629
closed trades
43%
win rate
-330.36
total pnl ($)
0.916
weight
7d window — n=134 wr=46% pnl=-38.49
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-22 21:54:59 (38.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
avd
n: 23
· wr: 47.8%
· total_bps: -13.7
· mean_bps: -0.60
· sharpe: -0.01
· max_dd_bps: -570.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 22:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0775594→0.0770507 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-29 21:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.72398→6.67523 | -4.10 | timeout |
| 06-29 19:37 | ATOM | Buy | 1.55399→1.53225 | -7.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 17:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.143766→0.146913 | +10.48 | take_profit |
| 06-29 13:26 | ATOM | Buy | 1.56839→1.54584 | -7.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 05:05 | OP | Buy | 0.102536→0.100884 | -8.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 04:41 | INJ | Buy | 4.56454→4.60145 | +3.63 | timeout |
| 06-29 03:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0735284→0.0751212 | +10.38 | take_profit |
| 06-29 02:46 | NEAR | Sell | 1.83334→1.85939 | -7.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 02:39 | SOL | Sell | 70.9664→71.9467 | -7.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 00:02 | ATOM | Buy | 1.56739→1.56951 | +0.21 | timeout |
| 06-28 23:50 | AVAX | Buy | 6.34289→6.47978 | +10.33 | take_profit |
| 06-28 22:56 | INJ | Buy | 4.57994→4.50972 | -8.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 20:59 | ARB | Buy | 0.0734584→0.0733417 | -1.20 | timeout |
| 06-28 19:42 | ATOM | Buy | 1.57179→1.56741 | -1.85 | timeout |
| 06-28 19:10 | LTC | Buy | 43.0108→42.5384 | -5.91 | timeout |
| 06-28 15:43 | OP | Buy | 0.100245→0.101635 | +6.46 | timeout |
| 06-28 11:00 | ATOM | Buy | 1.55839→1.56441 | +1.50 | timeout |
| 06-28 10:41 | APT | Buy | 0.579445→0.580855 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-28 09:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.144696→0.145704 | +3.04 | timeout |
| 06-28 02:50 | APT | Buy | 0.584646→0.579955 | -4.44 | timeout |
| 06-28 02:37 | OP | Buy | 0.100395→0.101355 | +4.38 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.146777→0.144691 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:30 | ARB | Buy | 0.0747687→0.0737047 | -7.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 17:58 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5958→1.5949 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:02 | OP | Buy | 0.103086→0.101644 | -7.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 14:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.86712→4.97486 | +10.62 | take_profit |
| 06-27 13:27 | ATOM | Buy | 1.58019→1.5986 | +5.44 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:47 | ARB | Buy | 0.0745286→0.0751012 | +3.39 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:05 | INJ | Buy | 4.94424→5.05314 | +10.57 | take_profit |
| 06-27 07:35 | OP | Buy | 0.105396→0.105324 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:07 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81355→1.80505 | -2.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.148263 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:30 | ARB | Buy | 0.0738585→0.0744514 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:20 | INJ | Buy | 4.75829→4.86168 | +10.41 | take_profit |
| 06-26 23:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4151→6.55326 | +10.31 | take_profit |
| 06-26 22:57 | OP | Sell | 0.106603→0.105986 | +2.45 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:33 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5939→1.5883 | -2.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:27 | BNB | Buy | 564.451→566.298 | +1.16 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:09 | INJ | Sell | 4.77241→4.84073 | -7.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 18:45 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49232→6.3989 | -7.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:00 | SOL | Sell | 71.6962→72.6972 | -7.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 14:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0715579→0.0731217 | +10.47 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:43 | NEAR | Sell | 1.75346→1.77863 | -7.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:44 | OP | Buy | 0.104326→0.102853 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:01 | APT | Sell | 0.60105→0.587847 | +10.54 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.146337→0.144272 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.44201→4.37831 | -7.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:11 | OP | Buy | 0.102206→0.104424 | +10.39 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:45 | SUI | Sell | 0.663714→0.673105 | -7.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:12 | APT | Sell | 0.572457→0.580535 | -7.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.140395→0.138406 | -7.