3
closed trades
0%
win rate
-28.20
total pnl ($)
1.072
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=0% pnl=-25.59
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 03:41:37 (23.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
eh
n: 2
· wr: 50.0%
· total_bps: +29.3
· mean_bps: +14.65
· sharpe: +0.40
· max_dd_bps: -21.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 3 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 13:41 | BTC | Buy | 61817.1→60287.8 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62650.1→61105.4 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | 77671→78022 | -2.61 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
3
closed
0%
win rate
-28.20
total pnl ($)
-188.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 3 | 0% | -188.0 | -28.20 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | The market was in a mild uptrend with BTC gaining 1.70% over 24 hours and neutral funding. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the anticipated reversal materialized, as the market continued to grind higher. |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | The market was in a mild uptrend with BTC up 1.70% over 24 hours and neutral funding, showing no strong directional bias. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a target or stop, indicating the market did not move d… |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility and slightly positive hourly momentum. The short thesis failed because the market did not move decisively within the timeout period, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility and slightly positive funding. The short thesis failed because the market remained range-bound without a directional move, leading to a timeout exit with a small loss. |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility and slightly positive momentum across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market did not move decisively within the timeout period, resulting in a small loss from funding costs without a dire… |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing minimal directional movement over the hour. The short thesis failed because the market did not decline within the timeout period, leading to a small loss from funding costs. |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a target or stop, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | BTC was trading in a tight range with low volatility and neutral funding, showing no clear directional bias. The short thesis failed because the market remained range-bound and did not decline within the timeout period, leading to a small loss from funding … |
| 04-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.61 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight uptrend over the past 24 hours and week. The short thesis failed because the market did not move decisively lower within the timeout period, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |