 13:09 | LINK | Buy | 7.87137→7.84854 | -1.89 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:03 | BNB | Buy | 580.925→573.337 | -7.02 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.164511→0.161349 | -10.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30878→6.17716 | -10.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:08 | LTC | Sell | 43.2562→43.941 | -8.36 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23186→6.31422 | +6.17 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.14008→1.14641 | +2.29 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:38 | BNB | Buy | 577.564→577.965 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:18 | ADA | Sell | 0.162419→0.162681 | -1.20 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:44 | AVAX | Sell | 6.46438→6.26036 | +15.33 | take_profit |
| 06-18 03:31 | BTC | Buy | 64536.2→64336.8 | -2.00 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.1886→1.1802 | -3.93 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:31 | ETH | Buy | 1744.07→1746.13 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | SOL | Buy | 72.1668→70.8109 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 21:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0865186→0.0856596 | -5.46 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:34 | AVAX | Buy | 6.84031→6.83679 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:27 | SOL | Buy | 72.0078→74.2989 | +15.43 | take_profit |
| 06-17 16:26 | BTC | Sell | 64878.8→66086.3 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:19 | BNB | Sell | 603.549→607.592 | -3.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171193→0.168758 | -7.59 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.95514→6.82258 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:10 | SOL | Buy | 74.2001→72.7977 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.82581→6.93157 | +7.28 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.563→73.6659 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:20 | LINK | Buy | 8.18605→8.32622 | +8.07 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:29 | BNB | Buy | 603.361→606.368 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:10 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877569→0.0875841 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:27 | XRP | Buy | 1.23531→1.21159 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ETH | Buy | 1803.88→1770.04 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 06:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.177914→0.177526 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:46 | BTC | Buy | 66984.3→66232.7 | -6.08 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.184536→0.185953 | +3.39 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.90593→6.89088 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | BNB | Buy | 630.158→618.186 | -9.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 18:40 | LTC | Sell | 46.0435→45.8325 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-15 15:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.22101→1.25988 | +15.47 | take_profit |
| 06-15 08:31 | SOL | Sell | 71.3553→71.3727 | -0.60 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
246
closed
30%
win rate
-712.04
total pnl ($)
-57.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 36 | 19% | -92.8 | -166.58 |
| AVAX | 33 | 33% | -30.4 | -49.94 |
| SOL | 32 | 28% | -46.2 | -73.52 |
| LINK | 27 | 44% | -35.9 | -48.34 |
| ETH | 24 | 25% | -105.9 | -127.14 |
| DOGE | 23 | 35% | -29.4 | -34.21 |
| BTC | 20 | 35% | -51.9 | -52.07 |
| XRP | 20 | 25% | -74.9 | -74.86 |
| BNB | 16 | 31% | -52.6 | -42.22 |
| LTC | 15 | 27% | -57.8 | -43.18 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 16:06 | LTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 15:31 | LINK | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 15:31 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 15:31 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 15:31 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||