32
closed trades
53%
win rate
+23.73
total pnl ($)
1.250
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 07:53:08 (40.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
abp
n: 30
· wr: 56.7%
· total_bps: +792.3
· mean_bps: +26.41
· sharpe: +0.28
· max_dd_bps: -280.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 32 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 20:33 | ETH | Buy | 1679.67→1674.83 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-13 14:29 | ETH | Buy | 1674.67→1678.73 | +0.96 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:28 | ETH | Buy | 1670.07→1674.33 | +1.04 | timeout |
| 06-13 02:24 | ETH | Buy | 1665.97→1670.23 | +1.04 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:24 | ETH | Buy | 1665.67→1665.63 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:23 | ETH | Buy | 1675.27→1661.73 | -5.84 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:40 | ETH | Buy | 1675.17→1671.23 | -2.12 | timeout |
| 06-12 02:33 | ETH | Buy | 1671.87→1672.73 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-11 20:24 | ETH | Buy | 1647.36→1677.13 | +11.14 | timeout |
| 06-11 14:18 | ETH | Buy | 1657.27→1639.84 | -7.44 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:14 | ETH | Buy | 1639.66→1658.53 | +6.86 | timeout |
| 06-11 02:01 | ETH | Buy | 1625.56→1642.04 | +5.96 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:32 | ETH | Buy | 1653.57→1622.63 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:20 | ETH | Buy | 1639.16→1608.23 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 21:58 | ETH | Buy | 1635.46→1655.63 | +7.45 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:21 | ETH | Buy | 1669.47→1638.22 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:52 | ETH | Buy | 1665.07→1669.73 | +1.30 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:27 | ETH | Buy | 1706.27→1674.29 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 21:52 | ETH | Buy | 1693.07→1706.73 | +4.71 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:44 | ETH | Buy | 1661.97→1692.63 | +11.41 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:13 | ETH | Buy | 1679.77→1648.31 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | ETH | Buy | 1626.86→1678.63 | +20.10 | take_profit |
| 06-07 19:25 | ETH | Buy | 1632.16→1601.64 | -12.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 15:35 | ETH | Buy | 1634.26→1632.64 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 06-07 09:15 | ETH | Buy | 1595.26→1647.24 | +20.62 | take_profit |
| 06-07 03:27 | ETH | Buy | 1561.36→1593.24 | +12.73 | timeout |
| 05-02 05:19 | ETH | Buy | 2291.23→2295.87 | +0.72 | timeout |
| 05-01 23:19 | ETH | Buy | 2305.53→2290.77 | -4.74 | timeout |
| 05-01 17:18 | ETH | Buy | 2285.53→2305.07 | +4.97 | timeout |
| 05-01 11:17 | ETH | Buy | 2283.53→2285.07 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 05-01 05:17 | ETH | Buy | 2256.23→2283.07 | +7.13 | timeout |
| 04-30 11:15 | ETH | Buy | 2242.6→2268.23 | +6.84 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
32
closed
53%
win rate
+23.73
total pnl ($)
+11.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 32 | 53% | +11.4 | +23.73 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 05:19 | ETH | Buy | +0.72 | The market was essentially flat to slightly negative at close, with ETH down 0.23% over the prior hour and BTC following suit (-0.28%), providing no tailwind for a long position that needed 320 bps of upside to hit take-profit. The trade's thesis—a 10% BAYC… |
| 05-01 23:19 | ETH | Buy | -4.74 | The market was consolidating weakly at the time of close, with ETH down 0.32% in the prior hour and Bitcoin also declining 0.39% intraday, suggesting weak momentum despite positive 24h gains. The trade's thesis failed because the 10% BAYC floor recovery cap… |
| 05-01 17:18 | ETH | Buy | +4.97 | Ethereum was consolidating near $2304 with modest intraday weakness (-0.02% 1h) despite broader 24h strength (+2.23%), while funding rates remained neutral at ~0.011% with elevated open interest. The trade thesis worked because the entry at $2285.53 capture… |
| 05-01 11:17 | ETH | Buy | -0.14 | # Trade Closure Analysis ETH moved sideways in a narrow 0.08% hourly band at close ($2285.91), with micro momentum gains over 24h (+0.88%) failing to sustain the 6-hour recovery thesis. The NFT floor recovery signal predicated on a 10% BAYC capitulation bo… |
| 05-01 05:17 | ETH | Buy | +7.13 | ETH was consolidating near $2282 with modest positive momentum over 24 hours (+1.83%) but slight weakness over 7 days (-1.14%), while funding rates remained elevated at 0.0047%, indicating persistent long positioning. The trade's 10% capitulation bounce the… |
| 04-30 11:15 | ETH | BUY | +6.84 | At close, ETH was consolidating near $2266 after a modest 1-hour rally (+0.35%) within a broader 24-hour decline (-2.73%), while BTC showed similar weakness, suggesting a brief intraday bounce in an otherwise bearish session. The trade's thesis—that a 10% c… |