1490
closed trades
41%
win rate
-157.51
total pnl ($)
1.103
weight
7d window — n=239 wr=42% pnl=-24.15
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 13:16:27 (24.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_any
n: 1718
· wr: 35.6%
· total_bps: -20895.9
· mean_bps: -12.16
· sharpe: -0.23
· max_dd_bps: -21886.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 09:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.33518→6.3858 | +0.71 | timeout |
| 06-28 08:18 | DOT | Buy | 0.814504→0.814796 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 06-28 07:42 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85716→1.87173 | +0.70 | timeout |
| 06-28 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 59807→60115 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:15 | BTC | Buy | 59981→59819 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:52 | AVAX | Buy | 6.3976→6.36461 | -0.61 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:04 | BTC | Buy | 60167→59956 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-28 04:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0742566→0.0739535 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 06-28 03:53 | TRX | Buy | 0.32189→0.322039 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-28 03:21 | TRX | Buy | 0.322081→0.322039 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-28 02:43 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0746066→0.0740575 | -0.83 | timeout |
| 06-28 02:20 | BTC | Buy | 60092→60166 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-28 01:37 | TRX | Buy | 0.32173→0.32161 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-28 01:16 | BTC | Buy | 60103→60052 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-28 00:33 | BTC | Buy | 59962→60119 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 06-28 00:09 | NEAR | Buy | 1.90718→1.93532 | +1.39 | take_profit |
| 06-27 23:53 | SUI | Buy | 0.687132→0.685259 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-27 23:04 | SOL | Buy | 70.7256→70.9714 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:45 | NEAR | Buy | 1.87567→1.85671 | -1.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 22:17 | BTC | Buy | 60348→59902 | -0.83 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:44 | BTC | Buy | 60228→60227 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 06-27 20:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0746797→0.0748053 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 06-27 20:33 | BTC | Buy | 60136→60234 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:31 | BTC | Buy | 60477→60137 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:25 | NEAR | Buy | 1.88307→1.8636 | -1.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.2838→71.8302 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 06-27 18:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.55604→6.51587 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:04 | SUI | Buy | 0.709947→0.702723 | -1.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:56 | BTC | Buy | 60769→60765 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:05 | BTC | Buy | 60570→60786 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:21 | BTC | Buy | 60591→60733 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:44 | BTC | Buy | 60568→60621 | -0.00 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:18 | SOL | Buy | 72.2388→72.5431 | +0.33 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:31 | BTC | Buy | 60233→60331 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:54 | BTC | Buy | 60355→60319 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:27 | BTC | Buy | 60320→60448 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 60344→60379 | -0.03 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:15 | BTC | Buy | 60297→60456 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:39 | BTC | Buy | 60260→60401 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:23 | SUI | Buy | 0.708037→0.711092 | +0.34 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:38 | BTC | Buy | 60353→60170 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:37 | BTC | Buy | 60324→60357 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:40 | SUI | Buy | 0.707877→0.706233 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.148277→0.149273 | +0.58 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:46 | TRX | Buy | 0.31989→0.3201 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:56 | BTC | Buy | 60048→60009 | -0.16 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:55 | AVAX | Buy | 6.53223→6.57026 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:10 | BNB | Buy | 567.232→568.058 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:59 | SUI | Buy | 0.698064→0.695936 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:19 | BTC | Buy | 59769→59687 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:06 | BTC | Buy | 59758→59710 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:32 | SOL | Buy | 72.6709→73.7589 | +1.41 | take_profit |
