orderflow_trader_institutional_divergence_ada

47

closed trades

49%

win rate

-15.33

total pnl ($)

1.115

weight

7d window — n=5 wr=0% pnl=-18.37 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 19:45:46 (37.7d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: aqb

n: 50 · wr: 32.0% · total_bps: -543.4 · mean_bps: -10.87 · sharpe: -0.23 · max_dd_bps: -738.9

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-25 16:10	ETH	Sell	1570.34→1585.75	-5.36	stop_loss
06-25 16:09	SOL	Sell	66.3011→66.9745	-5.53	stop_loss
06-25 00:03	BTC	Sell	60841→61036.1	-2.05	timeout
06-25 00:03	ETH	Sell	1613.74→1622.16	-3.06	timeout
06-25 00:03	SOL	Sell	67.7788→68.0392	-2.38	timeout
06-16 17:06	BTC	Sell	65843.7→65726.3	+0.45	timeout
06-16 01:08	ADA	Sell	0.178665→0.177994	+1.43	timeout
06-14 13:06	ADA	Sell	0.169658→0.168352	+3.39	timeout
06-14 13:06	ETH	Sell	1673.43→1667.57	+1.30	timeout
06-13 01:07	ETH	Sell	1666.83→1667.77	-0.72	timeout
06-13 01:07	SOL	Sell	66.827→67.0591	-2.20	timeout
06-10 21:10	ETH	Sell	1624.94→1617.36	+1.88	timeout
06-10 21:04	SOL	Sell	63.4605→63.1855	+1.71	timeout
06-10 08:50	BTC	Sell	61673.9→61214.1	+3.27	timeout
06-10 08:39	ADA	Sell	0.16104→0.1587	+6.82	take_profit
06-09 17:05	ETH	Sell	1632.04→1639.36	-2.70	timeout
06-09 17:03	BTC	Sell	60968→61555.8	-5.27	stop_loss
06-09 04:35	ADA	Sell	0.165899→0.167646	-5.72	stop_loss
06-08 05:07	BTC	Sell	62895.9→62549.1	+2.31	timeout
06-08 05:06	ADA	Sell	0.162859→0.1609	+5.57	timeout
06-05 16:11	ETH	Sell	1575.14→1551.76	+6.97	take_profit
06-05 04:26	BTC	Sell	62608.9→63226.8	-5.39	stop_loss
06-03 20:51	ADA	Sell	0.204909→0.20191	+6.87	take_profit
06-03 01:11	BTC	Sell	66783.7→66776.3	-0.39	timeout
06-02 16:18	ETH	Sell	1919.11→1937.86	-5.34	stop_loss
06-02 13:10	SOL	Sell	78.7992→78.9998	-1.73	timeout
06-02 08:08	ADA	Sell	0.223514→0.224036	-1.64	timeout
06-02 05:09	ADA	Sell	0.226673→0.225576	+1.97	timeout
06-02 00:12	BTC	Sell	71384.4→71267.6	+0.37	timeout
06-01 09:28	ETH	Sell	1976.3→1987.1	-3.18	timeout
06-01 09:08	SOL	Sell	80.7429→81.1342	-2.87	timeout
05-31 17:10	ETH	Sell	2008.8→1998	+2.24	timeout
05-31 17:09	ADA	Sell	0.233702→0.232928	+1.21	timeout
05-31 09:08	SOL	Sell	82.7126→82.7104	-0.43	timeout
05-30 10:39	ADA	Sell	0.234641→0.234999	-1.22	timeout
05-28 09:13	BTC	Sell	73409.3→73284.7	+0.40	timeout
05-28 01:03	ETH	Sell	2025.2→2028.1	-1.17	timeout
05-28 01:03	SOL	Sell	82.4536→82.6614	-1.71	timeout
05-27 21:09	BTC	Sell	75224.2→75123.8	+0.22	timeout
05-27 12:22	ADA	Sell	0.23883→0.241231	-5.47	stop_loss
05-27 09:07	BTC	Sell	75905.2→75711.8	+0.82	timeout
05-26 21:07	SOL	Sell	83.8204→83.7166	+0.16	timeout
05-26 21:06	ADA	Sell	0.23998→0.24021	-0.94	timeout
05-26 21:02	BTC	Sell	76027.2→76080.8	-0.80	timeout
05-26 17:03	ETH	Sell	2087.99→2080.51	+1.34	timeout
05-26 08:01	ADA	Sell	0.241979→0.24151	+0.53	timeout
05-26 08:00	SOL	Sell	84.5353→84.3406	+0.71	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

47

closed

49%

win rate

-15.33

total pnl ($)

-6.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ADA	13	62%	+19.7	+12.78
ETH	12	42%	-13.0	-7.79
BTC	12	58%	-10.1	-6.06
SOL	10	30%	-28.5	-14.26

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 47 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)