231
closed trades
42%
win rate
-171.03
total pnl ($)
0.285
weight
7d window — n=53 wr=40% pnl=-154.51
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 00:59:02 (39.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
alx
n: 65
· wr: 46.2%
· total_bps: -539.3
· mean_bps: -8.30
· sharpe: -0.05
· max_dd_bps: -2067.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 04:02 | ONDO | Sell | 0.32155→0.309377 | +18.48 | timeout |
| 06-28 04:02 | SUI | Sell | 0.708803→0.683171 | +17.41 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:21 | NEAR | Sell | 1.86523→1.91213 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 20:03 | BLUR | Sell | 0.0148053→0.0146217 | +5.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:07 | LINK | Buy | 7.36324→7.45244 | +5.73 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:07 | DOT | Buy | 0.857104→0.845319 | -7.33 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:03 | XLM | Buy | 0.179595→0.175089 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 22:04 | SOL | Buy | 73.32→71.4625 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:04 | TRX | Buy | 0.322851→0.31966 | -5.39 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:57 | HYPE | Sell | 62.0685→63.6227 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:18 | BNB | Buy | 567.532→553.255 | -13.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:43 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81825→1.77247 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:29 | SOL | Buy | 70.2605→68.5174 | -12.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63701→1.5944 | -13.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:07 | UNI | Sell | 2.85529→2.92799 | -13.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:02 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0731073→0.0711996 | -13.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.31798→4.20644 | -13.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.597649→0.582063 | -13.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 66.3011→67.9882 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:59 | HYPE | Sell | 61.8095→63.3645 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | KAS | Sell | 0.0277851→0.0265566 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:51 | ICP | Sell | 2.22864→2.13073 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:47 | HBAR | Buy | 0.0753858→0.0734908 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 60283→61767 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:09 | SOL | Sell | 67.3259→69.0008 | -12.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | SUI | Sell | 0.674021→0.691218 | -13.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:57 | ETH | Sell | 1594.44→1633.88 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | INJ | Sell | 4.30862→4.12103 | +21.30 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.143776→0.140165 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | BCH | Sell | 193.792→185.286 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:47 | AAVE | Buy | 75.7689→73.8326 | -13.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:04 | ARB | Buy | 0.0788697→0.0786003 | -2.23 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:03 | SOL | Sell | 69.2536→69.7605 | -4.10 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:05 | DOGE | Sell | 0.079789→0.0789217 | +4.88 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:04 | BTC | Sell | 62793.9→62665.1 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:04 | LINK | Sell | 7.63999→7.6099 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-23 10:59 | SUI | Sell | 0.685559→0.702767 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Sell | 1726.03→1647.16 | +22.33 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ETC | Buy | 7.15929→6.97297 | -13.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.15851→0.15958 | +3.02 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:05 | LINK | Buy | 7.86867→7.89473 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:04 | OP | Buy | 0.100365→0.101135 | +3.23 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:51 | XMR | Sell | 319.5→327.846 | -13.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | ETH | Buy | 1763.08→1719.27 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:08 | FIL | Sell | 0.80024→0.793608 | +3.69 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:07 | UNI | Buy | 3.00805→3.01205 | +0.21 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:47 | HYPE | Sell | 68.1839→65.1683 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:26 | ETH | Sell | 1712.23→1754.65 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:09 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0804829→0.0781795 | +13.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.22104→2.12353 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-21 16:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0175744→0.0171271 | -13.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 16:08 | BTC | Buy | 64004.2→64159.8 | +0.74 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:53 | XLM | Buy | 0.216324→0.210842 | -13.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 04:07 | XLM | Buy | 0.213413→0.214246 | +1.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:07 | RENDER | Sell | 1.74846→1.70403 | +12.26 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:05 | ETC | Sell | 7.63359→7.44486 | +11.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:06 | HBAR | Sell | 0.0802309→0.080205 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:25 | SAGA | Sell | 0.0132167→0.0135502 | -13.