201
closed trades
41%
win rate
-261.20
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=49 wr=39% pnl=-117.63
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 21:14:17 (33.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aqg
n: 202
· wr: 43.1%
· total_bps: -2519.7
· mean_bps: -12.47
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -3562.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 19:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084037→0.0824371 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.14619→1.13282 | -6.25 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.16158→0.158461 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.16021→0.162069 | +5.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836759→0.0836231 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13518→1.13632 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832768→0.0829233 | -2.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162311→0.159151 | -10.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.16097→0.16188 | +2.36 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:19 | BTC | Buy | 64171.2→64170.8 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:06 | SOL | Buy | 73.278→74.1389 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:30 | BTC | Buy | 64362.2→64324.8 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1740.97→1732.73 | -2.82 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:25 | SOL | Buy | 73.622→73.155 | -3.63 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:13 | XRP | Buy | 1.15199→1.14391 | -3.94 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:03 | ETH | Buy | 1731.17→1742.53 | +2.79 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.14579→1.15191 | +2.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163091→0.15997 | -10.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:10 | BTC | Buy | 63857.2→63587.8 | -2.57 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:10 | ETH | Buy | 1731.57→1726.33 | -2.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | SOL | Buy | 71.5327→71.5343 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13968→1.14601 | +2.35 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:53 | SOL | Buy | 68.9803→69.9895 | +6.83 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.162671→0.16071 | -6.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62508.1→63246.8 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:08 | ETH | Buy | 1694.67→1696.53 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825406→0.0826593 | +0.30 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162101→0.159021 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:27 | ETH | Buy | 1672.37→1712.23 | +11.44 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.16139→0.163269 | +5.32 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823906→0.0834541 | +5.98 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:40 | BTC | Buy | 62762.1→62886.9 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.9166→69.5648 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.167112→0.163877 | -10.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0855034→0.0838571 | -10.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.167462→0.164267 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | ETH | Buy | 1772.98→1739.66 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 64639.2→65386.7 | +5.30 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0858024→0.0869103 | +5.96 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:56 | ETH | Buy | 1764.68→1772.52 | +1.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.3679→74.6868 | +15.55 | take_profit |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.2136→1.19051 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171193→0.168758 | -7.59 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.573→72.1901 | -9.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 16:32 | ETH | Buy | 1784.18→1775.32 | -2.98 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66585.3→65346 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883871→0.0866899 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 04:31 | ETH | Buy | 1793.58→1760.04 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0887092→0.0870147 | -10.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180255→0.176787 | -10.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904496→0.0887294 | -9.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 65941.3→66821.7 | +6.19 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.33→75.6547 | +15.39 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.2191→1.25759 | +15.34 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.180935→0.186853 | +15.89 | take_profit |
| 06-15 07:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.182146→0.180415 | -5.19 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16899→1.1831 | +5.61 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:32 | ETH | Buy | 1702.47→1719.53 | +4.54 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.17001 | +15.34 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859995→0.0887198 | +15.38 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | SOL | Buy | 67.8932→70.0455 | +15.41 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:24 | SOL | Buy | 66.999→69.1336 | +15.55 | take_profit |
| 06-14 18:50 | BTC | Buy | 64518.2→63763.8 | -6.33 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.4633→67.6419 | -6.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.167105 | -9.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 10:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.170477 | -7.50 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:23 | BTC | Buy | 64437.2→64473.8 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:47 | SOL | Buy | 68.8923→68.1568 | -5.78 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14619→1.14471 | -1.05 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:08 | BTC | Buy | 64032.2→64424.8 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.173613→0.171307 | -7.02 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:05 | ETH | Buy | 1674.77→1675.03 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872618→0.0876511 | +1.73 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 63798.2→64299.8 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0862946→0.0872252 | +4.98 | timeout |
| 06-13 07:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.169822→0.173107 | +9.22 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.170373→0.170157 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:07 | SOL | Buy | 66.2499→68.3567 | +15.40 | take_profit |
| 06-12 14:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0887482→0.0915571 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-12 14:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.170513→0.168538 | -6.29 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.14849→1.12635 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 01:50 | ETH | Buy | 1687.97→1665.03 | -7.24 | timeout |
| 06-12 01:49 | XRP | Buy | 1.14249→1.13882 | -2.07 | timeout |
| 06-12 01:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0867977→0.0857556 | -6.50 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.166572→0.171817 | +15.28 | take_profit |
| 06-11 17:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.12118→1.10702 | -6.80 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.164591→0.165239 | +1.49 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.1598→0.164859 | +15.35 | take_profit |
| 06-11 02:29 | ETH | Buy | 1632.36→1633.74 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-10 02:23 | ETH | Buy | 1648.96→1655.63 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-10 01:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.13478→1.14301 | +3.18 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832618→0.0850547 | +10.32 | timeout |
| 06-09 19:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.163251→0.168438 | +15.41 | take_profit |
| 06-09 16:06 | BTC | Buy | 62039.1→60883.5 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 15:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.166762→0.163557 | -10.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:15 | XRP | Buy | 1.17079→1.14854 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 02:38 | ETH | Buy | 1684.77→1653.01 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.166882→0.172197 | +15.48 | take_profit |
| 06-08 06:36 | BTC | Buy | 63090.2→62976.9 | -1.35 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
201
closed
41%
win rate
-261.20
total pnl ($)
-26.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 49 | 41% | -35.3 | -86.17 |
| ETH | 32 | 38% | -40.4 | -64.80 |
| DOGE | 32 | 41% | -26.1 | -42.07 |
| BTC | 32 | 41% | -33.0 | -53.02 |
| XRP | 30 | 33% | -50.7 | -75.99 |
| SOL | 26 | 54% | +46.7 | +60.85 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 6)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:51 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 22:51 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 22:19 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 15:45 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 11:51 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:07 | XRP | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||