84
closed trades
49%
win rate
+245.76
total pnl ($)
1.874
weight
7d window — n=21 wr=57% pnl=+98.75
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 19:37:33 (24.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
x3485389_69121
n: 78
· wr: 44.9%
· total_bps: +1615.9
· mean_bps: +20.72
· sharpe: +0.12
· max_dd_bps: -2641.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 84 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 07:42 | BTC | Sell | 60399→60203 | +1.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:18 | BTC | Sell | 59918→60552 | -5.78 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:56 | BTC | Sell | 59371→59910 | -4.97 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:22 | BTC | Sell | 59226→59877 | -5.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:15 | BTC | Sell | 58179.1→60544.3 | -20.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:03 | BTC | Sell | 59664→59385 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:59 | BTC | Sell | 60744→58064.9 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:51 | BTC | Sell | 61861.9→59145 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:46 | BTC | Sell | 61978.9→59236 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:20 | BTC | Sell | 62219.9→59476 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | BTC | Sell | 62677.9→59902 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-24 12:30 | BTC | Sell | 62378.9→62796.1 | -3.79 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:02 | BTC | Sell | 62905.9→62719.1 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:53 | BTC | Sell | 64086.8→62964.1 | +8.31 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Sell | 65068.7→62203.1 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:37 | BTC | Sell | 64004.8→62876.1 | +8.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:21 | BTC | Sell | 63569.8→63860.2 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:11 | BTC | Sell | 63959.8→64664.2 | -5.89 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:24 | BTC | Sell | 64028.8→64249.2 | -2.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:25 | BTC | Sell | 63945.8→63618.2 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:51 | BTC | Sell | 63917.8→64033.2 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:22 | BTC | Sell | 63694.8→64223.2 | -4.60 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:28 | BTC | Sell | 63279.8→64264.2 | -8.22 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:32 | BTC | Sell | 62909.9→63433.2 | -4.62 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:23 | BTC | Sell | 63102.8→62952.1 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:52 | BTC | Sell | 64433.8→62625.1 | +13.45 | timeout |
| 06-19 02:07 | BTC | Sell | 64583.8→63031.2 | +11.47 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:08 | BTC | Sell | 64323.8→63103.2 | +8.87 | timeout |
| 06-18 14:17 | BTC | Sell | 65309.7→63932.2 | +10.08 | timeout |
| 06-18 01:36 | BTC | Sell | 65574.7→64609.2 | +6.99 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:28 | BTC | Sell | 65674.7→64675.2 | +7.17 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:21 | BTC | Sell | 66160.7→65015.3 | +8.22 | timeout |
| 06-17 07:25 | BTC | Sell | 66343.7→65503.3 | +5.83 | timeout |
| 06-17 00:16 | BTC | Sell | 66368.7→65733.3 | +4.40 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:08 | BTC | Sell | 67069.6→65812.3 | +9.02 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:12 | BTC | Sell | 65724.7→66511.3 | -6.38 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:03 | BTC | Sell | 65822.7→66179.3 | -3.21 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:19 | BTC | Sell | 64787.8→66498.3 | -13.60 | timeout |
| 06-15 11:17 | BTC | Sell | 64522.8→66002.3 | -11.92 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:19 | BTC | Sell | 64323.8→65681.3 | -10.99 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:15 | BTC | Sell | 64423.8→65590.3 | -9.47 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:13 | BTC | Sell | 63937.8→63941.2 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-14 11:07 | BTC | Sell | 63846.8→64477.2 | -5.38 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:49 | BTC | Sell | 63618.8→64357.2 | -6.29 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:13 | BTC | Sell | 63573.8→64205.2 | -5.40 | timeout |
| 06-13 12:06 | BTC | Sell | 63615.8→63889.2 | -2.52 | timeout |
| 06-13 05:39 | BTC | Sell | 63339.8→63527.2 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 06-12 23:13 | BTC | Sell | 63364.8→63447.2 | -1.05 | timeout |
| 06-12 17:08 | BTC | Sell | 62458.9→64015.2 | -12.88 | timeout |
| 06-12 11:02 | BTC | Sell | 63137.8→63687.2 | -4.73 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:08 | BTC | Sell | 62408.9→62779.1 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 06-11 09:39 | BTC | Sell | 61346.9→62905.1 | -13.01 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:10 | BTC | Sell | 61671.9→61942.1 | -2.60 | timeout |
| 06-10 07:43 | BTC | Sell | 63161.8→62023.1 | +8.50 | timeout |
| 06-09 20:06 | BTC | Sell | 63385.8→62023.1 | +10.23 | timeout |
| 06-09 13:10 | BTC | Sell | 63823.8→62651.1 | +8.72 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:56 | BTC | Sell | 62955.9→63270.2 | -2.89 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:54 | BTC | Sell | 63636.8→62545.1 | +8.12 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:47 | BTC | Sell | 62196.9→63395.2 | -10.02 | timeout |
| 06-08 06:42 | BTC | Sell | 62132.9→62938.1 | -6.91 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:15 | BTC | Sell | 61607.9→64111.2 | -20.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | BTC | Sell | 60761→63229.8 | -20.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 18:26 | BTC | Sell | 60595→62187.1 | -13.63 | timeout |
| 06-07 12:21 | BTC | Sell | 60898→62131.1 | -10.58 | timeout |
| 06-07 05:28 | BTC | Sell | 60742→61805.1 | -9.23 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:32 | BTC | Sell | 60672→60624 | -0.06 | timeout |
| 06-05 15:37 | BTC | Sell | 63067.8→60298 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-05 14:01 | BTC | Sell | 63465.8→60678 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-05 13:56 | BTC | Sell | 63746.8→60940 | +21.57 | take_profit |
| 06-05 09:41 | BTC | Sell | 62799.9→62798.1 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 06-05 04:54 | BTC | Sell | 64376.8→63193.2 | +8.69 | timeout |
| 06-04 01:55 | BTC | Sell | 64990.8→62137.1 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-04 00:29 | BTC | Sell | 66346.7→63433.2 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-04 00:26 | BTC | Sell | 66646.7→63720.2 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-03 23:15 | BTC | Sell | 66722.7→64545.2 | +15.88 | timeout |
| 06-03 15:46 | BTC | Sell | 67428.6→66184.3 | +8.86 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:29 | BTC | Sell | 70029.5→66948.3 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-02 14:22 | BTC | Sell | 71335.4→68203.4 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-02 14:10 | BTC | Sell | 71519.4→68378.4 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-02 06:46 | BTC | Sell | 73048.3→70200.5 | +19.19 | timeout |
| 06-01 23:34 | BTC | Sell | 73656.3→71308.6 | +15.64 | timeout |
| 05-31 10:18 | BTC | Sell | 73622.3→73788.7 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 05-30 14:52 | BTC | Sell | 73007.3→73912.7 | -6.50 | timeout |
| 05-30 07:47 | BTC | Sell | 73365.3→73462.7 | -1.07 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
84
closed
49%
win rate
+245.76
total pnl ($)
+58.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
4
closed
50%
win rate
+11.89
total pnl ($)
+107.7 bps
avg bps net
Live: 4 trades (insufficient sample, <5)
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 84 | 49% | +58.3 | +245.76 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 05:14 | BTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||