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 20:05 | BNB | Sell | 580.045→579.715 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:08 | ETH | Sell | 1688.53→1705.77 | -5.55 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:08 | BTC | Sell | 62610.9→63139.2 | -4.69 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | OP | Buy | 0.100635→0.105084 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-19 12:37 | DOT | Buy | 0.969382→0.945021 | -13.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 08:05 | LTC | Sell | 44.4669→43.4549 | +10.55 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | LINK | Buy | 8.0069→7.80654 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:51 | SOL | Sell | 71.8782→68.7253 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:45 | ETH | Sell | 1772.32→1694.57 | +21.16 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | AVAX | Sell | 6.74471→6.44951 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:11 | BNB | Buy | 606.732→591.496 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:57 | DOT | Sell | 1.02654→0.981545 | +21.47 | take_profit |
| 06-17 19:29 | SUI | Buy | 0.796499→0.776527 | -13.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64824.8→66422.5 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:43 | UNI | Sell | 3.26418→3.34831 | -13.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:57 | XMR | Buy | 352.348→343.502 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:04 | LINK | Sell | 8.28703→8.28047 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:09 | DOT | Sell | 0.99918→1.02437 | -13.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 21:16 | BCH | Sell | 218.015→223.578 | -13.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:49 | SAGA | Buy | 0.0129932→0.0135666 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-16 14:33 | HYPE | Buy | 75.1388→73.2111 | -13.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.108227→0.105511 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 09:26 | NEAR | Sell | 2.45219→2.51408 | -13.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:45 | AVAX | Sell | 6.82129→6.99204 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:16 | XLM | Sell | 0.213287→0.218764 | -13.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | SOL | Buy | 75.0713→73.2104 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.25821→1.22668 | -13.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 00:03 | LTC | Sell | 45.3857→45.6914 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:24 | ETH | Buy | 1841.78→1795.82 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:22 | LINK | Buy | 8.54083→8.32465 | -13.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1726.77→1802.82 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:08 | ETC | Buy | 7.28102→7.5997 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:44 | UNI | Buy | 2.59185→2.70472 | +21.33 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1837→1.23559 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:50 | BCH | Sell | 203.349→208.516 | -13.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:40 | ADA | Sell | 0.169548→0.1738 | -12.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:36 | ONDO | Buy | 0.345826→0.36101 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:10 | DOT | Sell | 0.978425→0.950838 | +13.65 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:08 | SOL | Buy | 68.2162→67.4819 | -5.67 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:30 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12743→2.07414 | -13.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 12:06 | AAVE | Sell | 66.7793→65.9905 | +5.46 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.173203→0.171087 | -6.42 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
231
closed
42%
win rate
-171.03
total pnl ($)
-15.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL | 14 | 36% | -66.2 | -45.10 |
| ETH | 13 | 54% | +55.8 | +36.20 |
| LINK | 13 | 62% | -16.8 | -10.42 |
| BTC | 10 | 40% | -84.2 | -41.93 |
| SUI | 9 | 33% | -64.8 | -29.46 |
| DOT | 9 | 33% | -55.5 | -24.96 |
| XRP | 8 | 38% | +1.3 | +1.17 |
| ADA | 8 | 38% | -32.4 | -12.81 |
| NEAR | 7 | 43% | +35.2 | +12.09 |
| LTC | 7 | 57% | +23.9 | +8.06 |
| HYPE | 7 | 43% | +47.3 | +16.56 |
| BNB | 7 | 29% | -64.8 | -22.89 |
| OP | 7 | 43% | -19.0 | -6.71 |
| INJ | 6 | 33% | -33.5 | -10.24 |
| SAGA | 6 | 50% | +38.2 | +11.46 |
| ONDO | 6 | 67% | +187.2 | +56.15 |
| DOGE | 6 | 50% | -68.8 | -20.38 |
| UNI | 6 | 33% | -72.2 | -21.67 |
| BCH | 6 | 33% | -31.2 | -9.37 |
| XLM | 6 | 17% | -214.8 | -64.44 |
| HBAR | 5 | 20% | -111.4 | -27.85 |
| RENDER | 5 | 60% | +115.1 | +28.76 |
| ARB | 5 | 20% | -47.3 | -11.68 |
| FIL | 5 | 60% | +7.1 | +1.77 |
| XMR | 5 | 40% | +12.2 | +3.06 |
| KAS | 5 | 60% | +155.1 | +38.76 |
| APT | 4 | 0% | -233.1 | -46.41 |
| ICP | 4 | 25% | -89.3 | -17.85 |
| TRX | 4 | 50% | +13.0 | +2.59 |
| ACE | 4 | 50% | +89.3 | +17.85 |
| AAVE | 4 | 50% | -103.4 | -20.69 |
| AVAX | 4 | 50% | +0.7 | -0.01 |
| ETC | 4 | 50% | +72.5 | +14.49 |
| ATOM | 3 | 33% | -39.6 | -5.91 |
| BLUR | 3 | 100% | +233.1 | +34.96 |
| GOAT | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| CHILLGUY | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
| ZEREBRO | 2 | 0% | -14.0 | -1.40 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 08:13 | DOGE | Sell | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 00:10 | OP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 00:10 | AVAX | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||