oz_binance_top_trader_contrarian_z15 · strategy

223

closed trades

39%

win rate

+86.38

total pnl ($)

1.101

weight

7d window — n=51 wr=35% pnl=-24.21 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 20:02:57 (24.5d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: akn

n: 325 · wr: 42.5% · total_bps: -2641.3 · mean_bps: -8.13 · sharpe: -0.04 · max_dd_bps: -4595.2

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 04:10	ETH	Buy	1582.06→1572.94	-3.20	timeout
06-28 04:04	LINK	Buy	7.36784→7.29518	-5.30	timeout
06-27 16:04	BNB	Buy	562.561→564.939	+1.71	timeout
06-27 15:34	UNI	Sell	2.93946→3.01476	-13.26	stop_loss
06-27 04:04	TRX	Buy	0.322851→0.32041	-4.23	timeout
06-26 17:45	AAVE	Buy	93.8845→97.9695	+21.31	take_profit
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.1645→63.7248	-13.00	stop_loss
06-26 13:18	BTC	Buy	60328→58843.6	-12.76	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	NEAR	Buy	1.82025→1.77407	-13.16	stop_loss
06-26 10:40	ATOM	Buy	1.63791→1.5967	-13.07	stop_loss
06-26 08:02	TRX	Buy	0.325661→0.322289	-5.63	timeout
06-26 02:13	XRP	Buy	1.04346→1.01704	-13.11	stop_loss
06-26 02:08	DOT	Buy	0.843751→0.822593	-12.99	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.596549→0.581364	-13.09	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.3011→67.9952	-13.22	stop_loss
06-25 22:02	OP	Sell	0.103224→0.105889	-13.32	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.7586→63.3045	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 13:58	NEAR	Sell	1.90452→1.82056	+21.59	take_profit
06-25 13:53	UNI	Sell	2.92157→2.7937	+21.43	take_profit
06-25 13:46	DOGE	Buy	0.07615→0.0742073	-13.16	stop_loss
06-25 13:43	SUI	Buy	0.699765→0.682228	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 11:11	INJ	Buy	4.26497→4.15768	-13.02	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60268→61753.9	-12.79	stop_loss
06-25 05:02	SOL	Sell	67.1399→68.8147	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1594.94→1634.38	-12.80	stop_loss
06-24 22:01	SUI	Sell	0.673822→0.690758	-13.07	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	INJ	Sell	4.31542→4.12713	+21.35	take_profit
06-24 16:51	LINK	Sell	7.64409→7.30993	+21.43	take_profit
06-24 16:51	SOL	Sell	69.8205→66.699	+21.90	take_profit
06-24 15:41	XRP	Sell	1.11002→1.06157	+21.32	take_profit
06-24 15:31	DOGE	Sell	0.07978→0.0763031	+21.21	take_profit
06-24 10:15	ADA	Sell	0.152882→0.146207	+21.17	take_profit
06-23 20:15	FIL	Sell	0.768288→0.78769	-13.08	stop_loss
06-23 08:17	ETH	Sell	1724.43→1646.96	+21.94	take_profit
06-23 06:21	LINK	Buy	7.85596→7.65975	-13.02	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	ADA	Buy	0.15844→0.154444	-12.92	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	APT	Sell	0.666633→0.637259	+21.60	take_profit
06-23 06:14	SUI	Sell	0.728298→0.696584	+21.32	take_profit
06-23 00:51	XMR	Sell	319.55→327.736	-13.26	stop_loss
06-22 22:37	NEAR	Buy	2.13043→2.07664	-13.19	stop_loss
06-22 22:28	ETH	Buy	1765.88→1722.17	-12.82	stop_loss
06-22 13:46	ARB	Buy	0.0831608→0.0867783	+21.37	take_profit
06-22 11:10	SUI	Buy	0.698765→0.729288	+21.35	take_profit
06-22 04:06	BTC	Buy	64010.2→63895.8	-1.42	timeout
06-22 04:06	DOGE	Sell	0.0835731→0.0829017	+3.52	timeout
06-22 01:26	SOL	Buy	71.6998→74.8388	+21.38	take_profit
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1712.03→1754.35	-12.80	stop_loss
06-22 01:26	UNI	Sell	3.00195→3.07751	-13.03	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	XLM	Buy	0.215584→0.210052	-13.28	stop_loss
06-21 20:48	NEAR	Sell	2.23474→2.13723	+21.34	take_profit
06-21 16:03	ADA	Sell	0.162159→0.162251	-0.53	timeout
06-21 08:09	ARB	Sell	0.0833592→0.0835509	-1.38	timeout
06-20 16:07	XRP	Buy	1.13698→1.14841	+4.35	timeout
06-20 14:05	NEAR	Buy	2.16824→2.11331	-12.92	stop_loss
06-20 14:05	ARB	Buy	0.0843611→0.0822383	-13.03	stop_loss
06-20 08:06	BNB	Sell	579.415→586.827	-6.62	timeout
06-20 04:05	BTC	Sell	62522.9→63402.2	-7.51	timeout
06-19 20:09	BNB	Sell	590.992→579.855	+8.64	timeout
06-19 12:47	DOT	Buy	0.969222→0.944311	-13.30	stop_loss
06-19 01:04	ADA	Sell	0.16063→0.164683	-13.09	stop_loss
06-18 15:53	APT	Sell	0.648038→0.619655	+21.33	take_profit
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1772.92→1694.97	+21.33	take_profit
06-18 15:37	DOT	Sell	0.99874→0.954699	+21.60	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73712→6.43901	+21.58	take_profit
06-18 05:03	SUI	Sell	0.775106→0.741085	+21.51	take_profit
06-18 04:01	DOT	Sell	1.02394→0.979325	+21.34	take_profit
06-17 19:39	ICP	Buy	2.4116→2.35024	-13.17	stop_loss
06-17 16:27	BCH	Sell	211.777→217.163	-13.17	stop_loss
06-17 16:09	BNB	Sell	614.096→606.492	+5.97	timeout
06-17 15:48	FIL	Sell	0.802609→0.823187	-13.27	stop_loss
06-17 08:49	DOGE	Buy	0.087942→0.0857427	-13.03	stop_loss
06-17 08:07	BTC	Buy	66537.3→65408.7	-8.88	timeout
06-17 01:49	SUI	Sell	0.794661→0.814941	-13.05	stop_loss
06-17 01:41	UNI	Buy	3.31453→3.46003	+21.50	take_profit
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.706→223.227	-13.13	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82279→6.99354	-12.96	stop_loss
06-16 08:29	ONDO	Sell	0.370967→0.380265	-12.98	stop_loss
06-16 02:29	SAGA	Buy	0.0130233→0.0126805	-13.61	stop_loss
06-16 02:27	SOL	Buy	75.0373→73.1754	-12.84	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1842.48→1796.92	-12.84	stop_loss
06-15 19:19	DOT	Buy	1.04366→1.01704	-13.21	stop_loss
06-15 18:31	APT	Buy	0.712578→0.694579	-13.09	stop_loss
06-15 16:24	XRP	Buy	1.23051→1.28428	+21.41	take_profit
06-15 15:38	SOL	Buy	71.2707→74.3898	+21.41	take_profit
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1727.87→1803.62	+21.43	take_profit
06-15 12:42	DOGE	Buy	0.0863216→0.0900765	+21.17	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1835→1.23499	+21.28	take_profit
06-15 11:20	AVAX	Sell	6.76011→6.92959	-12.94	stop_loss
06-15 04:08	BTC	Buy	64027.2→65733.7	+12.83	timeout
06-15 00:05	ETH	Buy	1677.27→1724.43	+13.51	timeout
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.506	-13.13	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	OP	Sell	0.105814→0.108681	-13.92	stop_loss
06-14 12:30	ADA	Buy	0.173373→0.169043	-12.70	stop_loss
06-14 08:02	ACE	Buy	0.0856214→0.0834374	-13.20	stop_loss
06-14 08:02	LTC	Buy	42.9807→43.993	+11.59	timeout
06-13 12:57	XRP	Sell	1.12672→1.15507	-12.90	stop_loss
06-13 12:00	SUI	Sell	0.754011→0.768822	-10.05	timeout
06-13 08:32	OP	Sell	0.106503→0.109222	-13.21	stop_loss
06-13 08:04	XRP	Buy	1.14169→1.14011	-1.36	timeout
06-13 06:47	AAVE	Sell	64.1929→65.8063	-13.02	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

