103
closed trades
41%
win rate
-52.52
total pnl ($)
0.964
weight
7d window — n=28 wr=36% pnl=-14.26
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 16:38:09 (18.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_aih
n: 385
· wr: 41.6%
· total_bps: -1640.7
· mean_bps: -4.26
· sharpe: -0.09
· max_dd_bps: -2437.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 05:52 | BTC | Sell | 64027.8→64157.2 | -1.46 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:07 | BTC | Sell | 63717.8→63675.2 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:03 | BTC | Sell | 64193.8→64136.2 | -0.00 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:02 | BTC | Sell | 64209.8→64426.2 | -2.13 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:00 | BTC | Sell | 64395.8→64254.2 | +0.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:59 | BTC | Sell | 63985.8→64276.2 | -2.72 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:55 | BTC | Sell | 64067.8→63978.2 | +0.25 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:53 | BTC | Sell | 63666.8→63622.2 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:50 | BTC | Sell | 63445.8→63562.2 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:47 | BTC | Sell | 63085.8→63287.2 | -2.04 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:44 | BTC | Sell | 63235.8→63255.2 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:38 | BTC | Sell | 62410.9→62417.1 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 06-19 05:44 | BTC | Sell | 62577.9→62617.1 | -0.77 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:19 | BTC | Sell | 62777.9→62789.1 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 06-18 17:46 | BTC | Sell | 62763.9→62594.1 | +0.89 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:01 | BTC | Sell | 64122.8→63971.2 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:38 | BTC | Sell | 63923.8→63825.2 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 06-17 23:30 | BTC | Sell | 64345.8→64475.2 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-17 17:47 | BTC | Sell | 65974.7→65846.3 | +0.53 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:38 | BTC | Sell | 64894.8→64727.2 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 06-17 05:45 | BTC | Sell | 65889.7→65905.3 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:36 | BTC | Sell | 65686.7→65741.3 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 06-16 17:12 | BTC | Sell | 65831.7→65796.3 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:09 | BTC | Sell | 66542.7→66459.3 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-16 05:08 | BTC | Sell | 66166.7→65926.3 | +1.36 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:57 | BTC | Sell | 66354.7→66190.3 | +0.79 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:31 | BTC | Sell | 66662.7→67204.4 | -4.51 | timeout |
| 06-15 10:26 | BTC | Sell | 65666.7→65723.3 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:21 | BTC | Sell | 65695.7→65741.3 | -0.80 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:40 | BTC | Sell | 64482.8→65370.9 | -7.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 16:16 | BTC | Sell | 64091.8→64087.2 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:11 | BTC | Sell | 64430.8→64509.2 | -1.06 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:02 | BTC | Sell | 64467.8→64513.2 | -0.80 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:49 | BTC | Sell | 64226.8→64487.2 | -2.48 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:39 | BTC | Sell | 64178.8→64323.2 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:35 | BTC | Sell | 63805.8→63783.2 | -0.27 | timeout |
| 06-13 03:42 | BTC | Sell | 63670.8→63474.2 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:36 | BTC | Sell | 63517.8→63508.2 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:29 | BTC | Sell | 63601.8→64185.2 | -5.03 | timeout |
| 06-12 09:23 | BTC | Sell | 63508.8→63640.2 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:20 | BTC | Sell | 63608.8→63449.2 | +0.81 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:14 | BTC | Sell | 63508.8→63565.2 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:09 | BTC | Sell | 62886.9→62758.1 | +0.58 | timeout |
