26
closed trades
46%
win rate
-31.79
total pnl ($)
1.212
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 19:53:08 (39.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
abk__restored_dc50c508
n: 11
· wr: 45.5%
· total_bps: -57.4
· mean_bps: -5.22
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -248.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 26 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 64010.2→62808.4 | -11.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 07:25 | BTC | Buy | 64602.2→64214.8 | -4.14 | timeout |
| 06-18 01:20 | BTC | Buy | 64691.2→64605.8 | -1.36 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:43 | BTC | Buy | 64978.2→65173.7 | +1.26 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:20 | BTC | Buy | 63615.2→63417.8 | -2.44 | timeout |
| 06-12 02:14 | BTC | Buy | 63515.2→63637.8 | +0.58 | timeout |
| 06-11 20:09 | BTC | Buy | 62893.1→63547.8 | +5.67 | timeout |
| 06-11 14:03 | BTC | Buy | 62740.1→62979.9 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:04 | BTC | Buy | 62211.1→62728.9 | +4.41 | timeout |
| 06-11 01:55 | BTC | Buy | 61935.1→62144.9 | +1.49 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:55 | BTC | Buy | 62174.1→61929.9 | -2.92 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:50 | BTC | Buy | 61681.1→62353.9 | +6.00 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:05 | BTC | Buy | 62093.1→60937.5 | -11.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:04 | BTC | Buy | 63057.2→62140.9 | -9.26 | timeout |
| 05-26 18:58 | BTC | Buy | 77154.9→75723.3 | -11.69 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 14:03 | BTC | Buy | 76685.8→77207.1 | +3.53 | timeout |
| 05-22 13:01 | BTC | Buy | 77348.9→77468.1 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 05-22 07:00 | BTC | Buy | 77318.9→77370.1 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 05-21 23:23 | BTC | Buy | 77785.9→77553.1 | -2.36 | timeout |
| 05-21 17:23 | BTC | Buy | 77295.9→77936.1 | +4.41 | timeout |
| 05-21 11:22 | BTC | Buy | 77846.9→77277.1 | -4.96 | timeout |
| 05-21 05:16 | BTC | Buy | 77405.9→77863.1 | +2.98 | timeout |
| 05-20 23:15 | BTC | Buy | 77378.9→77431.1 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 05-20 17:15 | BTC | Buy | 77470.9→77371.1 | -1.35 | timeout |
| 05-20 11:14 | BTC | Buy | 77199.9→77468.1 | +1.51 | timeout |
| 04-30 08:23 | BTC | Buy | 76131→76014.8 | -1.43 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
26
closed
46%
win rate
-31.79
total pnl ($)
-20.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 26 | 46% | -20.1 | -31.79 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 08:23 | BTC | BUY | -1.43 | At close, Bitcoin was trading sideways at $76,061 with minimal 1-hour momentum (0.11%) but persistent weakness over 24 hours (-1.23%) and 7 days (-2.53%), while funding rates turned negative (-0.005674%), signaling reduced leverage appetite. The thesis fail… |