0
closed trades
0%
win rate
+0.00
total pnl ($)
0.000
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 03:55:46 (35.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
og__restored_47d0e3d3
n: 25
· wr: 24.0%
· total_bps: -1946.3
· mean_bps: -77.85
· sharpe: -0.86
· max_dd_bps: -1946.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 0 closed)
no closed trades to chart
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| none | |||||
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
0
closed
0%
win rate
+0.00
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no paper trades | ||||
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 06:38 | BTC | Sell | -16.20 | The market was in a short-term consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and stable open interest near the $81,261 level. The thesis failed because the anticipated immediate downside momentum did not materialize, triggering the stop loss before the tra… |
| 05-04 17:01 | BTC | Sell | -6.87 | The market was in a tight consolidation phase with low volatility and neutral funding rates, creating an environment where directional momentum was absent. The thesis failed because the anticipated breakout never materialized, resulting in a forced exit due… |
| 04-27 15:04 | BTC | Sell | +10.56 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Max Pain Fade (Short) BTC was consolidating slightly lower through the close—down 0.79% on the day and 0.42% in the final hour—while funding rates remained deeply negative at -0.20 bps, signaling short-biased leverage positioning with… |
| 04-27 00:55 | BTC | Sell | -7.46 | Bitcoin rallied 1.77% higher in the hour before the trade closed and maintained a positive 2.39% daily gain, pushing price away from the max pain level that triggered the short entry. The thesis failed because realized volatility exceeded the 40.2% implied … |
| 04-26 20:43 | BTC | Sell | -5.19 | At close, BTC was trading at $78,219 with neutral funding at -0.001159% and elevated open interest of $3.8B, showing a stable but directionless market. The max pain fade thesis failed because BTC rallied 735 bps from the $77,484 entry to $78,219 at timeout … |
| 04-26 08:44 | BTC | Sell | -2.31 | At close, Bitcoin was trading near $78,006 with elevated open interest of $3.77B and positive funding at 0.000514%, indicating modest bullish sentiment without extreme leverage. The max pain fade strategy failed because realized volatility (39.8%) settled a… |