209
closed trades
38%
win rate
-46.30
total pnl ($)
0.334
weight
7d window — n=40 wr=28% pnl=-146.79
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 05:45:51 (39.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
ans
n: 110
· wr: 39.1%
· total_bps: -1945.4
· mean_bps: -17.69
· sharpe: -0.09
· max_dd_bps: -4012.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 11:56 | LTC | Sell | 42.1964→43.2534 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 04:07 | ETH | Buy | 1584.66→1573.24 | -3.91 | timeout |
| 06-28 04:06 | LINK | Buy | 7.36364→7.30007 | -4.72 | timeout |
| 06-28 00:08 | TRX | Buy | 0.3216→0.3218 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:09 | BNB | Buy | 561.71→565.229 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:34 | UNI | Sell | 2.94146→3.01516 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322761→0.32038 | -4.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81925→1.77317 | -13.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63521→1.58931 | -14.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:02 | TRX | Buy | 0.325661→0.322289 | -5.63 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.04496→1.01864 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.597749→0.582463 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.348→67.9952 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:03 | OP | Sell | 0.103364→0.105959 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.7606→63.3075 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | NEAR | Sell | 1.90542→1.82226 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0145784→0.0139305 | +21.77 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:43 | SUI | Buy | 0.699955→0.682428 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:11 | INJ | Buy | 4.26577→4.15768 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60269→61753.9 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | SUI | Sell | 0.674511→0.691418 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1594.34→1633.78 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Sell | 1658.93→1586.16 | +21.10 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | SOL | Sell | 69.8285→66.734 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:39 | LINK | Buy | 7.6046→7.41204 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ARB | Buy | 0.0788697→0.0768923 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:15 | ADA | Sell | 0.153052→0.146367 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-24 03:15 | INJ | Buy | 4.61005→4.49303 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:15 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0828533→0.0792058 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.15824→0.154284 | -12.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:14 | SUI | Sell | 0.727738→0.695994 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:08 | NEAR | Buy | 2.06172→2.01019 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:07 | DOT | Sell | 0.967458→0.937174 | +15.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:29 | DOT | Buy | 0.950368→0.926475 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:27 | ETH | Buy | 1767.58→1723.57 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:01 | XRP | Sell | 1.14851→1.13858 | +3.79 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:06 | BTC | Buy | 63997.2→63904.8 | -1.20 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1711.53→1753.85 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:06 | BNB | Sell | 586.353→585.046 | +0.89 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | XLM | Buy | 0.215844→0.210402 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 10:24 | FIL | Sell | 0.783404→0.803412 | -13.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 10:17 | LTC | Sell | 44.113→45.2499 | -13.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 22:34 | AAVE | Buy | 73.3513→76.5479 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-20 14:07 | ARB | Buy | 0.084061→0.0819585 | -12.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:06 | SOL | Sell | 68.7767→69.9935 | -9.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | ETH | Sell | 1688.83→1708.17 | -6.06 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | XRP | Sell | 1.14361→1.13948 | +1.20 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:06 | BTC | Sell | 62597.9→63420.2 | -7.02 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:04 | BNB | Sell | 588.743→579.925 | +6.78 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | LINK | Buy | 7.9998→7.79825 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1773.12→1695.27 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:37 | DOT | Sell | 0.99885→0.954699 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.73911→6.43781 | +21.84 | take_profit |
