214
closed trades
40%
win rate
-386.99
total pnl ($)
0.617
weight
7d window — n=52 wr=44% pnl=-48.03
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 21:14:17 (32.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aqg
n: 192
· wr: 46.4%
· total_bps: -1293.7
· mean_bps: -6.74
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -2511.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 00:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833078→0.0829663 | -2.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162281→0.159151 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:20 | BTC | Buy | 64200.2→64168.8 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.16072→0.16117 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:29 | SOL | Buy | 73.0079→74.0149 | +6.40 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:14 | ETH | Buy | 1733.07→1721.93 | -3.65 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:07 | SOL | Buy | 73.427→73.8039 | +2.07 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1741.37→1732.43 | -3.02 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:25 | SOL | Buy | 73.597→73.169 | -3.36 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.162991→0.15989 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 23:03 | ETH | Buy | 1734.07→1742.83 | +2.03 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.14629→1.15191 | +1.96 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.16 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:10 | SOL | Buy | 71.9528→71.5413 | -3.34 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:10 | BTC | Buy | 63816.2→63587.8 | -2.25 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.14589→1.14581 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13968→1.14591 | +2.30 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:53 | SOL | Buy | 68.9803→69.9895 | +6.83 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.162491→0.16071 | -5.84 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62508.1→63246.8 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.16077→0.162189 | +4.01 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4184→68.7077 | -5.61 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164081→0.160939 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14189→1.14941 | +2.81 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.16098→0.163139 | +6.21 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.166132→0.164889 | -4.22 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.165801→0.164409 | -4.54 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | BTC | Buy | 65079.3→63846.9 | -9.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 64921.2→64252.8 | -5.59 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:56 | ETH | Buy | 1765.18→1772.52 | +1.60 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859775→0.0872232 | +6.74 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 72.8679→73.8869 | +6.49 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.171413→0.168708 | -8.35 | timeout |
| 06-17 05:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0875389→0.0874491 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-17 04:19 | XRP | Buy | 1.22161→1.2155 | -2.95 | timeout |
| 06-17 04:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.173503→0.173447 | -0.58 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:33 | ETH | Buy | 1796.28→1762.54 | -9.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66583.3→65327.1 | -9.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872148→0.0875871 | +1.70 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 65990.3→66212.7 | +1.21 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.594→74.4638 | +5.44 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:37 | SOL | Buy | 74.1901→73.615 | -4.36 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.188287→0.184691 | -9.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0896934→0.0887998 | -5.35 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904016→0.0886635 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 72.4209→74.7318 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:05 | ETH | Buy | 1724.57→1779.42 | +15.45 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.180865→0.186573 | +15.32 | take_profit |
| 06-15 10:15 | ETH | Buy | 1720.47→1722.33 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 06-15 07:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.182196→0.180315 | -5.60 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.17419→1.1817 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:09 | ETH | Buy | 1714.57→1721.03 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:21 | BTC | Buy | 64043.2→65502.7 | +10.93 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.167582→0.172917 | +15.42 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 66.987→69.1126 | +15.49 | take_profit |
| 06-14 18:51 | BTC | Buy | 64518.2→63769.8 | -6.28 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.4673→67.6359 | -6.47 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.167105 | -9.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 64337.2→64285.8 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.170477 | -7.50 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:17 | ETH | Buy | 1687.47→1672.53 | -4.86 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.14979→1.14981 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 02:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.173003→0.172407 | -2.22 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882501→0.087874 | -2.63 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.173613→0.171377 | -6.82 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:06 | ETH | Buy | 1675.37→1675.53 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0871578→0.0876511 | +2.33 | timeout |
| 06-13 13:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.170553→0.173367 | +7.78 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0862025→0.0872252 | +5.52 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:34 | SOL | Buy | 66.978→67.2999 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.169862→0.173107 | +9.10 | timeout |
| 06-12 23:08 | ETH | Buy | 1684.07→1661.13 | -7.25 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:15 | SOL | Buy | 66.623→68.7357 | +15.39 | take_profit |
| 06-12 15:07 | SOL | Buy | 66.2349→68.3657 | +15.59 | take_profit |
| 06-12 13:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.171633→0.168314 | -10.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 13:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.14849→1.12655 | -10.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 10:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0860055→0.0868593 | +4.47 | timeout |
| 06-12 01:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.13388→1.13802 | +1.37 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:20 | SOL | Buy | 65.4668→66.937 | +10.73 | timeout |
| 06-11 19:00 | BTC | Buy | 63057.2→63405.8 | +2.27 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15949→0.164639 | +15.66 | take_profit |
| 06-10 21:58 | ETH | Buy | 1634.96→1604.04 | -9.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:31 | SOL | Buy | 65.1338→63.8974 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15915→0.164199 | +15.44 | take_profit |
| 06-10 02:22 | ETH | Buy | 1649.46→1655.63 | +1.44 | timeout |
| 06-10 01:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.13408→1.14301 | +3.49 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832248→0.0850547 | +10.55 | timeout |
| 06-09 19:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.162821→0.167958 | +15.30 | take_profit |
| 06-09 16:05 | BTC | Buy | 62113.1→60945.5 | -9.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.167382→0.164197 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:29 | BTC | Buy | 62675.1→61508.2 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.16919→1.14674 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 02:38 | ETH | Buy | 1684.67→1653.01 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.170973→0.167674 | -10.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.166972→0.172257 | +15.38 | take_profit |
| 06-08 06:35 | BTC | Buy | 63092.2→62985.9 | -1.30 | timeout |
| 06-08 01:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.164841→0.161649 | -10.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.12638→1.16221 | +15.46 | take_profit |
| 06-07 19:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.162411→0.15931 | -10.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 14:28 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0846041→0.0845449 | -0.85 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
214
closed
40%
win rate
-386.99
total pnl ($)
-36.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 56 | 38% | -37.7 | -105.28 |
| SOL | 34 | 47% | +2.7 | +4.57 |
| BTC | 34 | 38% | -45.5 | -77.41 |
| XRP | 33 | 45% | -32.1 | -52.74 |
| ETH | 31 | 29% | -90.4 | -140.13 |
| DOGE | 26 | 42% | -12.1 | -16.00 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 23:18 | ADA | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-21 22:17 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:17 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:07 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||