681
closed trades
36%
win rate
-427.58
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=306 wr=32% pnl=-245.26
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 16:59:42 (19.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_aly
n: 4896
· wr: 30.8%
· total_bps: -62036.5
· mean_bps: -12.67
· sharpe: -0.38
· max_dd_bps: -62163.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 19:28 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64563.1→64294.8 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:57 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64621.1→64302 | -2.92 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:26 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64550.5→64579.5 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:54 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64730.1→64605.1 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64735.1→64483.8 | -2.39 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64809→64617.6 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:20 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64951.1→64722.6 | -2.21 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:44 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64928.2→65024.5 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:09 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 65299.5→64956.2 | -3.08 | timeout |
| 06-22 14:35 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 65254.3→65002.8 | -2.38 | timeout |
| 06-22 14:03 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 65101.9→65376.3 | +1.65 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:31 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64856.1→65080.2 | +1.27 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:00 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64678.5→65074.8 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:29 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64377.8→64899.2 | +3.59 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:58 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64131.2→64633.9 | +3.46 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:26 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64156.5→64419.8 | +1.60 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:55 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64133.7→64114.8 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64135.8→64128.7 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:48 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64139→64086 | -0.87 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:15 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64287.9→64114 | -1.81 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:41 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64296.7→64116.2 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:07 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64063.3→64145.6 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:34 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64055.2→64259 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:01 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64207.2→63946.8 | -2.48 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:27 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64220→64047.1 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:53 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64038→64151.1 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:19 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63903→64182.1 | +1.73 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:45 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64176→63916.3 | -2.47 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:11 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64056.5→63914.1 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:01 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64540.9→63884.5 | -5.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 03:01 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64569.9→63910.4 | -5.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 02:28 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64623.8→64500.3 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63749.6→64685.9 | +6.89 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63536.4→63930 | +2.64 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:41 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63374.9→63950.3 | +4.09 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:08 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63718.7→63474.1 | -2.37 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:36 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63593→63324.3 | -2.56 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:03 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63772.7→63648.9 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:30 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63701.7→63614.1 | -1.14 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:57 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63768.7→63749.9 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64106.4→63459.9 | -5.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:49 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64184.8→63665.7 | -4.49 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:14 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64217.9→64118.4 | -1.22 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:39 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64202.2→64160.8 | -0.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:09 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64001→64126 | +0.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:38 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64054.8→64147.2 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:03 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64130.2→63949.1 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:27 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64191.5→64112 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64248.9→64104.5 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64200.1→64106.9 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64054.8→64197.8 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:05 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64114.2→64182.8 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:30 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64148.1→63984 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:56 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64131.5→64057.7 | -1.02 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:23 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63977.5→64103.6 | +0.54 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64145.2→63996.4 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:20 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64213.7→63997.4 | -2.13 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:45 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64330.1→64223.9 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64264.4→64358.4 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:43 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64119.1→64333.9 | +1.22 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:08 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63970.8→64204 | +1.37 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:37 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63951.6→64120.6 | +0.87 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:06 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64157.4→63951.4 | -2.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:31 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64179→64010 | -1.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:00 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64285.7→64155.3 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:30 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64248.9→64127.9 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:55 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64243.9→64243.5 | -0.45 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:21 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64235.2→64212.8 | -0.62 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64336→64198.6 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64411.3→64193.9 | -2.14 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:41 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64392.3→64465.7 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:07 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64230.2→64343.9 | +0.44 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:34 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64229.9→64312.3 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:59 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64232.1→64194.5 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:27 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64232.3→64174.2 | -0.90 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:56 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64264.7→64210.4 | -0.87 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:24 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64236.3→64205.7 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:53 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64265.7→64266.9 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64262.6→64244.7 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64298.8→64239.1 | -0.92 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:19 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64085.1→64229.7 | +0.68 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:48 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64032.9→64205.7 | +0.90 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:17 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63947.2→64051.9 | +0.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:44 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63863.9→63989.4 | +0.53 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:10 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63949.2→63901.6 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:35 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63866.4→63816.5 | -0.84 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:00 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63795.4→63891.2 | +0.30 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:29 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63844.1→63808.8 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:57 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63835.7→63747.2 | -1.14 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:24 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63890.4→63825.5 | -0.96 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64023.7→63794.1 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64005.9→63874.6 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:41 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 64100.1→63962.1 | -1.53 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:08 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63873.8→63971.1 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:20 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63391.8→64311.1 | +6.80 | take_profit |
| 06-20 14:57 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63403.2→63887.7 | +3.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63435.9→63284.4 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:49 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63592.7→63441.7 | -1.64 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:16 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63716→63568.2 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:43 | BTCUSDT | Buy | 63709.1→63566 | -1.58 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
681
closed
36%
win rate
-427.58
total pnl ($)
-12.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | 681 | 36% | -12.5 | -427.58 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 33)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 19:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 19:13 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 18:43 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 18:12 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 17:40 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 17:08 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 16:02 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 15:29 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 14:55 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 14:23 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 13:50 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 13:21 | BTCUSDT | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 12:22 | BTCUSDT | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 11:51 | BTCUSDT | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 09:37 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 09:03 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 08:29 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 07:55 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 06:12 | BTCUSDT | Buy | router_blocked |
| 06-22 05:15 | BTCUSDT | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||