| 06-18 05:03 | SUI | Sell | 0.774636→0.740795 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02624→0.981545 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:42 | NEAR | Buy | 2.29387→2.23632 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:39 | ICP | Buy | 2.4122→2.35024 | -13.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:05 | APT | Buy | 0.687372→0.670097 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:08 | BNB | Sell | 614.426→605.961 | +6.66 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:48 | FIL | Sell | 0.804269→0.824708 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087957→0.0857556 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:08 | BTC | Buy | 66541.3→65407.7 | -8.90 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:49 | SUI | Sell | 0.794441→0.814711 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:46 | UNI | Buy | 3.32093→3.46553 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 217.706→223.227 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82509→6.99684 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:14 | ONDO | Sell | 0.370267→0.379565 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:29 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0130233→0.0126805 | -13.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:18 | SOL | Buy | 75.1163→73.2524 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:25 | ETH | Buy | 1840.48→1795.02 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:20 | DOT | Buy | 1.04266→1.01554 | -13.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 18:52 | APT | Buy | 0.712178→0.69358 | -13.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.22991→1.28358 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:50 | LINK | Buy | 8.19105→8.54766 | +21.22 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:39 | SOL | Buy | 71.3367→74.4538 | +21.37 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863636→0.0901275 | +21.21 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1838→1.23539 | +21.32 | take_profit |
| 06-15 11:20 | AVAX | Sell | 6.75471→6.92419 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 04:08 | BTC | Buy | 64027.2→65733.7 | +12.83 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:50 | ARB | Buy | 0.0823606→0.0859785 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:50 | BCH | Sell | 203.349→208.516 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:40 | OP | Sell | 0.105814→0.108681 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 19:25 | LTC | Buy | 43.3908→44.125 | +8.26 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.173443→0.169103 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 08:10 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0874771→0.0871828 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:01 | LTC | Buy | 42.9917→44.021 | +11.78 | timeout |
| 06-13 12:57 | XRP | Sell | 1.12762→1.15587 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 08:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.14309→1.14041 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:47 | AAVE | Sell | 64.17→65.8063 | -13.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 22:33 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0126368→0.0129597 | -13.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 16:04 | LTC | Sell | 42.7513→42.8557 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:04 | BTC | Buy | 62634.1→63662.8 | +7.70 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0849922→0.0887258 | +21.31 | take_profit |
| 06-12 11:12 | BLUR | Buy | 0.0177244→0.0184954 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-11 18:00 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0122669→0.0125994 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 11:30 | ETH | Sell | 1624.94→1665.2 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 10:55 | BTC | Sell | 61673.9→63192.7 | -12.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | SUI | Sell | 0.732907→0.752804 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 03:55 | FIL | Sell | 0.736246→0.754766 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:42 | SOL | Sell | 63.4605→65.0423 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
209
closed
38%
win rate
-46.30
total pnl ($)
-4.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP | 14 | 50% | +38.0 | +26.51 |
| SOL | 13 | 38% | -29.4 | -18.72 |
| ETH | 12 | 33% | -29.7 | -17.71 |
| SUI | 12 | 33% | -33.3 | -19.72 |
| LTC | 11 | 18% | -143.2 | -78.54 |
| LINK | 11 | 45% | +64.2 | +34.63 |
| BTC | 11 | 36% | -30.6 | -16.78 |
| DOGE | 9 | 67% | +167.6 | +75.62 |
| ADA | 8 | 38% | -2.2 | -0.23 |
| AVAX | 8 | 38% | -44.9 | -17.95 |
| NEAR | 7 | 43% | +35.1 | +12.17 |
| DOT | 7 | 43% | +51.3 | +17.95 |
| BNB | 6 | 83% | +83.5 | +25.11 |
| ARB | 6 | 17% | -147.4 | -43.68 |
| APT | 5 | 20% | -125.1 | -31.28 |
| OP | 5 | 0% | -267.0 | -66.43 |
| BLUR | 5 | 80% | +263.2 | +65.80 |
| UNI | 5 | 60% | +154.4 | +38.61 |
| TRX | 5 | 40% | +30.5 | +7.62 |
| ACE | 4 | 25% | -105.3 | -21.06 |
| ATOM | 4 | 25% | -64.1 | -12.91 |
| ONDO | 4 | 75% | +261.0 | +52.20 |
| ICP | 4 | 75% | +257.2 | +51.43 |
| SAGA | 4 | 25% | -87.7 | -17.53 |
| FIL | 4 | 0% | -197.3 | -39.47 |
| ETC | 3 | 0% | -221.5 | -33.23 |
| BCH | 3 | 33% | -32.0 | -4.80 |
| INJ | 3 | 0% | -262.6 | -39.28 |
| HYPE | 3 | 33% | -29.3 | -4.39 |
| AAVE | 3 | 33% | -32.0 | -4.80 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| XLM | 2 | 50% | +83.6 | +8.36 |
| KAS | 1 | 100% | +429.6 | +21.48 |
| RENDER | 1 | 100% | +428.3 | +21.42 |
| XMR | 1 | 0% | -264.3 | -13.22 |
| GOAT | 1 | 0% | -14.0 | -0.70 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 08:04 | NEAR | Sell | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 04:16 | LTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||