| 06-26 18:23 | SOL | Buy | 72.4889→72.7821 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:16 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0754909→0.0755861 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:35 | SOL | Buy | 72.1168→73.183 | +1.39 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:28 | BTC | Buy | 60138→60036 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 59475→60362 | +1.40 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:43 | SOL | Buy | 71.4277→70.724 | -1.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:54 | BTC | Buy | 58875.9→59754 | +1.40 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:47 | SOL | Buy | 68.6593→69.6695 | +1.38 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:37 | BTC | Buy | 59477→59648 | +0.20 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:00 | BTC | Buy | 59261→59383 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:40 | TRX | Buy | 0.322281→0.32177 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322111→0.32184 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:32 | LINK | Buy | 7.32653→7.25306 | -1.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:15 | BTC | Buy | 60461→60225 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:02 | TRX | Buy | 0.32164→0.322479 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 68.3072→69.3116 | +1.38 | take_profit |
| 06-26 05:09 | BTC | Buy | 59946→59830 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 06-26 05:03 | SUI | Buy | 0.677479→0.676331 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:19 | BTC | Buy | 58642.9→58864.1 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:12 | OP | Buy | 0.101625→0.103214 | +1.47 | take_profit |
| 06-26 01:29 | SOL | Buy | 67.9022→67.2363 | -1.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:28 | OP | Buy | 0.105986→0.104821 | -1.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 00:15 | BTC | Buy | 59898→59797 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:53 | SUI | Buy | 0.68006→0.682879 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:41 | SUI | Buy | 0.67962→0.67936 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:21 | BTC | Buy | 59549→59789 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:06 | BTC | Buy | 59653→59456 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:45 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82436→1.81295 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:23 | APT | Buy | 0.595749→0.589657 | -1.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:16 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14894→6.08513 | -1.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 18:14 | SOL | Buy | 66.431→66.0501 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:05 | DOT | Buy | 0.850303→0.859285 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:45 | BTC | Buy | 59677→59102.5 | -1.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 16:45 | SOL | Buy | 66.546→65.8921 | -1.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 16:09 | LINK | Buy | 7.15979→7.26438 | +1.37 | take_profit |
| 06-25 16:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0724881→0.0735406 | +1.36 | take_profit |
| 06-25 15:15 | SOL | Buy | 66.0069→65.3555 | -1.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:12 | LINK | Buy | 7.2019→7.12965 | -1.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.143356→0.141894 | -1.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | ETH | Buy | 1552.36→1575.34 | +1.39 | take_profit |
| 06-25 14:33 | BTC | Buy | 58873.9→59752 | +1.40 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:38 | BTC | Buy | 61315.1→60726.6 | -1.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:18 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36819→6.36341 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:43 | DOT | Buy | 0.876639→0.87786 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:06 | BTC | Buy | 61620.1→61027.4 | -1.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.696094→0.691137 | -0.80 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:43 | BTC | Buy | 61712.1→61731.9 | -0.06 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:30 | SUI | Buy | 0.697314→0.696026 | -0.28 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
1490
closed
41%
win rate
-157.51
total pnl ($)
-10.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 489 | 38% | -11.8 | -57.78 |
| SOL | 230 | 44% | -10.8 | -24.82 |
| LINK | 103 | 44% | -7.9 | -8.19 |
| SUI | 101 | 48% | -7.0 | -7.16 |
| NEAR | 94 | 36% | -16.4 | -15.43 |
| ARB | 92 | 42% | -10.6 | -9.79 |
| AVAX | 56 | 34% | -30.0 | -16.79 |
| OP | 50 | 46% | -10.1 | -5.04 |
| ETH | 50 | 42% | +4.2 | +2.12 |
| BNB | 47 | 38% | -18.4 | -8.68 |
| DOGE | 39 | 46% | -4.9 | -1.90 |
| DOT | 34 | 56% | +9.4 | +3.18 |
| APT | 29 | 34% | -25.1 | -7.29 |
| LTC | 27 | 41% | -5.9 | -1.59 |
| TRX | 26 | 23% | -16.2 | -4.22 |
| ADA | 7 | 71% | +34.2 | +2.39 |
| BCH | 7 | 71% | +36.1 | +2.53 |
| XRP | 6 | 67% | +20.9 | +1.26 |
| ATOM | 3 | 33% | -10.6 | -0.32 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 21)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 08:59 | TRX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 08:13 | AVAX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 07:19 | DOT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 06:44 | NEAR | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 06:16 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 05:18 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 04:54 | AVAX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 04:08 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 03:37 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 02:55 | TRX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 02:26 | TRX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 01:47 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 01:26 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 00:39 | TRX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 00:17 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 00:11 | NEAR | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 23:36 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:54 | SUI | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:36 | NEAR | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:08 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||