243
closed trades
37%
win rate
-830.07
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=52 wr=37% pnl=-198.80
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 13:31:29 (24.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_apu
n: 147
· wr: 36.1%
· total_bps: -6703.9
· mean_bps: -45.60
· sharpe: -0.36
· max_dd_bps: -7157.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.06557→1.05874 | -5.44 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.149497→0.14664 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 06:00 | SOL | Buy | 71.9768→71.7802 | -2.66 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.148577→0.148083 | -3.23 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.03336→1.04294 | +6.25 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:43 | BTC | Buy | 58956.9→59613 | +7.62 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.143586→0.148113 | +22.94 | take_profit |
| 06-26 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1573.46→1543.97 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.01905→1.05134 | +23.03 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:56 | SOL | Buy | 66.1009→68.2198 | +23.36 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143306→0.140565 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076022→0.074564 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | BTC | Buy | 61368.1→60225.9 | -14.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:41 | SOL | Buy | 68.2612→66.9704 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | ETH | Buy | 1635.16→1604.54 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.08777→1.067 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.147247→0.148833 | +7.42 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05626→1.07493 | +12.66 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.141625→0.146123 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Buy | 1633.16→1602.64 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.8413→67.5461 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 61759.1→60608.6 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0768532→0.0753255 | -15.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.147307→0.144452 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | ETH | Buy | 1673.07→1641.71 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:16 | BTC | Buy | 62537.1→62754.9 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 62219.1→62530.9 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.10108→1.10472 | +1.81 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:22 | ETH | Buy | 1652.77→1662.13 | +3.56 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 69.0104→69.1816 | +1.28 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.15913→0.156093 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.15915→0.15893 | -1.66 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0827937→0.0811091 | -15.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.14539→1.13282 | -8.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835849→0.0830912 | -5.11 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16166→0.158591 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.15976→0.16142 | +7.07 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829507→0.0832652 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.14499→1.12246 | -15.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1735.27→1702.78 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162281→0.159151 | -15.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:20 | BTC | Buy | 64200.2→64168.8 | -1.02 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:06 | SOL | Buy | 73.278→74.1439 | +8.11 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:13 | ETH | Buy | 1733.17→1721.63 | -5.65 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.16094→0.16086 | -1.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:50 | BTC | Buy | 64281.2→63898.8 | -5.20 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:25 | SOL | Buy | 73.62→73.155 | -5.42 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163021→0.15989 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 23:04 | ETH | Buy | 1735.07→1742.83 | +2.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.14579→1.15191 | +3.27 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.5757→71.7052 | +0.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.14859→1.14871 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08422→0.08262 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.16 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13968→1.14591 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:53 | SOL | Buy | 69.0194→69.9955 | +9.88 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62508.1→63246.8 | +8.24 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:19 | BTC | Buy | 62865.1→62592.9 | -3.86 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162101→0.159021 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4224→68.7797 | -7.67 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:41 | BTC | Buy | 62756.1→62899.9 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.8956→69.5638 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.165431→0.162238 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.17029→1.14764 | -15.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845851→0.083974 | -6.04 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.166872→0.163697 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854964→0.0838711 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 21:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6709→71.5323 | -12.45 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:50 | BTC | Buy | 65240.3→64026.8 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:08 | ETH | Buy | 1769.08→1761.02 | -4.15 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.1966→1.2116 | +8.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171213→0.168708 | -11.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:31 | SOL | Buy | 73.8361→72.4479 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66583.3→65340 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883871→0.0866899 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.179705→0.176218 | -15.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:33 | ETH | Buy | 1782.28→1839.02 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7701→74.3988 | +5.70 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087973→0.0875841 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:55 | ETH | Buy | 1790.48→1756.95 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180255→0.176787 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.184686→0.185934 | +4.38 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0904496→0.0887294 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.415→75.7446 | +23.14 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:12 | ETH | Buy | 1739.37→1794.82 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.1995→1.23729 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-15 07:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.181595→0.180425 | -5.49 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16999→1.1835 | +8.02 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:33 | ETH | Buy | 1704.37→1719.43 | +5.93 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13408→1.17001 | +23.14 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859785→0.0886978 | +23.07 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | SOL | Buy | 67.8932→70.0495 | +23.16 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:24 | SOL | Buy | 67.0161→69.1506 | +23.32 | take_profit |
| 06-14 18:51 | BTC | Buy | 64517.2→63768.8 | -9.42 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.4423→67.6419 | -9.37 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.167105 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 10:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.170477 | -11.25 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:47 | SOL | Buy | 68.8923→68.1568 | -8.67 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14529→1.14491 | -0.86 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
243
closed
37%
win rate
-830.07
total pnl ($)
-45.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 59 | 31% | -71.5 | -315.39 |
| XRP | 39 | 41% | -34.6 | -101.04 |
| SOL | 39 | 46% | -7.7 | -22.38 |
| BTC | 37 | 38% | -50.8 | -141.09 |
| ETH | 35 | 40% | -57.2 | -150.49 |
| DOGE | 34 | 32% | -39.0 | -99.69 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 15:20 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:32 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 10:22 | ADA | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-27 08:51 | DOGE | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||