223

closed

39%

win rate

+86.38

total pnl ($)

+7.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
XRP	14	50%	+66.2	+46.06
BTC	14	36%	-25.8	-17.66
LINK	13	38%	+28.4	+18.66
ETH	13	46%	+37.9	+24.51
SOL	12	42%	+12.5	+7.56
SUI	11	45%	+57.2	+31.77
ADA	10	30%	-28.6	-13.90
DOGE	10	60%	+130.8	+65.46
LTC	9	11%	-163.0	-73.01
DOT	9	33%	-4.8	-2.14
NEAR	8	50%	+83.7	+33.48
AVAX	7	29%	-101.0	-35.59
BNB	7	57%	+13.9	+5.05
OP	6	0%	-266.8	-79.79
UNI	6	33%	-31.7	-9.52
APT	5	60%	+153.3	+38.25
BCH	5	20%	-124.4	-31.09
TRX	5	40%	-23.8	-5.95
ARB	5	20%	-79.4	-19.05
ATOM	4	50%	+92.5	+18.38
ACE	4	50%	+85.7	+17.14
INJ	4	50%	+83.6	+16.73
ONDO	4	75%	+261.9	+52.38
FIL	4	25%	-182.6	-36.53
ICP	4	75%	+259.0	+51.81
HYPE	4	25%	-88.4	-17.69
SAGA	4	25%	-92.4	-18.49
XMR	3	33%	-33.2	-4.97
AAVE	3	33%	-32.2	-4.83
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ETC	2	0%	-281.4	-28.14
RENDER	2	50%	+82.9	+8.29
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
XLM	2	50%	+83.2	+8.32
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
BLUR	2	100%	+364.6	+36.46
HBAR	1	0%	-265.3	-13.27
KAS	1	100%	+437.9	+21.89

Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 08:15	DOGE	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-28 08:15	DOGE	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-28 08:07	NEAR	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…