204
closed trades
38%
win rate
-425.98
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=48 wr=31% pnl=-155.27
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 21:14:17 (32.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aqg
n: 172
· wr: 45.3%
· total_bps: -838.3
· mean_bps: -4.87
· sharpe: -0.05
· max_dd_bps: -1810.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 06:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829507→0.0832652 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.14499→1.12246 | -10.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1735.27→1702.78 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162281→0.159151 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:20 | BTC | Buy | 64200.2→64168.8 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:06 | SOL | Buy | 73.278→74.1439 | +5.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:13 | ETH | Buy | 1733.17→1721.63 | -3.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.16094→0.16086 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:50 | BTC | Buy | 64281.2→63898.8 | -3.47 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:25 | SOL | Buy | 73.62→73.155 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163021→0.15989 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 23:04 | ETH | Buy | 1735.07→1742.83 | +1.74 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.14579→1.15191 | +2.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.5757→71.7052 | +0.40 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.14859→1.14871 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08422→0.08262 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.16 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13968→1.14591 | +2.30 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0804→69.9975 | +6.16 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62508.1→63246.8 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:19 | BTC | Buy | 62865.1→62592.9 | -2.57 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162101→0.159021 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4224→68.7797 | -5.12 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.8956→69.5638 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.165431→0.162238 | -10.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.17029→1.14764 | -10.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845851→0.083974 | -4.03 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.166872→0.163697 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854964→0.0838711 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 21:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6709→71.5323 | -8.30 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:50 | BTC | Buy | 65240.3→64026.8 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:08 | ETH | Buy | 1769.08→1761.02 | -2.76 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.1966→1.2116 | +5.83 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171213→0.168708 | -7.79 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:31 | SOL | Buy | 73.8361→72.4479 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66583.3→65340 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883871→0.0866899 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.179705→0.176218 | -10.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:33 | ETH | Buy | 1782.28→1839.02 | +15.44 | take_profit |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7701→74.3988 | +3.80 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087973→0.0875841 | -2.63 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:55 | ETH | Buy | 1790.48→1756.95 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180255→0.176787 | -10.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.184686→0.185934 | +2.92 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 65941.3→66807.7 | +6.09 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.415→75.7446 | +15.42 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.2194→1.25799 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-15 07:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.181595→0.180425 | -3.66 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16999→1.1835 | +5.35 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:33 | ETH | Buy | 1704.37→1719.43 | +3.95 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13408→1.17001 | +15.43 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859785→0.0886978 | +15.38 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | SOL | Buy | 67.8932→70.0495 | +15.44 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:24 | SOL | Buy | 67.0161→69.1506 | +15.55 | take_profit |
| 06-14 18:51 | BTC | Buy | 64517.2→63768.8 | -6.28 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.4423→67.6419 | -6.25 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.167105 | -9.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 10:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.170477 | -7.50 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:47 | SOL | Buy | 68.8923→68.1568 | -5.78 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14529→1.14491 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:08 | BTC | Buy | 64027.2→64424.8 | +2.65 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.173613→0.171307 | -7.02 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.14369→1.14551 | +0.37 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872618→0.0876511 | +1.73 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 63798.2→64300.8 | +3.48 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0862015→0.0872252 | +5.53 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.169822→0.173107 | +9.22 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1661.27→1664.13 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:12 | BTC | Buy | 63714.2→63897.8 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:02 | SOL | Buy | 68.3503→67.0514 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 15:07 | SOL | Buy | 66.2509→68.3677 | +15.48 | take_profit |
| 06-12 14:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0894764→0.0923669 | +15.70 | take_profit |
| 06-12 14:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.170233→0.168588 | -5.33 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.14859→1.12675 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 19:52 | SOL | Buy | 66.0819→66.93 | +5.92 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.12118→1.10702 | -6.80 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.166472→0.166178 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-11 14:16 | ETH | Buy | 1669.37→1638.12 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 02:29 | ETH | Buy | 1627.56→1634.14 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:50 | SOL | Buy | 65.4278→64.1963 | -9.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15896→0.164059 | +15.62 | take_profit |
| 06-10 03:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.167692→0.168578 | +2.19 | timeout |
| 06-10 01:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.13438→1.14301 | +3.36 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:45 | ETH | Buy | 1628.66→1655.63 | +7.85 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835709→0.0850547 | +8.44 | timeout |
| 06-09 15:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0858585→0.0842218 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.167432→0.164197 | -10.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.15409→1.13215 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:29 | BTC | Buy | 62658.1→61492.2 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:46 | ETH | Buy | 1693.97→1662.3 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.170333→0.167065 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.166932→0.172197 | +15.34 | take_profit |
| 06-08 05:26 | XRP | Buy | 1.15439→1.13245 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 05:06 | BTC | Buy | 63774.2→62588.6 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837009→0.0863564 | +15.41 | take_profit |
| 06-07 19:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.16085→0.157762 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 15:32 | ETH | Buy | 1614.16→1634.14 | +5.79 | timeout |
| 06-07 14:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0846302→0.0845449 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 06-07 14:28 | SOL | Buy | 64.7147→64.8273 | +0.59 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
204
closed
38%
win rate
-425.98
total pnl ($)
-41.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 48 | 27% | -77.3 | -184.91 |
| XRP | 34 | 38% | -51.6 | -87.64 |
| SOL | 33 | 45% | -5.0 | -8.28 |
| DOGE | 31 | 45% | -4.0 | -6.42 |
| ETH | 29 | 38% | -50.0 | -72.67 |
| BTC | 29 | 38% | -45.5 | -66.06 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 22:18 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||