125
closed trades
46%
win rate
-74.07
total pnl ($)
1.139
weight
7d window — n=32 wr=47% pnl=-12.49
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-23 16:11:21 (34.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
awn
n: 39
· wr: 38.5%
· total_bps: -328.4
· mean_bps: -8.42
· sharpe: -0.11
· max_dd_bps: -739.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 11:50 | ETH | Buy | 1571.86→1542.47 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:27 | BTC | Buy | 59106→60098 | +7.94 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:24 | APT | Buy | 0.576544→0.594751 | +15.36 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1569.76→1540.28 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.11123→6.14246 | +2.14 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.65711→1.63199 | -7.96 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:30 | BTC | Buy | 60778→61667.9 | +6.87 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:16 | BTC | Buy | 59603→60735 | +9.04 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:50 | ETH | Buy | 1570.46→1620.64 | +15.53 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0751668→0.0737297 | -10.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:46 | APT | Buy | 0.624756→0.61254 | -10.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:30 | INJ | Buy | 4.34369→4.261 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:22 | ATOM | Buy | 1.70103→1.66855 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 05:43 | LTC | Buy | 42.0985→42.0645 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-24 03:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.151118→0.152232 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:44 | LTC | Buy | 42.1425→41.9585 | -2.61 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:51 | BNB | Buy | 573.573→573.357 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:10 | ARB | Buy | 0.0776994→0.08016 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:24 | INJ | Buy | 4.63116→4.53879 | -10.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26377→6.14249 | -10.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.15823→0.15882 | +1.44 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:45 | BNB | Buy | 593.808→589.952 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:02 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13883→2.15246 | +2.74 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:49 | SUI | Buy | 0.702876→0.704994 | +1.03 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:05 | BTC | Buy | 63440.2→64155.8 | +5.19 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:03 | BTC | Buy | 64199.2→63812.8 | -3.46 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:01 | BTC | Buy | 64185.2→64105.8 | -1.05 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:29 | ETH | Buy | 1739.27→1733.53 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:27 | ETH | Buy | 1729.27→1735.73 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:03 | OP | Buy | 0.101245→0.101775 | +2.23 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:02 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78045→1.79095 | +2.50 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:34 | INJ | Buy | 5.09327→5.07803 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:46 | INJ | Buy | 5.08007→4.98196 | -10.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.82076→1.78446 | -10.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:48 | APT | Buy | 0.657064→0.644416 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:08 | SUI | Buy | 0.738325→0.749992 | +7.41 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:12 | BTC | Buy | 63851.2→63997.8 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:39 | NEAR | Buy | 2.21465→2.17197 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 04:10 | LINK | Buy | 8.11623→7.96202 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 02:17 | NEAR | Buy | 2.33578→2.34511 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:31 | OP | Buy | 0.107677→0.105451 | -10.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:01 | BTC | Buy | 66146.3→66473.7 | +2.02 | timeout |
| 06-16 01:55 | BTC | Buy | 66626.3→66313.7 | -2.79 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.166442→0.171747 | +15.47 | take_profit |
| 06-14 16:56 | ARB | Buy | 0.0832608→0.0818495 | -8.88 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.14449→1.13792 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:23 | ETH | Buy | 1673.77→1662.73 | -3.75 | timeout |
| 06-11 19:54 | BTC | Buy | 63182.2→63648.8 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:01 | OP | Buy | 0.0935234→0.0965459 | +15.69 | take_profit |
| 06-11 03:55 | LINK | Buy | 7.50808→7.74526 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-11 01:30 | SUI | Buy | 0.716909→0.739515 | +15.31 | take_profit |
| 06-10 19:40 | BTC | Buy | 62174.1→61985.9 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:52 | INJ | Buy | 5.52368→5.64489 | +10.53 | timeout |
| 06-09 01:55 | ETH | Buy | 1684.17→1667.53 | -5.28 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | ETH | Buy | 1632.06→1684.03 | +15.47 | take_profit |
| 06-07 10:03 | APT | Buy | 0.672868→0.671932 | -1.13 | timeout |