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:01 | ETH | Buy | 1535.65→1514.59 | -7.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Sell | 4.28513→4.18875 | +10.76 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81605→1.79016 | -7.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.141275→0.144134 | +9.67 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:18 | ETH | Buy | 1568.56→1569.64 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:21 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85996→1.83392 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16014→6.07144 | -7.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 18:20 | LTC | Buy | 40.3671→41.0347 | +7.79 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:19 | INJ | Buy | 4.13343→4.23124 | +11.37 | take_profit |
| 06-25 18:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.03246→1.03974 | +3.12 | timeout |
| 06-25 14:33 | SOL | Buy | 65.3838→66.832 | +10.63 | take_profit |
| 06-25 14:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.141925→0.145004 | +10.39 | take_profit |
| 06-25 14:33 | BTC | Buy | 58950.9→60244 | +10.52 | take_profit |
| 06-25 14:07 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0723389→0.07336 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:07 | ETH | Sell | 1544.75→1566.04 | -7.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | LINK | Sell | 7.15611→6.99935 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:58 | OP | Sell | 0.100995→0.0985146 | +11.83 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:55 | APT | Sell | 0.59975→0.586847 | +10.31 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:43 | SUI | Buy | 0.692343→0.682618 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | INJ | Buy | 4.29667→4.23262 | -7.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | NEAR | Buy | 1.93638→1.90927 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36159→6.26969 | -7.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:07 | ARB | Buy | 0.0769292→0.0758531 | -7.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:27 | SUI | Buy | 0.701455→0.691361 | -7.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 08:56 | ETH | Buy | 1632.26→1651.43 | +5.40 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.148717→0.149243 | +1.29 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0766372→0.0770347 | +2.14 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.08027→1.08293 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.47752→6.61835 | +10.42 | take_profit |
| 06-25 03:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4204→6.4057 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:47 | APT | Sell | 0.631442→0.625056 | +4.62 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:41 | INJ | Buy | 4.23796→4.17796 | -7.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 23:04 | OP | Buy | 0.102106→0.104554 | +11.53 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:32 | BNB | Buy | 554.949→563.489 | +7.27 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.06657→1.07393 | +3.04 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.140775→0.143804 | +10.32 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:06 | LINK | Buy | 7.1924→7.34816 | +10.39 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6017→1.63869 | +11.12 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:25 | NEAR | Buy | 1.87337→1.91372 | +10.32 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:21 | APT | Buy | 0.592248→0.605049 | +10.37 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:47 | ETH | Buy | 1575.96→1554.37 | -7.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | INJ | Buy | 4.20395→4.14249 | -7.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.663146→0.653729 | -7.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14564→6.04606 | -8.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.692→65.7572 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0747617→0.0736847 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:43 | ARB | Buy | 0.076039→0.0749737 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:19 | INJ | Buy | 4.30598→4.31262 | +0.35 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
629
closed
43%
win rate
-330.36
total pnl ($)
-10.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATOM | 88 | 35% | -28.0 | -122.20 |
| INJ | 78 | 44% | -0.2 | -0.30 |
| NEAR | 75 | 33% | -29.3 | -110.08 |
| OP | 66 | 52% | +5.0 | +17.06 |
| APT | 66 | 36% | -25.7 | -84.55 |
| ARB | 58 | 38% | -26.2 | -75.96 |
| ADA | 55 | 51% | +3.3 | +9.35 |
| AVAX | 30 | 40% | -8.3 | -12.52 |
| SOL | 21 | 48% | +11.3 | +12.25 |
| SUI | 19 | 32% | -46.6 | -44.26 |
| ETH | 17 | 47% | -18.6 | -15.82 |
| XRP | 14 | 64% | +27.3 | +19.20 |
| LINK | 12 | 58% | +68.2 | +40.96 |
| DOGE | 12 | 58% | +11.7 | +7.00 |
| LTC | 8 | 62% | +66.2 | +26.55 |
| BNB | 7 | 43% | -24.1 | -8.50 |
| BTC | 3 | 100% | +76.2 | +11.47 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||