| 06-11 09:03 | BTC | Sell | 62733.9→62926.1 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:04 | BTC | Sell | 62204.9→62138.1 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:55 | BTC | Sell | 61928.9→61700.1 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:55 | BTC | Sell | 62167.9→61940.1 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 06-10 08:50 | BTC | Sell | 61674.9→61211.1 | +3.30 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:43 | BTC | Sell | 61339.9→61099.1 | +1.52 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:55 | BTC | Sell | 62629.9→62731.1 | -1.26 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:44 | BTC | Sell | 62735.9→63191.2 | -4.08 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:44 | BTC | Sell | 63779.8→63271.2 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:42 | BTC | Sell | 63782.8→63696.2 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:38 | BTC | Sell | 63280.8→63210.2 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:32 | BTC | Sell | 63156.8→62963.1 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:13 | BTC | Sell | 61781.9→62623.4 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 16:23 | BTC | Sell | 61778.9→62239.1 | -4.17 | timeout |
| 06-07 10:23 | BTC | Sell | 62678.9→62486.1 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 06-07 04:16 | BTC | Sell | 61509.9→61540.1 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 06-06 22:07 | BTC | Sell | 60730→60619 | +0.46 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:05 | BTC | Sell | 60585→60903 | -3.08 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:04 | BTC | Sell | 61128.9→60760 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-06 04:03 | BTC | Sell | 60875→60798 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-05 22:00 | BTC | Sell | 61588.9→61643.1 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 06-05 16:10 | BTC | Sell | 60706→60027 | +5.14 | timeout |
| 06-05 10:03 | BTC | Sell | 62563.9→62830.1 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 06-05 04:42 | BTC | Sell | 62589.9→63010.2 | -3.81 | timeout |
| 06-04 21:56 | BTC | Sell | 63583.8→63289.2 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 06-04 16:13 | BTC | Sell | 64239.8→63659.2 | +4.07 | timeout |
| 06-04 10:09 | BTC | Sell | 63336.8→62865.1 | +3.27 | timeout |
| 06-04 05:29 | BTC | Sell | 64558.8→63828.2 | +5.21 | timeout |
| 06-03 21:40 | BTC | Sell | 65303.7→65396.3 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 06-03 14:40 | BTC | Sell | 66912.7→66905.3 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-03 05:11 | BTC | Sell | 66332.7→67236 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 00:37 | BTC | Sell | 66443.7→67030.4 | -4.86 | timeout |
| 06-02 16:56 | BTC | Sell | 67278.6→67502.4 | -2.11 | timeout |
| 06-02 08:08 | BTC | Sell | 69944.5→70044.5 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 06-02 06:28 | BTC | Sell | 70597.5→70371.5 | +1.16 | timeout |
| 06-01 23:07 | BTC | Sell | 70829.5→71342.6 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-01 00:15 | BTC | Sell | 73940.3→73822.7 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 05-31 14:48 | BTC | Sell | 73839.3→73669.7 | +0.70 | timeout |
| 05-31 06:44 | BTC | Sell | 74063.3→74040.7 | -0.30 | timeout |
| 05-31 00:43 | BTC | Sell | 73771.3→73929.7 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 05-30 22:27 | BTC | Sell | 73957.3→73850.7 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 05-30 10:40 | BTC | Sell | 73526.3→73602.7 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 05-30 00:31 | BTC | Sell | 73358.3→73376.7 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 05-29 13:49 | BTC | Sell | 73243.3→73247.7 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 05-29 07:34 | BTC | Sell | 73678.3→73525.7 | +0.59 | timeout |
| 05-29 00:49 | BTC | Sell | 73517.3→73742.7 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 05-28 18:55 | BTC | Sell | 73471.3→73711.7 | -2.08 | timeout |
| 05-28 12:43 | BTC | Sell | 73371.3→73482.7 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 05-28 06:18 | BTC | Sell | 72900.4→72986.6 | -1.04 | timeout |
| 05-28 00:18 | BTC | Sell | 74507.3→74499.7 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 05-27 18:17 | BTC | Sell | 74938.3→74770.7 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 05-27 12:17 | BTC | Sell | 75940.2→75578.8 | +1.92 | timeout |
| 05-27 06:16 | BTC | Sell | 75569.2→75661.8 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 05-27 00:16 | BTC | Sell | 75869.2→75876.8 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 05-26 18:17 | BTC | Sell | 76413.2→76016.8 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 05-26 12:16 | BTC | Sell | 77262.1→77015.9 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 05-26 06:16 | BTC | Sell | 76777.2→76832.8 | -0.81 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
103
closed
41%
win rate
-52.52
total pnl ($)
-10.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 103 | 41% | -10.2 | -52.52 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 05:15 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:36 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||