| 06-07 01:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.07957→1.11372 | +15.38 | take_profit |
| 06-06 16:43 | LTC | Buy | 42.3936→42.0715 | -4.25 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:28 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6173→1.6166 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 06-06 08:28 | SUI | Buy | 0.686702→0.708453 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:22 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24566→6.44589 | +15.59 | take_profit |
| 06-06 02:55 | INJ | Buy | 5.1936→5.09048 | -10.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:06 | ARB | Buy | 0.0817604→0.0801898 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:53 | SOL | Buy | 66.1759→64.9268 | -9.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:52 | ETH | Buy | 1663.17→1631.82 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 19:55 | ETH | Buy | 1830.98→1796.72 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 10:57 | BTC | Buy | 66415.3→67244.6 | +5.76 | timeout |
| 06-03 10:43 | ETH | Buy | 1841.98→1883.51 | +10.80 | timeout |
| 06-03 07:41 | BTC | Buy | 66598.3→67146.6 | +3.63 | timeout |
| 06-03 07:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.2086→1.24669 | +15.29 | take_profit |
| 06-03 05:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.2069→1.22759 | +8.14 | timeout |
| 06-03 03:39 | ETH | Buy | 1862.19→1827.3 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 02:36 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80845→1.84194 | +8.85 | timeout |
| 06-02 22:52 | APT | Buy | 0.83881→0.822783 | -10.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 19:33 | SOL | Buy | 76.1824→74.7444 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:39 | INJ | Buy | 7.12038→6.97876 | -10.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.223186→0.218736 | -10.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:22 | APT | Buy | 0.904626→0.887334 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 13:55 | ARB | Buy | 0.0985446→0.0979655 | -3.35 | timeout |
| 06-02 00:29 | NEAR | Buy | 2.64934→2.60365 | -9.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 02:57 | ATOM | Buy | 1.94121→1.96509 | +5.68 | timeout |
| 05-31 23:03 | APT | Buy | 0.91877→0.948737 | +15.82 | take_profit |
| 05-29 12:05 | NEAR | Buy | 2.50387→2.46114 | -8.97 | stop_loss |
| 05-29 08:48 | ATOM | Buy | 2.05669→2.02091 | -9.10 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 23:27 | OP | Buy | 0.117561→0.11865 | +4.21 | timeout |
| 05-28 16:02 | BNB | Buy | 633.552→634.128 | -0.03 | timeout |
| 05-28 14:51 | ETH | Buy | 1988.5→1988.2 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 05-28 13:25 | APT | Buy | 0.938565→0.922491 | -9.01 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 12:06 | LINK | Buy | 8.83669→8.86482 | +1.21 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0975966→0.0980685 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 05-28 10:51 | APT | Buy | 0.910772→0.923731 | +6.76 | timeout |
| 05-28 09:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.28368→1.29292 | +3.16 | timeout |
| 05-28 07:08 | INJ | Buy | 5.37026→5.56189 | +17.46 | take_profit |
| 05-28 04:02 | BNB | Buy | 646.358→635.296 | -8.99 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | SOL | Buy | 82.3936→80.9526 | -9.19 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | ARB | Buy | 0.106463→0.104648 | -8.95 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | ETH | Buy | 2026.5→1991.39 | -9.10 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 03:18 | SUI | Buy | 0.957701→0.940705 | -9.34 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 16:53 | AVAX | Buy | 9.14711→9.2147 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 05-27 13:35 | OP | Buy | 0.128458→0.126265 | -8.99 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
125
closed
46%
win rate
-74.07
total pnl ($)
-12.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 16 | 25% | -49.2 | -39.27 |
| BTC | 15 | 73% | +55.1 | +41.25 |
| APT | 11 | 36% | -28.6 | -15.55 |
| XRP | 8 | 62% | +71.8 | +28.80 |
| INJ | 8 | 25% | -63.3 | -25.15 |
| ATOM | 8 | 38% | -53.1 | -20.92 |
| OP | 7 | 57% | -5.8 | -1.98 |
| LTC | 6 | 17% | -42.7 | -12.73 |
| NEAR | 6 | 50% | -27.7 | -8.25 |
| AVAX | 6 | 50% | -19.1 | -5.73 |
| ARB | 6 | 33% | -21.6 | -6.39 |
| SUI | 6 | 67% | +69.5 | +20.75 |
| DOGE | 5 | 60% | -30.6 | -7.55 |
| BNB | 5 | 20% | -47.2 | -11.64 |
| ADA | 5 | 80% | +43.5 | +10.92 |
| SOL | 4 | 25% | -136.9 | -27.27 |
| LINK | 3 | 67% | +43.6 | +6.63 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 8)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 08:24 | ETH | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 03:31 | BTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 00:12 | ETH | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 15:15 | AVAX | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 05:15 | ATOM | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 19:22 | BTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 14:34 | APT | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 12:33 | INJ | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||